Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

AP Moeller - Maersk A/S / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Our index shows April pricing momentum remained positive in deep-sea trades</li>
<li>Evergreen Marine posted strong revenue and earnings growth in Q124</li>
<li>Container carriers have performed well YTD in 2024; we expect convergence</li>
</ul>


Our index shows April pricing momentum remained positive in deep-sea trades
Evergreen Marine posted strong revenue and earnings growth in Q124
Container carriers have performed well YTD in 2024; we expect convergence


Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Pricing Still Firm | Share Prices Converging | (May 2024)

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>KKR's Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alps-logistics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3935:1" rel="noopener">Alps Logistics (9055 JP)</a> is a knock-out price. HUGE MINORITY WIN. This trades a little wide because the "gap risk" is so large, but it's still safe.</li>
<li>It's reasonable to expect the listing of various components of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-occitane-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6772:1" rel="noopener">L'Occitane (973 HK)</a> other than in HK, would (should) be hugely accretive; for those investors who can (or may) participate.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hankook-tire-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20031:1" rel="noopener">Hankook Tire &amp; Technology (161390 KS)</a> seeks a controlling stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanon-systems" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11506:1" rel="noopener">Hanon Systems (018880 KS)</a>.</li>
</ul>


KKR's Offer for Alps Logistics (9055 JP) is a knock-out price. HUGE MINORITY WIN. This trades a little wide because the "gap risk" is so large, but it's still safe.
It's reasonable to expect the listing of various components of L'Occitane (973 HK) other than in HK, would (should) be hugely accretive; for those investors who can (or may) participate.

Hankook Tire &amp; Technology (161390 KS) seeks a controlling stake in Hanon Systems (018880 KS).


Last Week in Event SPACE: Alps Logistics, L'Occitane, Hanon Systems, Perpetual Ltd

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>Last May, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-yusen-kk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12285:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Yusen Kk (9101 JP)</a> announced buybacks of ¥200bn over 2 years. In August, they changed it to say  ¥200bn in the next nine months.</li>
<li>That helped support the stock through early March. It was big, and a decent percentage of ADV. Today, they announced earnings and guidance and another ¥100bn buyback through April 2025.</li>
<li>Earnings were OK. Guidance is a little low vs the Street. The stock popped 5% from where it was trading. Lower impact vs 2023. More cross-holder overhang consideration. </li>
</ul>


Last May, Nippon Yusen Kk (9101 JP) announced buybacks of ¥200bn over 2 years. In August, they changed it to say  ¥200bn in the next nine months.
That helped support the stock through early March. It was big, and a decent percentage of ADV. Today, they announced earnings and guidance and another ¥100bn buyback through April 2025.
Earnings were OK. Guidance is a little low vs the Street. The stock popped 5% from where it was trading. Lower impact vs 2023. More cross-holder overhang consideration. 


Nippon Yusen (9101) - Another Big Buyback Announced, But Details Matter

<ul>
<li>Our analysis suggests container rate momentum remained +ive in March</li>
<li>Despite higher fuel expense, core container margins likely rose Y/Y in Q124</li>
<li>Our L/S pair trade? It's worked, a little, but Evergreen shares have stayed firm</li>
</ul>


Our analysis suggests container rate momentum remained +ive in March
Despite higher fuel expense, core container margins likely rose Y/Y in Q124
Our L/S pair trade? It's worked, a little, but Evergreen shares have stayed firm


Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | March Volumes Strong | Q1 Margins Likely Up Y/Y (April 2024)

<ul>
<li>Strong uptick in price momentum in February reflects booming spot market</li>
<li>February container throughput growth in key regions also firm, up 7.4% Y/Y</li>
<li>We suggest Short Evergreen vs Long Maersk (or ZIM) pair trade idea</li>
</ul>


Strong uptick in price momentum in February reflects booming spot market
February container throughput growth in key regions also firm, up 7.4% Y/Y
We suggest Short Evergreen vs Long Maersk (or ZIM) pair trade idea


Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | February Spot Rates Strong | Volume Firm, Too | (March 2024)

Japan

Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, Ltd. operates marine cargo and passenger transportation around the world.  The Company provides ocean liner, bulk carrier, car carrier, unscheduled specialized carrier, and energy transportation services. The Company also offers insurance, warehousing, and land transportation services.  Items transported include automobile, grain, petroleum, coal, iron ore, and wood chip.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha (9107 JP)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Alps Logistics, L'Occitane, Hanon Systems, Perpetual Ltd

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Nippon Yusen (9101) - Another Big Buyback Announced, But Details Matter

Nippon Yusen today announced erns, guidance, a div hike, and an added buyback to last year's new MTMP. The stock reacted well. The buyback is...

Travis Lundy

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | March Volumes Strong | Q1 Margins Likely Up Y/Y (April 2024)

Container rate momentum remained +ive in March, & we believe carriers' margins probably improved Y/Y in Q124 (despite higher fuel expenses). Our L...

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | February Spot Rates Strong | Volume Firm, Too | (March 2024)

February price momentum improved dramatically, to levels not seen since Q322. Spot rates have lifted some carriers' shares YTD, but we expect share...

Tracking Traffic

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Pricing Still Firm | Share Prices Converging | (May 2024)

Average deep-sea rates and traffic remained firm in April. The L/S pair trades we suggested back in mid-March? One of them has worked out quite well.

Tracking Traffic

Last Week in Event SPACE: Alps Logistics, L'Occitane, Hanon Systems, Perpetual Ltd

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Nippon Yusen (9101) - Another Big Buyback Announced, But Details Matter

Nippon Yusen today announced erns, guidance, a div hike, and an added buyback to last year's new MTMP. The stock reacted well. The buyback is...

Travis Lundy

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | March Volumes Strong | Q1 Margins Likely Up Y/Y (April 2024)

Container rate momentum remained +ive in March, & we believe carriers' margins probably improved Y/Y in Q124 (despite higher fuel expenses). Our L...

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | February Spot Rates Strong | Volume Firm, Too | (March 2024)

February price momentum improved dramatically, to levels not seen since Q322. Spot rates have lifted some carriers' shares YTD, but we expect share...

Tracking Traffic