Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>There is a lot of excitement and uncertainty about the paint sector especially Asian Paints' leadership in the broader market and among analysts.</li>
<li>We interact with a couple of paint dealers across Delhi and Dimapur to gauge the sentiment on the ground.</li>
<li>While there is no denying that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grasim-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:290:1" rel="noopener">Grasim Industries (GRASIM IN)</a> poses a credible threat it might be too early to write off the market leader <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asian-paints-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6354:1" rel="noopener">Asian Paints (APNT IN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


There is a lot of excitement and uncertainty about the paint sector especially Asian Paints' leadership in the broader market and among analysts.
We interact with a couple of paint dealers across Delhi and Dimapur to gauge the sentiment on the ground.
While there is no denying that Grasim Industries (GRASIM IN) poses a credible threat it might be too early to write off the market leader Asian Paints (APNT IN). 


External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We recently interacted with numerous store managers and companies to assess the festive performance and demand in discretionary categories</li><li>Despite a promising start to the festive season, most categories (excluding jewellery and travel) seem to have hit the snooze button</li><li>Several factors contribute to this, including (1) the normalisation of ticket sizes and purchase frequencies, (2) weak footfalls (on a per sq foot basis), and (3) a trend towards downtrading</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We recently interacted with numerous store managers and companies to assess the festive performance and demand in discretionary categoriesDespite a promising start to the festive season, most categories (excluding jewellery and travel) seem to have hit the snooze buttonSeveral factors contribute to this, including (1) the normalisation of ticket sizes and purchase frequencies, (2) weak footfalls (on a per sq foot basis), and (3) a trend towards downtradingContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Festive temperature check: Festive mood sombre

<ul><li>State Bank of India: SBIN posted a mixed bag of results with the highest-ever quarterly earnings again, led by lower opex and credit costs</li><li>However, loan growth moderated (+1% QoQ) in addition to a 37bps QoQ decline in domestic NIMs (3.47%) and lower other income</li><li>Gross slippages flared up to 1% annualised, primarily from the retail segment, but were offset by recoveries/w-offs that resulted in a flattish GNPA (2.8%)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

State Bank of India: SBIN posted a mixed bag of results with the highest-ever quarterly earnings again, led by lower opex and credit costsHowever, loan growth moderated (+1% QoQ) in addition to a 37bps QoQ decline in domestic NIMs (3.47%) and lower other incomeGross slippages flared up to 1% annualised, primarily from the retail segment, but were offset by recoveries/w-offs that resulted in a flattish GNPA (2.8%)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: State Bank of India, Mahindra & Mahindra, Kansai Nerolac

<ul><li>Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~15% YoY in Q1FY24</li><li>However, beneath the averages lies the rub</li><li>Excluding 3 companies the average drops to sub 10%</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~15% YoY in Q1FY24However, beneath the averages lies the rubExcluding 3 companies the average drops to sub 10%Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Discretionary: Beneath the averages lies the rub

Consumer Discretionary - Beneath the Averages Lies the Rub

India

Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited manufactures paints, varnishes and enamels. The Company also fabricates synthetic resins, organic & inorganic pigments and oils. Kansai Nerolac's products are used for decorative, marine and industrial purposes.

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Kansai Nerolac Paints (KNPL IN)

Asian Paints (APNT IN) | Hold Your Guns

We interact with a couple of paint dealers across Delhi, Dehradun, and Dimapur to gauge the sentiment on the ground in terms of Grasim's Paint Foray.

Pranav Bhavsar

Festive temperature check: Festive mood sombre

We recently interacted with numerous store managers and companies to assess the festive performance and demand in discretionary categories

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: State Bank of India, Mahindra & Mahindra, Kansai Nerolac

State Bank of India: SBIN posted a mixed bag of results with the highest-ever quarterly earnings again, led by lower opex and credit costs

HDFC Securities

Consumer Discretionary: Beneath the averages lies the rub

Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~15% YoY in Q1FY24. However, beneath the averages lies the rub. Excluding 3 companies the average...

HDFC Securities

Consumer Discretionary - Beneath the Averages Lies the Rub

Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~15% YoY in Q1FY24. However, beneath the averages lies the rub. Excluding 3 companies the average...

HDFC Securities

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)