Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we provide an update to our long-short pair trade of Hyundai Motor (long) and Tesla Motors (short), which we presented back in June 2022.</li>
<li>Since 9 June 2022, Hyundai Motor's share price is down 13.4% and Tesla's share price is down 48.6% in the same period, resulting in net gains of 35.2%.</li>
<li>We discuss five major factors impacting Tesla's share price this year including market share losses, Musk's acquisition of Twitter, valuation multiples decline, China operations, and global recessionary fears in 2023.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we provide an update to our long-short pair trade of Hyundai Motor (long) and Tesla Motors (short), which we presented back in June 2022.
Since 9 June 2022, Hyundai Motor's share price is down 13.4% and Tesla's share price is down 48.6% in the same period, resulting in net gains of 35.2%.
We discuss five major factors impacting Tesla's share price this year including market share losses, Musk's acquisition of Twitter, valuation multiples decline, China operations, and global recessionary fears in 2023.


An Update to the Long-Short Pair Trade on Hyundai Motor & Tesla

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

<ul>
<li>One of our routine channels is suggesting the possibility of some of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mahindra-mahindra-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16441:1" rel="noopener">Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN)</a> 's Scorpio-N bookings being fake.</li>
<li>This channel (an online auto forum) has been a trusted source of information followed by various industry veterans including the company's chairman.</li>
<li>While the rationalisation of fake bookings as a recent industry practice could solace some, the fallacy of the bookings narrative only gets stronger. </li>
</ul>


One of our routine channels is suggesting the possibility of some of Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN) 's Scorpio-N bookings being fake.
This channel (an online auto forum) has been a trusted source of information followed by various industry veterans including the company's chairman.
While the rationalisation of fake bookings as a recent industry practice could solace some, the fallacy of the bookings narrative only gets stronger. 


Mahindra & Mahindra (MM IN) | Scorpio-N Fake Bookings

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinfast" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36550:1" rel="noopener">VinFast (1905332D VN)</a> is a full-scale mobility platform in Vietnam focused on manufacturing electric vehicles including e-scooters and e-buses looking to raise US$1bn via a NASDAQ IPO.</li>
<li>The company has switched its business model from ICE vehicles to EVs and looking to sell its electric cars in Vietnam, the US and the Europe.</li>
<li>With relatively new to EV manufacturing and having not sold previously in overseas markets  including the US and the EU, we remain conscious over Vinfast’s prospects in the medium-term.</li>
</ul>



VinFast (1905332D VN) is a full-scale mobility platform in Vietnam focused on manufacturing electric vehicles including e-scooters and e-buses looking to raise US$1bn via a NASDAQ IPO.
The company has switched its business model from ICE vehicles to EVs and looking to sell its electric cars in Vietnam, the US and the Europe.
With relatively new to EV manufacturing and having not sold previously in overseas markets  including the US and the EU, we remain conscious over Vinfast’s prospects in the medium-term.


Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
 Kakao managed to stay out of the relegation zone. Instead, Kia was pushed to the borderline. But POSCO failed to up its float rate, so Kia stayed in.</li>
<li>Besides that, LG Energy Solution and Celltrion made it to the index, replacing KB Financial and Shinhan Financial.</li>
<li>These passive flows appears to be of sufficient magnitude to cause a substantial price impact on T-1 Effectiveness. But it should also be approached with a fairly short window.</li>
</ul>



 Kakao managed to stay out of the relegation zone. Instead, Kia was pushed to the borderline. But POSCO failed to up its float rate, so Kia stayed in.
Besides that, LG Energy Solution and Celltrion made it to the index, replacing KB Financial and Shinhan Financial.
These passive flows appears to be of sufficient magnitude to cause a substantial price impact on T-1 Effectiveness. But it should also be approached with a fairly short window.


TIGER Top 10 Rebalancing: Four Names to Trade on T-1 Effective

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The 200 largest weighted companies in the GEM index reported average EPS growth of +12.8%y/y for 3Q22-to-date, a significant slowdown from what was reported for 2Q22.</li>
<li>60% of companies delivered positive sales surprise, same as in 2Q22, whilst 65% delivered positive EPS surprise, up from 56% in 2Q22.</li>
<li>Historically, there has been a significant difference in relative share price performance between the largest positive versus negative surprise generators, for 3 months after the reporting date.</li>
</ul>


The 200 largest weighted companies in the GEM index reported average EPS growth of +12.8%y/y for 3Q22-to-date, a significant slowdown from what was reported for 2Q22.
60% of companies delivered positive sales surprise, same as in 2Q22, whilst 65% delivered positive EPS surprise, up from 56% in 2Q22.
Historically, there has been a significant difference in relative share price performance between the largest positive versus negative surprise generators, for 3 months after the reporting date.


Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 3Q2022

South Korea

Kia Corporation manufactures, sells, and exports passenger cars, mini-buses, trucks and commercial vehicles. The Company also manufactures auto-parts and tools using hybrid electric and fuel cell technology. Kia markets its products worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Kia Corp (000270 KS)

An Update to the Long-Short Pair Trade on Hyundai Motor & Tesla

In this insight, we provide an update to our long-short pair trade of Hyundai Motor (long) and Tesla Motors (short), which we presented back in...

Douglas Kim

Mahindra & Mahindra (MM IN) | Scorpio-N Fake Bookings

One of our routine channels is suggesting the possibility of some of the Mahindra & Mahindra (MM IN) 's Scorpio-N bookings being fake.

Pranav Bhavsar

Vinfast Auto IPO: Initial Thoughts

With relatively new to EVs and not sold previously in overseas markets, we remain conscious over growth prospects. Vinfast's EV models are not...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

TIGER Top 10 Rebalancing: Four Names to Trade on T-1 Effective

This post screens four names to trade at the TIGER Top 10 ETF rebalancing in December based on FnGuide's latest float rates, and discusses trading...

Sanghyun Park

Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 3Q2022

In this quarterly insight, we analyse recent GEM reporting trends with reference to Sales- and EPS growth, size and percentage of positive...

Wium Malan, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)