Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Ngern Tid Lor (NTL), a financial service provider based in Thailand, raised around US$1bn in its Thailand IPO in May 2021.</li>
<li>NTL provides hire purchase loans for motorcycles and cars, along with new and used trucks. It also provides insurance brokerage services through its branches for non-life and life insurance. </li>
<li>The lock-up on its two main shareholders will expire today.</li>
</ul>


Ngern Tid Lor (NTL), a financial service provider based in Thailand, raised around US$1bn in its Thailand IPO in May 2021.
NTL provides hire purchase loans for motorcycles and cars, along with new and used trucks. It also provides insurance brokerage services through its branches for non-life and life insurance. 
The lock-up on its two main shareholders will expire today.


Ngern Tid Lor IPO Lock-Up - A US$660m Overhang. Selldown Is a Question of When, Not If.

Thai Equity - Bottom-up - Equities, Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Pi Research

Thai Equity - Bottom-up - Equities

Leading, full-service investment firm in Thailand

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Pi Securities is a well known securities company with 40 years experience in the industry, serving more than 60,000 clients. We offer one - stop service providing full range of financial products and services including extensive Brokerage, Proprietary Trading (Equities and Bonds), Advisory Services, Structured Products.

Moreover, our new research team tailored for institutional clients to focus on mid to small cap of Thai equities and trading strategies. Our services offered to our premium clients also include arrangement of company or site visits to with the managements of Thai listed companies.

Note: Effective on 1 March 2022, Country Group Securities PCL changed its name to Pi Securities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Reiterate our BUY rating with a target price of Bt174. Our BUY call reflects (1) steady growth ahead from improving economic recovery; (2) adequate reserves against new NPLs</li>
<li>Management maintained 2022 financial guidance despite a GDP downgrade. It would likely concentrate on implementing comprehensive debt restructuring to improve the balance sheet.</li>
<li>Net profit in 1Q22 came in line with our expectations at Bt11.2bn (+5% YoY, +13% QoQ).</li>
</ul>


Reiterate our BUY rating with a target price of Bt174. Our BUY call reflects (1) steady growth ahead from improving economic recovery; (2) adequate reserves against new NPLs
Management maintained 2022 financial guidance despite a GDP downgrade. It would likely concentrate on implementing comprehensive debt restructuring to improve the balance sheet.
Net profit in 1Q22 came in line with our expectations at Bt11.2bn (+5% YoY, +13% QoQ).


KBANK: Concentration on Debt Restructuring Ahead

Independent Asian Credit Research, Bondcritic

Warut Promboon

Independent Asian Credit Research

Asian Fixed Income/Frontier Market Research

Bondcritic

Bondcritic, established in 2009, is designed to be an independent credit research voice that helps investors gain insights and unbiased analyses on Asian fixed income market. Our mission is to discover deep-value Asian high-yield and distressed bonds with a bottom-up approach, together with the help of our proprietary ESG (Environmental, Social Development, and Governance) model. At the same time, we focus on bringing investment cases of unrated and unloved issuers to the general public.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>BOT’s pledge to issue virtual banking guidelines in June this year leads us to believe Thailand is finally ready to join the virtual banking era.  https://www.bot.or.th/landscape/files/consultation-paper-en.pdf</li>
<li>E-Commerce payments, remittances, and digital lending; all of which will facilitate the growth of tokenization in Thailand.</li>
<li>In this report, we look into Thailand’s virtual banking landscape.</li>
</ul>


BOT’s pledge to issue virtual banking guidelines in June this year leads us to believe Thailand is finally ready to join the virtual banking era.  https://www.bot.or.th/landscape/files/consultation-paper-en.pdf
E-Commerce payments, remittances, and digital lending; all of which will facilitate the growth of tokenization in Thailand.
In this report, we look into Thailand’s virtual banking landscape.


Virtual Banking: Thailand Is Finally Ready

<ul>
<li>We reiterate our BUY rating with a target price of Bt174. Our BUY call reflects (1) steady growth ahead from improving economic recovery; (2) adequate reserves against new NPLs</li>
<li>Net profit will likely rise 6% YoY (+14% QoQ) in 1Q22 given higher net interest income from elevated loans and an improvement in cost to income ratio.</li>
<li>We expect minimal impacts from S&amp;P Global Rating downgrade from “BBB+” to “BBB”. </li>
</ul>


We reiterate our BUY rating with a target price of Bt174. Our BUY call reflects (1) steady growth ahead from improving economic recovery; (2) adequate reserves against new NPLs
Net profit will likely rise 6% YoY (+14% QoQ) in 1Q22 given higher net interest income from elevated loans and an improvement in cost to income ratio.
We expect minimal impacts from S&amp;P Global Rating downgrade from “BBB+” to “BBB”. 


KBANK: Growth Remains Intact Despite Economic Headwinds

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

<ul>
<li>Financials sector allocations continue to move higher.  Average holding weights stand at 18.78%, the highest level since early 2020 and well up from the lows of 15.06% in Sep 2020</li>
<li>Indonesia, Singapore, India and Thailand were responsible for the moves higher, with China &amp; HK not participating in the upturn. </li>
<li>AIA Group Ltd is the most widely held stock.  China Merchants Bank and Bank Central Asia the key overweights. China Construction Bank and ICBC are largely avoided by Asian investors.</li>
</ul>


Financials sector allocations continue to move higher.  Average holding weights stand at 18.78%, the highest level since early 2020 and well up from the lows of 15.06% in Sep 2020
Indonesia, Singapore, India and Thailand were responsible for the moves higher, with China &amp; HK not participating in the upturn. 
AIA Group Ltd is the most widely held stock.  China Merchants Bank and Bank Central Asia the key overweights. China Construction Bank and ICBC are largely avoided by Asian investors.


Asia Ex-Japan:  Financials Recovery Leaves China Behind

Thailand

Kasikornbank Public Company Limited provides commercial banking services including personal and commercial banking, international trade, as well as investment banking services, to its customers throughout Thailand.  The Bank has foreign branches in Los Angeles, Hong Kong, Cayman Islands, and Shenzhen; and representative offices in Shanghai, Beijing, and Kunmin.

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Kasikornbank (KBANK/F TB)

Ngern Tid Lor IPO Lock-Up - A US$660m Overhang. Selldown Is a Question of When, Not If.

Ngern Tid Lor (NTL), a financial service provider based in Thailand, raised around US$1bn in its Thailand IPO in May 2021. The lock-up on its two...

Sumeet Singh

KBANK: Concentration on Debt Restructuring Ahead

Reiterate our BUY rating with a target price of Bt174. Our BUY call reflects (1) steady growth ahead from improving economic recovery; (2) adequate...

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Virtual Banking: Thailand Is Finally Ready

To get ready for Thailand's virtual banking license this year, we look into Thailand’s digital wallet landscape, microfinancing, and debt...

Bondcritic

KBANK: Growth Remains Intact Despite Economic Headwinds

We reiterate our BUY rating with a target price of Bt174. Our BUY call reflects (1) steady growth ahead from improving economic recovery; (2)...

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Asia Ex-Japan: Financials Recovery Leaves China Behind

Financials exposure moves higher. Active weights hit their highest level since early 2020. Indonesia, Singapore and India Financials were the...

Steven Holden

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