CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based upon our FVMR Methodology. Our research team constantly reviews the Thai market to try to find interesting ideas base upon Fundamentals or Valuation or Momentum or Risk or some combination thereof.</p>

We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based upon our FVMR Methodology. Our research team constantly reviews the Thai market to try to find interesting ideas base upon Fundamentals or Valuation or Momentum or Risk or some combination thereof.

The Stocks to Own in Thailand – Vol. 34

Thai Equity - Bottom-up - Equities, Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Pi Research

Thai Equity - Bottom-up - Equities

Leading, full-service investment firm in Thailand

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Pi Securities is a well known securities company with 40 years experience in the industry, serving more than 60,000 clients. We offer one - stop service providing full range of financial products and services including extensive Brokerage, Proprietary Trading (Equities and Bonds), Advisory Services, Structured Products.

Moreover, our new research team tailored for institutional clients to focus on mid to small cap of Thai equities and trading strategies. Our services offered to our premium clients also include arrangement of company or site visits to with the managements of Thai listed companies.

Note: Effective on 1 March 2022, Country Group Securities PCL changed its name to Pi Securities

Equity Bottom-Up

<p><strong>We maintain BUY rating, with new 2022E target price of Bt103.00, from B90, derived from 38.4x PE’22E, which is +1 SD of its 5-year trading average.</strong></p><div>• KCE net profit in 2Q21 was Bt620m (+770%YoY, +23% QoQ). The strong performance was driven by solid profit margin which expanded upon selling price adjustment.</div><div></div><div>• Covid situation that hit KCE in late of June to early of July have already subdued.</div><div></div><div>• There were extra SG&amp;A expenses in 2Q21, which should be lower in 3Q21.</div><div></div><div>• Its margin could expand in 3Q21 given the fully realization of price adjustment, Baht depreciation and better efficiency.</div><div></div><div>• An existing capacity expansion was delayed by little, due to Covid situation.</div><div></div><div>• The new facility investment is on track, which should add more high-end product capacity in 2H22E.</div><div></div><div>• The growth in 2022E is promising given the demand from existing customers and new customers in the pipeline.</div>

We maintain BUY rating, with new 2022E target price of Bt103.00, from B90, derived from 38.4x PE’22E, which is +1 SD of its 5-year trading average.• KCE net profit in 2Q21 was Bt620m (+770%YoY, +23% QoQ). The strong performance was driven by solid profit margin which expanded upon selling price adjustment.• Covid situation that hit KCE in late of June to early of July have already subdued.• There were extra SG&amp;A expenses in 2Q21, which should be lower in 3Q21.• Its margin could expand in 3Q21 given the fully realization of price adjustment, Baht depreciation and better efficiency.• An existing capacity expansion was delayed by little, due to Covid situation.• The new facility investment is on track, which should add more high-end product capacity in 2H22E.• The growth in 2022E is promising given the demand from existing customers and new customers in the pipeline.

<p><strong>We maintain BUY rating, with new 2022E target price of Bt90.00, from Bt74.50, derived from 38.4x PE’22E, which is +1 SD of its 5-year trading average. We see rerating catalyst from KCE resiliency from Covid and bright outlook due to global automotive transition to EV.</strong></p><div>• We expect KCE to report 2Q21 net profit of Bt531m (+644%YoY, +6%QoQ).</div><div></div><div>• We expect 2Q21 revenue at Bt3.6bn (+71%YoY, +6%QoQ). The YoY spike came from low base due to Covid stagnant in 2Q20, while The QoQ increase was thanks to lower day off and upward price adjustment.</div><div></div><div>• We expect 2Q21 gross profit margin of 26.8%, +8.6ppts YoY and +1.8ppts QoQ, thanks to scale effect and price adjustment.</div><div></div><div>• KCE will even be stronger in 2H21E, following the current Baht depreciation and 20% capacity expansion in 4Q21E.</div><div></div><div>• Basically, each one Baht depreciation of THB/USD would enhance KCE gross profit margin by 0.5ppts.</div>

We maintain BUY rating, with new 2022E target price of Bt90.00, from Bt74.50, derived from 38.4x PE’22E, which is +1 SD of its 5-year trading average. We see rerating catalyst from KCE resiliency from Covid and bright outlook due to global automotive transition to EV.• We expect KCE to report 2Q21 net profit of Bt531m (+644%YoY, +6%QoQ).• We expect 2Q21 revenue at Bt3.6bn (+71%YoY, +6%QoQ). The YoY spike came from low base due to Covid stagnant in 2Q20, while The QoQ increase was thanks to lower day off and upward price adjustment.• We expect 2Q21 gross profit margin of 26.8%, +8.6ppts YoY and +1.8ppts QoQ, thanks to scale effect and price adjustment.• KCE will even be stronger in 2H21E, following the current Baht depreciation and 20% capacity expansion in 4Q21E.• Basically, each one Baht depreciation of THB/USD would enhance KCE gross profit margin by 0.5ppts.

KCE: Expected 2Q21E Earning at Bt531m (+644%YoY, +6%QoQ)

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Last Week in Event SPACE: Soho China, Toshiba, China Logistics, Invesco Office, Yantian's Backlog

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

<p>Last evening post market close, the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) announced the results of the semi-annual review of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX)</a> with the changes taking effect after the close of trading on 30 June.</p><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/irpc-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19051:1" rel="noopener">IRPC PCL (IRPC TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kce-electronics-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1892:1" rel="noopener">KCE Electronics PCL (KCE TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sri-trang-agro-industry-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2759:1" rel="noopener">Sri Trang Agro Industry (STA TB)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sri-trang-gloves-thailand-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29141:1" rel="noopener">Sri Trang Gloves (Thailand) Public Company Limited (STGT TB)</a> have been added to the index, replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asset-world-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28136:1" rel="noopener">Asset World Corporation (AWC TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bangkok-commercial-asset-management-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28442:1" rel="noopener">Bangkok Commercial Asset Management (BAM TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toa-paint-thailand-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24235:1" rel="noopener">TOA Paint (Thailand) (TOA TB)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vgi-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12409:1" rel="noopener">VGI PCL (VGI TB)</a>.</p><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asset-world-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28136:1" rel="noopener">Asset World Corporation (AWC TB)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toa-paint-thailand-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24235:1" rel="noopener">TOA Paint (Thailand) (TOA TB)</a> are deletes on liquidity. We had <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asset-world-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28136:1" rel="noopener">Asset World Corporation (AWC TB)</a> just about passing the liquidity test, while the SET sees it as failing the test.</p><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/irpc-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19051:1" rel="noopener">IRPC PCL (IRPC TB)</a> was deleted from the index at the December 2020 rebalance and has gained 8.6% since then, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bangkok-commercial-asset-management-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28442:1" rel="noopener">Bangkok Commercial Asset Management (BAM TB)</a> was included in the index at the same review and has lost 11.4% since then.</p><p>One-way turnover for the rebalance is 2.86%. The impact of passive fund trading on the deletions is expected to be a lot higher than that on the inclusions.</p><p>With <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gulf-energy-development-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26038:1" rel="noopener">Gulf Energy Development Public Company (GULF TB)</a> shareholders meeting for their EGM on 25 June, the tender offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intouch-holdings-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17638:1" rel="noopener">Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)</a> should be approved. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/banpu-public-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15363:1" rel="noopener">Banpu Public (BANPU TB)</a> is the frontrunner to join the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX)</a> once the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intouch-holdings-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17638:1" rel="noopener">Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)</a> tender offer is complete and the free float drops below 20%.</p>

Last evening post market close, the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) announced the results of the semi-annual review of the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX) with the changes taking effect after the close of trading on 30 June.IRPC PCL (IRPC TB), KCE Electronics PCL (KCE TB), Sri Trang Agro Industry (STA TB) and Sri Trang Gloves (Thailand) Public Company Limited (STGT TB) have been added to the index, replacing Asset World Corporation (AWC TB), Bangkok Commercial Asset Management (BAM TB), TOA Paint (Thailand) (TOA TB) and VGI PCL (VGI TB).Asset World Corporation (AWC TB) and TOA Paint (Thailand) (TOA TB) are deletes on liquidity. We had Asset World Corporation (AWC TB) just about passing the liquidity test, while the SET sees it as failing the test.IRPC PCL (IRPC TB) was deleted from the index at the December 2020 rebalance and has gained 8.6% since then, while Bangkok Commercial Asset Management (BAM TB) was included in the index at the same review and has lost 11.4% since then.One-way turnover for the rebalance is 2.86%. The impact of passive fund trading on the deletions is expected to be a lot higher than that on the inclusions.With Gulf Energy Development Public Company (GULF TB) shareholders meeting for their EGM on 25 June, the tender offer for Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB) should be approved. Banpu Public (BANPU TB) is the frontrunner to join the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX) once the Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB) tender offer is complete and the free float drops below 20%.

SET50 June Index Rebalance: Four Changes Announced; One More Coming Up Soon

Thailand

Hana Microelectronics Public Company Limited is an electronics manufacturing service company.  The Company manufactures electronic components on behalf of its customers for shipment to them or their customers.

Cal-Comp Electronics (Thailand) PCL is an original equipment manufacturer of computer peripheral, office equipment and consumer electronic products. Its products include desktop computers, CD-ROMS, web pads, MP3 players, integrated receiver decoders, fax machines, mobile phones, cordless phones, pagers, and transceivers.  The Company is part of Kinpo Group of Taiwan.

SVI Public Company Limited provides printed circuit board contract manufacturing services.  Most of its customers are original equipment manufacturers of computer peripheral products, telecommunication equipment, and industrial equipment and instruments.

Jaymart PCL distributes mobile phones and accessories.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, provide retail management and debt collection services.

Synnex Thailand PCL distributes computer products.  The Company distributes computer components and peripherals, servers and storage devices, security products, computer software, and consumables.

Forth Corp PCL manufactures and sells telecommunications and electronic equipment. The Company also develop and install the data management system, manufactures, sells, and installs traffic light system and equipment, manufactures and sells electronic signs, as well as distributes electronic parts.

SiS Distribution (Thailand) Public Company Ltd. distributes computers and peripherals.  The Company distributes the products to resellers, retailers, system integrators, software houses, value added resellers, and original equipment manufacturers.

Samart Corporation Public Company Limited develops satellite communication systems, supplies various system types of television signals, and provides mobile multimedia content as well as enterprise network solution services. The Company also distributes telecommunication products, and provides mobile phone service and air traffic control service in Cambodia.

Muramoto Electron (Thailand) Public Company Limited manufactures electronic component parts including video deck chassis, compact disc auto changer assembly, cathode ray tube (CRT), electric appliance parts, as well as electron gun and precision metal parts.  The Company is a part of the Muramoto Group of Japan.

Team Precision Public Company Limited provides contract-manufacturing services of printed circuit board assemblies (PCBAs), and turnkey electronic services to original equipment manufacturers.  The company produces PCBAs using surface mount, plated through hole, and chip on board technologies.  It also offers product design and testing, material sourcing, and engineering support services.

Topcorn Corporation manufactures and sells measuring equipment and medical equipment primarily for ophthalmologist use. The Company also manufactures industrial products including projectors and optical devices.

CTS Corporation designs and manufactures electronic components and sensors to original equipment manufacturers in the automotive, communications, medical, defense and aerospace, industrial and computer markets.

Genus Power Infrastructures Ltd. manufactures electronic meters and other power control equipment. The Company produces residential, industrial, substation, agricultural, grid and group meters, inverters, uninterruptible power supplies, and hybrid microcircuits; and designs and constructs substations, transmission and distribution lines, and electrification projects.

PC Connection, Inc. is a direct marketer of personal computers and related peripherals, software, accessories, and networking products. The Company sells to small and medium-sized businesses. PC Connection carries high turnover products in inventory, and in addition provides customer service and technical support.

Wah Lee Industrial Corp. markets engineering plastic materials for computer peripherals and electronic connectors.  The Company also sells chemicals, integrated circuit (IC) processing materials,  as well as printed circuit board (PCB) manufacturing equipment.

ITEQ Corporation manufactures and markets prepregs and copper clad laminates for the printed circuit board industry. The Company mainly sells its products overseas.

Wuhu Token Science Co., Ltd. researches, produces and sells vacuum thin film material for flat panel displays.  The Company's products are liquid crystal display conductive film glass, touch-screen conductive film glass, and mobile phone panel material.

Codan Limited develops rugged and electronics solutions for international government, corporate, NGO and consumer markets. The company's line of business includes provision of radio communications, metal detection and tracking solutions.

Benchmark Electronics, Inc. provides contract electronics manufacturing and design services.  The Company serves original equipment manufacturers of medical devices, industrial control equipment, testing and instrumentation products, and telecommunications equipment.  Benchmark also offers product design, printed circuit board layout, prototyping and test development services.

Shenzhen Topband Co., Ltd. researches, manufactures and markets electronic intelligent controllers for electric household appliances.

KCE Electronics Public Company Limited and its subsidiaries manufacture and export single-layered, multi-layered, and double-sided printed circuit boards (PCBs) under its KCE trademark.  Multi-layered PCBs are used mainly in high technology equipment and high precision instruments.  Double-sided PCBs are used largely in telecommunication and computing equipment.

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KCE Electronics PCL (KCE TB)

The Stocks to Own in Thailand – Vol. 34

Our research team constantly reviews the Thai market to try to find interesting ideas base upon Fundamentals or Valuation or Momentum or Risk or...

A. Stotz Investment Research

KCE: On Promising Growth Path

We maintain BUY rating, with new 2022E target price of Bt103.00, from B90, derived from 38.4x PE’22E, which is +1 SD of its 5-year trading average.

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

KCE: Expected 2Q21E Earning at Bt531m (+644%YoY, +6%QoQ)

We maintain BUY rating, with new 2022E target price of Bt90.00, from Bt74.50, derived from 38.4x PE’22E, which is +1 SD of its 5-year trading...

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Last Week in Event SPACE: Soho China, Toshiba, China Logistics, Invesco Office, Yantian's Backlog

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

SET50 June Index Rebalance: Four Changes Announced; One More Coming Up Soon

There are 4 changes to the SET50 index with IRPC, KCE, STA & STGT replacing AWC, BAM, TOA & VGI. BANPU could be included in the next couple of...

Brian Freitas

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