Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Baidu launched a beta test of a ChatGTP-like function, WXYY.</li>
<li>Tencent announced it will close its digital collection platform, Huanhe, in June.</li>
<li>KE’s revenue decreased by 25% and new losses were RMB1.4 billion.</li>
</ul>


Baidu launched a beta test of a ChatGTP-like function, WXYY.
Tencent announced it will close its digital collection platform, Huanhe, in June.
KE’s revenue decreased by 25% and new losses were RMB1.4 billion.


China Internet Weekly (20Mar2023): Baidu, Tencent, KE

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>BEKE (Beike) reported 4Q22 revenue in-line/4.9% vs our est./cons. Non-GAAP operating income 65% higher than our estimate and non-GAAP net income 59%/122% higher than our est./cons. </li>
<li>We estimate 1Q23/2023 revenue to rise 46%/24% YoY. We think Beike’s strategy on focusing quality above scale is suitable under current real estate market trend, bode well for profitability.</li>
<li>We maintain BUY rating and raise the TP by US$2 to US$23 to reflect 1) the gross margin improvement, 2)narrower loss-making in new initiatives.</li>
</ul>


BEKE (Beike) reported 4Q22 revenue in-line/4.9% vs our est./cons. Non-GAAP operating income 65% higher than our estimate and non-GAAP net income 59%/122% higher than our est./cons. 
We estimate 1Q23/2023 revenue to rise 46%/24% YoY. We think Beike’s strategy on focusing quality above scale is suitable under current real estate market trend, bode well for profitability.
We maintain BUY rating and raise the TP by US$2 to US$23 to reflect 1) the gross margin improvement, 2)narrower loss-making in new initiatives.


[KE Holdings (BEKE US) Target Price Change]: Raise TP for Better Market Outlook and Profitability

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Even though we are long-term optimistic on the rise of Chinese consumer brands, we believe short-term optimism is misplaced. </li>
<li>Two themes: (1) structural changes led by China’s transition to an older and more affluent society, (2) substitution and globalization that can break the ceiling for valuation;</li>
<li>Our TOP PICKS are Li Auto, Atour, Luckin, FUTU, BEKE and Miniso</li>
</ul>


Even though we are long-term optimistic on the rise of Chinese consumer brands, we believe short-term optimism is misplaced. 
Two themes: (1) structural changes led by China’s transition to an older and more affluent society, (2) substitution and globalization that can break the ceiling for valuation;
Our TOP PICKS are Li Auto, Atour, Luckin, FUTU, BEKE and Miniso


[Consumer Brands Deep Dive]:Structural and Substitution Drive Chinese Consumer

<ul>
<li>3690HK：WeChat is testing delivery platform in Guangzhou and Shenzhen (-)</li>
<li>Gaming Industry: China Game Industry Annual Conference (GIAC) is held（+）</li>
<li>BEKE：Home price decline narrowed in Jan 2023, where first tier turn positive MoM, and new home outpace existing home (+)</li>
</ul>


3690HK：WeChat is testing delivery platform in Guangzhou and Shenzhen (-)
Gaming Industry: China Game Industry Annual Conference (GIAC) is held（+）
BEKE：Home price decline narrowed in Jan 2023, where first tier turn positive MoM, and new home outpace existing home (+)


China TMT Update(Feb.15-16）：Tencent, Meituan, BEKE - WeChat Is Testing Delivery Platform

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>We screen for companies that are at record positioning among active Asia Ex-Japan managers, whilst capturing strong investment growth over the last 6-months.</li>
<li>9 companies stand out, led by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yum-china-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23677:1" rel="noopener">Yum China Holdings, Inc (YUMC US)</a>  and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/glodon-company-limited-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10536:1" rel="noopener">Glodon Company Limited A (002410 CH)</a> </li>
<li>These 9 stocks have accelerated to a record combined weight of 3.04%.  The rate of increase has been remarkable, with average weights doubling since the end of March 2022.  </li>
</ul>


We screen for companies that are at record positioning among active Asia Ex-Japan managers, whilst capturing strong investment growth over the last 6-months.
9 companies stand out, led by Yum China Holdings, Inc (YUMC US)  and Glodon Company Limited A (002410 CH) 
These 9 stocks have accelerated to a record combined weight of 3.04%.  The rate of increase has been remarkable, with average weights doubling since the end of March 2022.  


China

KE Holdings Inc. operates as an integrated online and offline platform for housing transactions and services. The Company offers existing and new home sales, home rentals, home renovation, real estate financial solutions, and other services. KE Holdings conducts businesses in China.

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KE Holdings (BEKE US)

China Internet Weekly (20Mar2023): Baidu, Tencent, KE

Baidu launched a beta test of a ChatGTP-like function, WXYY. Tencent announced it will close its digital collection platform, Huanhe. KE’s revenue...

Ming Lu