Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In June-July I warned of a reinvestment trade into S-REITs due to the S$2.0-3.0bn cash-out by investors in Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust and sellers into the SPHREIT Chain Offer.</li>
<li>Many investors who would need to re-allocate. The trade was to buy major S-REITs. From my last insight, a basket is up 5.3%. MCT has already topped out vs peers.</li>
<li>The question is.... is there still a trade left to run?</li>
</ul>


In June-July I warned of a reinvestment trade into S-REITs due to the S$2.0-3.0bn cash-out by investors in Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust and sellers into the SPHREIT Chain Offer.
Many investors who would need to re-allocate. The trade was to buy major S-REITs. From my last insight, a basket is up 5.3%. MCT has already topped out vs peers.
The question is.... is there still a trade left to run?


Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:106:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP)</a> has crept higher vs the Peer Baskets, especially in the last 4-6 weeks as Other S-REITs have weakened. </li>
<li>This sets the stage for a potentially large flowback into S-REITs as a class coming in a few weeks.</li>
<li>It may be time to reconsider positioning, looking at where MPACT has been and will be.</li>
</ul>



Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP) has crept higher vs the Peer Baskets, especially in the last 4-6 weeks as Other S-REITs have weakened. 
This sets the stage for a potentially large flowback into S-REITs as a class coming in a few weeks.
It may be time to reconsider positioning, looking at where MPACT has been and will be.


MCT SP as MPACT Creeping Ever Higher Vs Peers

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:106:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP)</a>’s EGM, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)</a>/MNACT’s EGM and trust scheme meeting will take place on 23 May. The effective date is 8 August.</li>
<li>The IFA considers the scheme consideration to be fair. We think that IFA’s valuation approach is broadly sound with some areas for improvement. </li>
<li>For a 17 August payment, the gross and annualised spread of the cash-only consideration (including permitted clean-up DPU) is 1.6% and 5.6%, respectively. </li>
</ul>



Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP)’s EGM, Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)/MNACT’s EGM and trust scheme meeting will take place on 23 May. The effective date is 8 August.
The IFA considers the scheme consideration to be fair. We think that IFA’s valuation approach is broadly sound with some areas for improvement. 
For a 17 August payment, the gross and annualised spread of the cash-only consideration (including permitted clean-up DPU) is 1.6% and 5.6%, respectively. 


MNACT's Scheme Meeting on 23 May, IFA Opinion

<ul>
<li>The terms for the proposed combination of Keppel O&amp;M and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sembcorp-marine-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11:1" rel="noopener">Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP)</a> were announced. The agreed equity value exchange ratio between Keppel O&amp;M and Sembcorp Marine is 56%:44%. </li>
<li>The proposed combination will require <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel Corp (KEP SP)</a> and Sembcorp Marine shareholder approvals at separate EGMs and is expected to close in 4Q2022.</li>
<li>The transaction is a big win for Keppel shareholders as the proposed combination creates S$9.4 billion of value, which is around 80% of Keppel’s market cap at the last close.</li>
</ul>


The terms for the proposed combination of Keppel O&amp;M and Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP) were announced. The agreed equity value exchange ratio between Keppel O&amp;M and Sembcorp Marine is 56%:44%. 
The proposed combination will require Keppel Corp (KEP SP) and Sembcorp Marine shareholder approvals at separate EGMs and is expected to close in 4Q2022.
The transaction is a big win for Keppel shareholders as the proposed combination creates S$9.4 billion of value, which is around 80% of Keppel’s market cap at the last close.


Keppel: A Massive Winner from Keppel O&M and Sembcorp Marine’s Combination

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Lendlease Global Commercial REIT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Lendlease REIT is looking to raise up to US$427m via a private placement and a preferential offering.</li>
<li>The deal is very well flagged as the acquisition was announced in Feb 2022 and the EGM approval for the same was received earlier this month.</li>
<li>In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the recent updates.</li>
</ul>


Lendlease REIT is looking to raise up to US$427m via a private placement and a preferential offering.
The deal is very well flagged as the acquisition was announced in Feb 2022 and the EGM approval for the same was received earlier this month.
In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the recent updates.


Lendlease Global REIT Placement - Very Well Flagged but Still Quite a Large One to Digest

Singapore

Keppel REIT operates as a commercial real estate investment trust. The Trust owns and invests in a portfolio of income-producing office buildings and related real estate assets. Keppel REIT offers its services in Asia and Australia.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Keppel REIT (KREIT SP)

Update on the S-REIT Re-Allocation Trade

The S-REIT Re-Allocation Basket is +5.3%(TR) from close after I wrote (25 July) to yesterday. Not enough excess value has traded. Should it run?...

Travis Lundy

MCT SP as MPACT Creeping Ever Higher Vs Peers

MCT has outperformed Peers and as Virtual MPACT, has mostly erased its underperformance since deal announcement. This changes the risk balance...

Travis Lundy

MNACT's Scheme Meeting on 23 May, IFA Opinion

The IFA considers the scheme consideration to be fair. For a 17 August payment, the annualised spread of the cash-only consideration (including...

Arun George

Keppel: A Massive Winner from Keppel O&M and Sembcorp Marine’s Combination

The agreed equity value exchange ratio between Keppel O&M and Sembcorp Marine is 56%:44%. The transaction is a big win for Keppel shareholders as...

Arun George

Lendlease Global REIT Placement - Very Well Flagged but Still Quite a Large One to Digest

Lendlease REIT is looking to raise up to US$427m via a private placement and a preferential offering. The deal is very well flagged.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)