Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. SPX +1.1% rebounds on Tech and Consumer led rally post strong housing, consumer confidence numbers; AI led names back strong after recent profit taking; China Primier says more stimulus</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.8% vs Cash; USDJPY 144.1;  Speculation grows on MoF Yen intervention as Japan appoints official who led last years intervention; Nintendo Family Office prevails over Toyo Construction</li>
<li>NUGGET. KEPCO(9503) formed a 50-50 JV with US DataCenter specialist CyrusOne. Will look to get 900MW over then next 10 years.  Could be significant future earnings driver for KEPCO.</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. SPX +1.1% rebounds on Tech and Consumer led rally post strong housing, consumer confidence numbers; AI led names back strong after recent profit taking; China Primier says more stimulus
JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.8% vs Cash; USDJPY 144.1;  Speculation grows on MoF Yen intervention as Japan appoints official who led last years intervention; Nintendo Family Office prevails over Toyo Construction
NUGGET. KEPCO(9503) formed a 50-50 JV with US DataCenter specialist CyrusOne. Will look to get 900MW over then next 10 years.  Could be significant future earnings driver for KEPCO.


Ohayo Japan|SPX Rebounds on Raft of Good News; NUGGET: KEPCO(9503)-Nuke Restarts, Next Datacenters

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. SPX -0.5% with Tech highflyers bearing the run of the decline; Fed Chair Powell thinking two more hikes this year; Tesla downgraded as rally not backed back fundamentals</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.1% Disc to Cash;  Expect Japan tech to take the signal from the US; Kishida vow to deliver on wage growth; Panasonic and Mazda do battery deal</li>
<li>NUGGET.  Mitsubishi Motors(7211) - Issues in China fully capture the stuggles for OEMs without a competitive BEV product/strategy. </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. SPX -0.5% with Tech highflyers bearing the run of the decline; Fed Chair Powell thinking two more hikes this year; Tesla downgraded as rally not backed back fundamentals
JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.1% Disc to Cash;  Expect Japan tech to take the signal from the US; Kishida vow to deliver on wage growth; Panasonic and Mazda do battery deal
NUGGET.  Mitsubishi Motors(7211) - Issues in China fully capture the stuggles for OEMs without a competitive BEV product/strategy. 


Ohayo Japan| Powell Drives Fear into Equities/Tech; NUGGET: Mit Motors(7211)-Fruitless Uphill Climb

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. US Rally Pauses as weak(er) Services ISM brings recession risk reminder; MS Big Bearish Call on SPX; Apple unveils Game Changing VR Headset ; Crypto Worries -Binance CEO Charged</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.3% vs Cash; Expect a pull back today given US pause, overbought markets, and stronger yen;  MS Bullish Call on Japan; Panasonic expands Battery production for TESLA</li>
<li>NUGGET. Data Centers - Demand set to Explode with AI: Next Growth Driver for an Already undervalued Kansai Electric ?</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. US Rally Pauses as weak(er) Services ISM brings recession risk reminder; MS Big Bearish Call on SPX; Apple unveils Game Changing VR Headset ; Crypto Worries -Binance CEO Charged
JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.3% vs Cash; Expect a pull back today given US pause, overbought markets, and stronger yen;  MS Bullish Call on Japan; Panasonic expands Battery production for TESLA
NUGGET. Data Centers - Demand set to Explode with AI: Next Growth Driver for an Already undervalued Kansai Electric ?


Ohayo Japan|US Rally Pauses on Services ISM-Recession Fears?; NUGGET: KEPCO, AI, and Data Centers ?

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  SPX Flat as Debt Limit talks Weight; Fed's Bullard sees 2 more hikes; China Ban's Micron's Chips; Ford Moves to secure Lithium supplies. CEO sees Auto prices falling 5%</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.4% premium vs Cash; Japan to tighten rules on Semi exports to China; Kansai Elect,  CyrusOne set up Japan JV to invest in DataCenters</li>
<li>NUGGET.  Japan passed the GX Promotion Law that will support 150 trillion of investment over the next 10 years. Decarbonization boom in Japan is just beginning..</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  SPX Flat as Debt Limit talks Weight; Fed's Bullard sees 2 more hikes; China Ban's Micron's Chips; Ford Moves to secure Lithium supplies. CEO sees Auto prices falling 5%
JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.4% premium vs Cash; Japan to tighten rules on Semi exports to China; Kansai Elect,  CyrusOne set up Japan JV to invest in DataCenters
NUGGET.  Japan passed the GX Promotion Law that will support 150 trillion of investment over the next 10 years. Decarbonization boom in Japan is just beginning..


Ohayo Japan |SPX Flat;Crunch Time on the Debt; NUGGET: GX Promotion Law - Decarbonization Boom Ahead

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

S&P BSE SENSEX Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our 2023 outlook remains unchanged as we continue to expect broad-based consolidation with $93 capping upside on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), while important downside targets are $86, $84, and $75-77.</li>
<li>We still recommend tactical overweight to defensives including gold miners and MSCI ACWI Staples, Health Care, and Utilities, given ACWI-US remains near the top of our expected 2023 trading range.</li>
<li>We are now starting to see broad-based improvement, particularly in Japan and India, but also in Taiwan and South Korea. Most of today's buy recommendations are cyclicals in these countries.</li>
</ul>


Our 2023 outlook remains unchanged as we continue to expect broad-based consolidation with $93 capping upside on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), while important downside targets are $86, $84, and $75-77.
We still recommend tactical overweight to defensives including gold miners and MSCI ACWI Staples, Health Care, and Utilities, given ACWI-US remains near the top of our expected 2023 trading range.
We are now starting to see broad-based improvement, particularly in Japan and India, but also in Taiwan and South Korea. Most of today's buy recommendations are cyclicals in these countries.


Broad-Based Improvement in India, Add Exposure/Overweight. Buys: Cyclicals in Japan, India, & Taiwan

Japan

The Kansai Electric Power Company, Incorporated generates electricity from hydroelectric, thermal, geothermal, and nuclear power sources.  The Company distributes electricity to Osaka and the surrounding Kansai area.  Kansai Electric also constructs and maintains electrical power facilities.

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Kansai Electric Power (9503 JP)

Ohayo Japan|SPX Rebounds on Raft of Good News; NUGGET: KEPCO(9503)-Nuke Restarts, Next Datacenters

US stocks rebound on strong Macro; NKY Futs +0.8% vs Cash; USDJPY 144.1; Speculation grows on MoF Yen intervention; Nintendo Family Office...

Mark Chadwick

Ohayo Japan| Powell Drives Fear into Equities/Tech; NUGGET: Mit Motors(7211)-Fruitless Uphill Climb

Powell sees 2 more hikes; NKY Futs -0.1% Disc to Cash; Expect Japan tech to take the signal from the US; Kishida vow to deliver on wage growth;...

Mark Chadwick

Ohayo Japan|US Rally Pauses on Services ISM-Recession Fears?; NUGGET: KEPCO, AI, and Data Centers ?

NKY Futs -0.3% vs Cash; Expect a pull back today given US pause, overbought markets, and stronger yen; MS Bullish Call on Japan; Panasonic expands...

Mark Chadwick

Ohayo Japan |SPX Flat;Crunch Time on the Debt; NUGGET: GX Promotion Law - Decarbonization Boom Ahead

SPX flat. US faces Default by June 1 if no Debt deal; NKY Futs +0.4% premium vs Cash; Japan to tighten rules on Semi exports to China; Kansai...

Mark Chadwick

Broad-Based Improvement in India, Add Exposure/Overweight. Buys: Cyclicals in Japan, India, & Taiwan

Seeing broad-based improvement in India #SENSEX -- overweight/add exposure. We still recommend a tactical overweight to ACWI defensives with $ACWI...

Vermilion Research

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