Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>1810 HK: Xiaomi EV deliveries continue to rebound in week 25 of 2024(/)</li>
<li>1810 HK/JD US: Data provider says smartphone sales volume grew 6.8% yoy during 6/18 (+/+)</li>
<li>ATAT US: Atour Planet achieved a GMV of RMB370mn during the 618 promotion, representing a year-on-year growth of 230%(+)</li>
</ul>


1810 HK: Xiaomi EV deliveries continue to rebound in week 25 of 2024(/)
1810 HK/JD US: Data provider says smartphone sales volume grew 6.8% yoy during 6/18 (+/+)
ATAT US: Atour Planet achieved a GMV of RMB370mn during the 618 promotion, representing a year-on-year growth of 230%(+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:1810 HK/JD US/ATAT US/BEKE US/981 HK

<ul>
<li>1211 HK/LI US /XPEV US/NIO US: China and the EU have launched negotiations on electric vehicle tariffs (///////)</li>
<li>BEKE US: Existing Home Sales Increase 61% YoY in the 26th Week of 2024, Expected to Increase 19% YoY in June (+)</li>
<li>1810 HK/ NIO US/ XPEV US/ LI US/1211 HK/300207 SZ/300750 SZ:  Xiaomi's third model was said to be a low priced model, targeting low tier cities .(/////////////)</li>
</ul>


1211 HK/LI US /XPEV US/NIO US: China and the EU have launched negotiations on electric vehicle tariffs (///////)
BEKE US: Existing Home Sales Increase 61% YoY in the 26th Week of 2024, Expected to Increase 19% YoY in June (+)
1810 HK/ NIO US/ XPEV US/ LI US/1211 HK/300207 SZ/300750 SZ:  Xiaomi's third model was said to be a low priced model, targeting low tier cities .(/////////////)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211HK/LI/XPEV/NIO/BEKE/1810HK/300207SZ/300750SZ/LKNCY/9926HK/MNSO/600519CH

<ul>
<li>1211 HK/300750 SZ: Geely and SK Group sign cooperation agreement to deepen cooperation in batteries and components.(-/-)</li>
<li>BEKE US: PBoC urge local governments and banks to implement the affordable housing re-lending program.(+)</li>
<li>LKNCY US: Luckin expands its non-coffee drinks, selling 5.08 million cups of lemonade in a week(/)</li>
</ul>


1211 HK/300750 SZ: Geely and SK Group sign cooperation agreement to deepen cooperation in batteries and components.(-/-)
BEKE US: PBoC urge local governments and banks to implement the affordable housing re-lending program.(+)
LKNCY US: Luckin expands its non-coffee drinks, selling 5.08 million cups of lemonade in a week(/)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/300750 SZ/BEKE US/LKNCY US

Andy Fu

<ul>
<li>Aging population, coupled with under-development of retirement pensions, is the major headwind against enhancing consumption; </li>
<li>The headroom of urbanization as a driver for enhanced consumption is not as big as depicted;</li>
<li>Residential housing has, over the years, become the social safety net for the Chinese. Therefore, the bust of the property market takes many years, if not decades, to heal. </li>
</ul>


Aging population, coupled with under-development of retirement pensions, is the major headwind against enhancing consumption; 
The headroom of urbanization as a driver for enhanced consumption is not as big as depicted;
Residential housing has, over the years, become the social safety net for the Chinese. Therefore, the bust of the property market takes many years, if not decades, to heal. 


How to Stimulate China's Consumption, Part II

<ul>
<li>Counting of consumption differs among different countries. Chinese definition of consumption (social retail sales) leave out many categories that are included in the definition of consumption of Japan and US;</li>
<li>If we trim the consumption of Japan and US by adopting China's definition, China actually <strong>over-consumes</strong>, both by GDP and by individual categories;</li>
<li>If we expand and align China, Japan and US to consist the same categories, the conclusion of China <strong>underconsumption</strong> becomes true. The categories belong to an older and wealthy society. </li>
</ul>


Counting of consumption differs among different countries. Chinese definition of consumption (social retail sales) leave out many categories that are included in the definition of consumption of Japan and US;
If we trim the consumption of Japan and US by adopting China's definition, China actually over-consumes, both by GDP and by individual categories;
If we expand and align China, Japan and US to consist the same categories, the conclusion of China underconsumption becomes true. The categories belong to an older and wealthy society. 


How to Stimulate China's Consumption? Part I

China

KE Holdings Inc. operates as an integrated online and offline platform for housing transactions and services. The Company offers existing and new home sales, home rentals, home renovation, real estate financial solutions, and other services. KE Holdings conducts businesses in China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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KE Holdings (BEKE US)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1810 HK/JD US/ATAT US/BEKE US/981 HK

Xiaomi EV deliveries rebound, smartphone sales volume grows, Atour Planet sees significant GMV growth during 618 promotion.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211HK/LI/XPEV/NIO/BEKE/1810HK/300207SZ/300750SZ/LKNCY/9926HK/MNSO/600519CH

China and the EU are in talks to negotiate electric vehicle tariffs, while Xiaomi plans to release a low-priced model targeting low tier cities....

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/300750 SZ/BEKE US/LKNCY US

Geely and SK Group deepen cooperation in batteries, PBoC urges affordable housing re-lending, Luckin expands non-coffee drinks with lemonade sales.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

How to Stimulate China's Consumption, Part II

The underdevelopment of China's pension system leads to reliance on the residential property market as social safety net. The headroom of...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

How to Stimulate China's Consumption? Part I

The myth of China underconsumption depends on how you count it. China under-consumes in certain consumption categories associated with an older and...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1810 HK/JD US/ATAT US/BEKE US/981 HK

​Xiaomi EV deliveries rebound, smartphone sales volume grows, Atour Planet sees significant GMV growth during 618 promotion.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211HK/LI/XPEV/NIO/BEKE/1810HK/300207SZ/300750SZ/LKNCY/9926HK/MNSO/600519CH

​China and the EU are in talks to negotiate electric vehicle tariffs, while Xiaomi plans to release a low-priced model targeting low tier cities....

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/300750 SZ/BEKE US/LKNCY US

​Geely and SK Group deepen cooperation in batteries, PBoC urges affordable housing re-lending, Luckin expands non-coffee drinks with lemonade sales.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

How to Stimulate China's Consumption, Part II

The underdevelopment of China's pension system leads to reliance on the residential property market as social safety net. The headroom of...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

How to Stimulate China's Consumption? Part I

The myth of China underconsumption depends on how you count it. China under-consumes in certain consumption categories associated with an older and...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Xiaomi EV deliveries rebound, smartphone sales volume grows, Atour Planet sees significant GMV growth during 618 promotion.

China and the EU are in talks to negotiate electric vehicle tariffs, while Xiaomi plans to release a low-priced model targeting low tier cities....

Geely and SK Group deepen cooperation in batteries, PBoC urges affordable housing re-lending, Luckin expands non-coffee drinks with lemonade sales.