Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Equity Capital Markets

<p>Currently, the biggest controversy in the valuation presented by Kakao Pay on local streets is the inclusion of PayPal.</p><p>Of course, PayPal is similar to Kakao Pay in that the payment method accounts for the majority of sales. However, the problem is that Paypal is significantly different from Kakao Pay in terms of sales volume, service market scope, and market capitalization.</p><p>PayPal operates in global markets, with a market cap of ₩385T and sales of ₩24T. On the other hand, Kakao Pay has no business base other than the domestic market. And as of last year, Kakao Pay's sales amounted to ₩284B, which is nearly one-hundredth of that of PayPal.</p><p>In particular, Kakao Pay's share of the domestic payment service market last year was only 16.6%. Even in the local market, Kakao Pay does not have a clear advantage over competing services like Samsung Pay, Payco, and Naver Pay.</p><p><strong>In conclusion, although Kakao Pay has a fast growth rate, a direct comparison with PayPal, which has a significantly different target market size and sales level, is simply unreasonable.</strong></p><p>Paypal's growth-adjusted EV/Sales multiple came in at a whopping 81.6x. Including Paypal in the valuation peer group was the direct cause of raising Kakao Pay's valuation to an irrational level.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="200">
<col width="150">
<col width="150">
<col width="150">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Kakao Pay: Growth-adjusted EV/Sale"}'>Kakao Pay: Growth-adjusted EV/Sale</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Current"}'>Current</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Excluding Paypal"}'>Excluding Paypal</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Note"}'>Note</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Sales growth rate"}'>Sales growth rate</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.834}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]'>83.40%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.834}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]'>83.40%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"A"}'>A</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Growth rate adjustment factor (EV/Sales multiple ÷ Sales growth rate)"}'><strong>Growth rate adjustment factor (EV/Sales multiple ÷ Sales growth rate)</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44.7619777559236}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"0.00x"]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-5]C[0]"><strong>44.76x</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":26.3039095727218}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"0.00x"]' data-sheets-formula="=average(R[-6]C[0]:R[-6]C[1])"><strong>26.30x</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"B"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]'><strong>B</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Growth-adjusted EV/Sales multiple"}'>Growth-adjusted EV/Sales multiple</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":37.33148944844028}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"0.00x"]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]*R[-2]C[0]">37.33x</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":21.93746058364998}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"0.00x"]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]*R[-2]C[0]">21.94x</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"C = A X B"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]'>C = A X B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Annualized sales based on 1Q21 sales"}'>Annualized sales based on 1Q21 sales</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":428.575}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]'>₩428.6B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":428.575}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]'>₩428.6B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"D"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]'>D</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Enterprise value (EV)"}'>Enterprise value (EV)</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":15971.899}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]'>₩15,971.9B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":9401.84716963779}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-2]C[0]*R[-1]C[0]">₩9,401.8B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"E = C X D"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]'>E = C X D</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Net debt"}'>Net debt</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-647.284}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]'>-₩647.3B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-647.284}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]'>-₩647.3B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"F"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]'>F</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Market cap"}'><strong>Market cap</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":16619.183}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-2]C[0]-R[-1]C[0]"><strong>₩16,619.2B</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":10049.131169637789}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-2]C[0]-R[-1]C[0]"><strong>₩10,049.1B</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"G = E - F"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]'><strong>G = E - F</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Number of diluted shares after IPO"}'>Number of diluted shares after IPO</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":135880810}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0",1]'>135,880,810</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":135880810}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0",1]'>135,880,810</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"H"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]'>H</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Price per share"}'><strong>Price per share</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":122307.0645516464}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,4,"[$₩]#,##0",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-2]C[0]*1000000000/R[-1]C[0]"><strong>₩122,307</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":73955.48473428874}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,4,"[$₩]#,##0",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-2]C[0]*1000000000/R[-1]C[0]"><strong>₩73,955</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"I = G / H"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]'><strong>I = G / H</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="4" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><p>Then, if we use only the average of the other two peers excluding PayPal, the growth-adjusted EV/Sales multiple will be 26.3x. Applying this, the market cap is ₩10T, and the price per share is ₩74,000. If the same 21.51~48.49% discount rate is applied here, the market cap will range from ₩5T to ₩7.6T, and the price per share will range from ₩38,000 to ₩58,000.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="200">
<col width="150">
<col width="150">
<col width="150">
<col width="150">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Indicative price band"}'>Indicative price band</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Low"}'>Low</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"High"}'>High</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Low, excl. Paypal"}'>Low, excl. Paypal</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"High, excl. Paypal"}'>High, excl. Paypal</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Price"}'><strong>Price</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":63000}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]'>₩63,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":96000}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]'>₩96,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":38094.247093083985}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R20C3*(1-R[4]C[0])"><strong>₩38,094</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":58048.376522794635}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R20C3*(1-R[4]C[0])"><strong>₩58,048</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Base deal size"}'>Base deal size</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1071}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]*Terms!R8C2/1000000000">₩1,071.0B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1632}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]*Terms!R8C2/1000000000">₩1,632.0B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":647.6022005824277}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]*Terms!R8C2/1000000000"><strong>₩647.6B</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":986.8224008875088}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]*Terms!R8C2/1000000000"><strong>₩986.8B</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - Institutional allotment"}'>- Institutional allotment</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":589.0500000000001}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]*Terms!R12C2">₩589.1B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":897.6}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]*Terms!R12C2">₩897.6B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":356.18121032033525}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]*Terms!R12C2"><strong>₩356.2B</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":542.7523204881298}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]*Terms!R12C2"><strong>₩542.8B</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Implied market cap"}'><strong>Implied market cap</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":8213.128875}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-3]C[0]*130367125/1000000000">₩8,213.1B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":12515.244}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-3]C[0]*130367125/1000000000">₩12,515.2B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":4966.237472564967}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-3]C[0]*130367125/1000000000"><strong>₩4,966.2B</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":7567.599958194233}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-3]C[0]*130367125/1000000000"><strong>₩7,567.6B</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - Discount"}'>- Discount</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.48490301659233187}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]' data-sheets-formula="=(R20C2-R[-4]C[0])/R20C2">48.49%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.21509031099783904}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]' data-sheets-formula="=(R20C2-R[-4]C[0])/R20C2">21.51%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.48490301659233187}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-2]"><strong>48.49%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.21509031099783904}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-2]"><strong>21.51%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="5" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>

Currently, the biggest controversy in the valuation presented by Kakao Pay on local streets is the inclusion of PayPal.Of course, PayPal is similar to Kakao Pay in that the payment method accounts for the majority of sales. However, the problem is that Paypal is significantly different from Kakao Pay in terms of sales volume, service market scope, and market capitalization.PayPal operates in global markets, with a market cap of ₩385T and sales of ₩24T. On the other hand, Kakao Pay has no business base other than the domestic market. And as of last year, Kakao Pay's sales amounted to ₩284B, which is nearly one-hundredth of that of PayPal.In particular, Kakao Pay's share of the domestic payment service market last year was only 16.6%. Even in the local market, Kakao Pay does not have a clear advantage over competing services like Samsung Pay, Payco, and Naver Pay.In conclusion, although Kakao Pay has a fast growth rate, a direct comparison with PayPal, which has a significantly different target market size and sales level, is simply unreasonable.Paypal's growth-adjusted EV/Sales multiple came in at a whopping 81.6x. Including Paypal in the valuation peer group was the direct cause of raising Kakao Pay's valuation to an irrational level.








Kakao Pay: Growth-adjusted EV/Sale
Current
Excluding Paypal
Note


Sales growth rate
83.40%
83.40%
A


Growth rate adjustment factor (EV/Sales multiple ÷ Sales growth rate)
44.76x
26.30x
B


Growth-adjusted EV/Sales multiple
37.33x
21.94x
C = A X B


Annualized sales based on 1Q21 sales
₩428.6B
₩428.6B
D


Enterprise value (EV)
₩15,971.9B
₩9,401.8B
E = C X D


Net debt
-₩647.3B
-₩647.3B
F


Market cap
₩16,619.2B
₩10,049.1B
G = E - F


Number of diluted shares after IPO
135,880,810
135,880,810
H


Price per share
₩122,307
₩73,955
I = G / H

Source: DART

Then, if we use only the average of the other two peers excluding PayPal, the growth-adjusted EV/Sales multiple will be 26.3x. Applying this, the market cap is ₩10T, and the price per share is ₩74,000. If the same 21.51~48.49% discount rate is applied here, the market cap will range from ₩5T to ₩7.6T, and the price per share will range from ₩38,000 to ₩58,000.









Indicative price band
Low
High
Low, excl. Paypal
High, excl. Paypal


Price
₩63,000
₩96,000
₩38,094
₩58,048


Base deal size
₩1,071.0B
₩1,632.0B
₩647.6B
₩986.8B


- Institutional allotment
₩589.1B
₩897.6B
₩356.2B
₩542.8B


Implied market cap
₩8,213.1B
₩12,515.2B
₩4,966.2B
₩7,567.6B


- Discount
48.49%
21.51%
48.49%
21.51%

Source: DART



<div><div><h2>Offering size</h2></div></div><div>
<p>Kakao Pay offers 17M shares, which account for 15% of the pre-IPO total shares, of which 55-75% are allocated to institutions.</p>
<div class="content-highlight">
<p><strong>Who is Kakao Pay?</strong></p>
<p>Launched on September 5, 2014, it is a remittance and payment service simply by entering your password after registering your credit and debit card information in KakaoTalk.</p>
<p><iframe src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/vjhmJaeI5ZI" width="640" height="360" title="YouTube video player" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen"></iframe></p>
</div>
</div><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="200">
<col width="200">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Offering size"}'>Offering size</td></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Ticker"}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-45]C[0]">Ticker</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"377300"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"[$₩-412]#,##0","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-45]C[0]">377300</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Bourse"}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-45]C[0]">Bourse</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"KOSPI"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"[$₩-412]#,##0","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-45]C[0]">KOSPI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Offering"}'><strong>Offering</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":17000000}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-42]C[0]"><strong>17,000,000</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"- % of pre-IPO SO"}'><strong>- % of pre-IPO SO</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.14995528906638497}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-40]C[0]"><strong>15.00%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Institutional allotment"}'><strong>Institutional allotment</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"55.00~75.00%"}'><strong>55.00~75.00%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><h2>Split</h2><p>This is a 100% primary offering. As a result, this offering will see a capital increase rate of 15% with a shareholding dilution of 13.04%. This IPO is free of any additional options: cornerstone, clawback, or greenshoe.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="200">
<col width="200">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Split"}'>Split</td></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Primary %"}'><strong>Primary %</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-42]C[0]"><strong>100.00%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Secondary %"}'>Secondary %</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-41]C[0]">0.00%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Capital increase rate"}'><strong>Capital increase rate</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.14995528906638497}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-39]C[0]"><strong>15.00%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Dilution"}'><strong>Dilution</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.13040097340491325}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-39]C[0]"><strong>13.04%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><div><div><h2>Schedule</h2></div></div><div>
<p>The book opens on July 29 (for both local and overseas investors) and runs for two days until July 30. The allotment will be on August 2 as finalizing the offering price. We have the subscription on August 4.</p>
<table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="200">
<col width="200">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Schedule"}'>Schedule</td></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Book open"}'><strong>Book open</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44406}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy. m. d","3":1}'><strong>2021. 7. 29</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Book close"}'>Book close</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44407}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy. m. d","3":1}'>2021. 7. 30</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Allotment"}'><strong>Allotment</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44410}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy. m. d","3":1}'><strong>2021. 8. 2</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Subscription"}'><strong>Subscription</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44412}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy. m. d","3":1}'><strong>2021. 8. 4</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Payment"}'>Payment</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44417}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy. m. d","3":1}'>2021. 8. 9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Listing"}'>Listing</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"TBA"}'>TBA</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div><div><div><h2>Pricing</h2></div></div><div>
<p>Kakao Pay used the relative value calculation through the growth-adjusted EV/Sales evaluation method. And the valuation peer group includes Paypal, Square, and PagSeguro Digital.</p>
<table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="200">
<col width="150">
<col width="150">
<col width="150">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Valuation peers: Growth-adjusted EV/Sale"}'>Valuation peers: Growth-adjusted EV/Sale</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Paypal Holdings Inc"}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[1]C[0], "name")'>Paypal Holdings Inc</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Square Inc"}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[1]C[0], "name")'>Square Inc</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"PagSeguro Digital Ltd"}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[1]C[0], "name")'>PagSeguro Digital Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Ticker"}'>Ticker</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"PYPL"}' data-sheets-formula='="PYPL"'>PYPL</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"SQ"}' data-sheets-formula='="SQ"'>SQ</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"PAGS"}' data-sheets-formula='="PAGS"'>PAGS</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Enterprise value (EV)"}'>Enterprise value (EV)</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":315.369}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"$#,##0.0B","3":1}'>$315.4B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":102.447}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"$#,##0.0B","3":1}'>$102.4B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":16.865}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"$#,##0.0B","3":1}'>$16.9B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Annualized sales based on 1Q21 sales"}'>Annualized sales based on 1Q21 sales</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":24.132}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"$#,##0.0B","3":1}'>$24.1B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":20.229}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"$#,##0.0B","3":1}'>$20.2B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.511}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"$#,##0.0B","3":1}'>$1.5B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"EV/Sales multiple"}'>EV/Sales multiple</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":13.068498259572353}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"0.00x"}'>13.07x</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":5.064363043155866}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"0.00x"}'>5.06x</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":11.161482461945731}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"0.00x"}'>11.16x</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Sales growth rate"}'>Sales growth rate</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.16}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'>16.00%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.83}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]'>83.00%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.24}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]'>24.00%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Growth rate adjustment coefficient (EV/Sales multiple / Sales growth rate)"}'><strong>Growth rate adjustment factor (EV/Sales multiple ÷ Sales growth rate)</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":81.6781141223272}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"0.00x"}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-2]C[0]/R[-1]C[0]"><strong>81.68x</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":6.101642220669718}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"0.00x"}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-2]C[0]/R[-1]C[0]"><strong>6.10x</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":46.50617692477388}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"0.00x"}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-2]C[0]/R[-1]C[0]"><strong>46.51x</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Average"}'><strong>Average</strong></td>
<td colspan="3" rowspan="1" style="text-align: center;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44.7619777559236}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"0.00x"}' data-sheets-formula="=average(R[-1]C[0]:R[-1]C[2])"><strong>44.76x</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="4" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div><div><div>This valuation is a bit difficult. Growth-adjusted EV/Sales is calculated by applying Kakao Pay's 1Q21 based annualized sales to the growth-adjusted EV/Sales multiple, reflecting the growth rate adjustment factor.</div></div><div><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="200">
<col width="150">
<col width="150">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="3" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Kakao Pay: Growth-adjusted EV/Sale"}'>Kakao Pay: Growth-adjusted EV/Sale</td></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Sales growth rate"}'>Sales growth rate</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.834}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'>83.40%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"A"}'>A</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Growth rate adjustment coefficient (EV/Sales multiple / Sales growth rate)"}'>Growth rate adjustment factor (EV/Sales multiple <strong>÷</strong> Sales growth rate)</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44.7619777559236}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"0.00x"}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-5]C[0]">44.76x</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"B"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]'>B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Growth-adjusted EV/Sales multiple"}'>Growth-adjusted EV/Sales multiple</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":37.33148944844028}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"0.00x"}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]*R[-2]C[0]">37.33x</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"C = A X B"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]'>C = A X B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Annualized sales based on 1Q21 sales"}'>Annualized sales based on 1Q21 sales</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":428.575}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]'>₩428.6B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"D"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]'>D</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Enterprise value (EV)"}'>Enterprise value (EV)</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":15971.899}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]'>₩15,971.9B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"E = C X D"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]'>E = C X D</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Net debt"}'>Net debt</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-647.284}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]'>-₩647.3B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"F"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]'>F</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Market cap"}'><strong>Market cap</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":16619.183}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-2]C[0]-R[-1]C[0]"><strong>₩16,619.2B</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"G = E - F"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]'><strong>G = E - F</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Number of diluted shares after IPO"}'>Number of diluted shares after IPO</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":135880810}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0",1]'>135,880,810</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"H"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]'>H</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Price per share"}'><strong>Price per share</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":122307.0645516464}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,4,"[$₩]#,##0",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-2]C[0]*1000000000/R[-1]C[0]"><strong>₩122,307</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"I = G / H"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]'><strong>I = G / H</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="3" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table></div><div><div><div>A 21.51~48.49% discount sets up an indicative price band of ₩63,000~96,000, suggesting a market cap of ₩8.21~12.52T.</div></div></div><div><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="200">
<col width="150">
<col width="150">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Indicative price band"}'>Indicative price band</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Low"}'>Low</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"High"}'>High</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Price"}'><strong>Price</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":63000}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]'><strong>₩63,000</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":96000}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]'><strong>₩96,000</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Base deal size"}'>Base deal size</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1071}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]*Terms!R8C2/1000000000">₩1,071.0B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1632}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]*Terms!R8C2/1000000000">₩1,632.0B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - Institutional allotment"}'>- Institutional allotment</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":589.0500000000001}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]*Terms!R12C2">₩589.1B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":897.6}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]*Terms!R12C2">₩897.6B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Implied market cap"}'><strong>Implied market cap</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":8213.128875}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-3]C[0]*130367125/1000000000"><strong>₩8,213.1B</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":12515.244}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-3]C[0]*130367125/1000000000"><strong>₩12,515.2B</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - Discount"}'><strong>- Discount</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.48490301659233187}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]' data-sheets-formula="=(R20C2-R[-4]C[0])/R20C2"><strong>48.49%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.21509031099783904}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]' data-sheets-formula="=(R20C2-R[-4]C[0])/R20C2"><strong>21.51%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="3" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table></div><div><div><div></div></div></div>

Offering size
Kakao Pay offers 17M shares, which account for 15% of the pre-IPO total shares, of which 55-75% are allocated to institutions.

Who is Kakao Pay?
Launched on September 5, 2014, it is a remittance and payment service simply by entering your password after registering your credit and debit card information in KakaoTalk.








Offering size

Ticker
377300


Bourse
KOSPI


Offering
17,000,000


- % of pre-IPO SO
15.00%


Institutional allotment
55.00~75.00%

Source: DART

SplitThis is a 100% primary offering. As a result, this offering will see a capital increase rate of 15% with a shareholding dilution of 13.04%. This IPO is free of any additional options: cornerstone, clawback, or greenshoe.





Split

Primary %
100.00%


Secondary %
0.00%


Capital increase rate
15.00%


Dilution
13.04%

Source: DART

Schedule
The book opens on July 29 (for both local and overseas investors) and runs for two days until July 30. The allotment will be on August 2 as finalizing the offering price. We have the subscription on August 4.






Schedule

Book open
2021. 7. 29


Book close
2021. 7. 30


Allotment
2021. 8. 2


Subscription
2021. 8. 4


Payment
2021. 8. 9


Listing
TBA

Source: DART


Pricing
Kakao Pay used the relative value calculation through the growth-adjusted EV/Sales evaluation method. And the valuation peer group includes Paypal, Square, and PagSeguro Digital.









Valuation peers: Growth-adjusted EV/Sale
Paypal Holdings Inc
Square Inc
PagSeguro Digital Ltd


Ticker
PYPL
SQ
PAGS


Enterprise value (EV)
$315.4B
$102.4B
$16.9B


Annualized sales based on 1Q21 sales
$24.1B
$20.2B
$1.5B


EV/Sales multiple
13.07x
5.06x
11.16x


Sales growth rate
16.00%
83.00%
24.00%


Growth rate adjustment factor (EV/Sales multiple ÷ Sales growth rate)
81.68x
6.10x
46.51x


Average
44.76x

Source: DART


This valuation is a bit difficult. Growth-adjusted EV/Sales is calculated by applying Kakao Pay's 1Q21 based annualized sales to the growth-adjusted EV/Sales multiple, reflecting the growth rate adjustment factor.






Kakao Pay: Growth-adjusted EV/Sale

Sales growth rate
83.40%
A


Growth rate adjustment factor (EV/Sales multiple ÷ Sales growth rate)
44.76x
B


Growth-adjusted EV/Sales multiple
37.33x
C = A X B


Annualized sales based on 1Q21 sales
₩428.6B
D


Enterprise value (EV)
₩15,971.9B
E = C X D


Net debt
-₩647.3B
F


Market cap
₩16,619.2B
G = E - F


Number of diluted shares after IPO
135,880,810
H


Price per share
₩122,307
I = G / H

Source: DART

A 21.51~48.49% discount sets up an indicative price band of ₩63,000~96,000, suggesting a market cap of ₩8.21~12.52T.







Indicative price band
Low
High


Price
₩63,000
₩96,000


Base deal size
₩1,071.0B
₩1,632.0B


- Institutional allotment
₩589.1B
₩897.6B


Implied market cap
₩8,213.1B
₩12,515.2B


- Discount
48.49%
21.51%

Source: DART



Kakao Pay IPO: Offering Detail & Valuation Issues

Offering price &amp; size
Krafton submitted a correction report to the Financial Supervisory Service on the afternoon yesterday. It lowered the indicative price band from ₩458,000~557,000 to ₩400,000~498,000 by about 10%. The newly adjusted price band now implies a market cap range at ₩19.56~24.35T.










Pricing
Low, previous
High, previous
Low, adjusted
High, adjusted


Price
₩458,000
₩557,000
₩400,000
₩498,000


Base deal size
₩4,607.6B
₩5,603.5B
₩3,461.7B
₩4,309.8B


- Institutional allotment
₩2,534.2B
₩3,082.0B
₩1,903.9B
₩2,370.4B


Implied market cap
₩23,039.3B
₩28,019.4B
₩19,559.2B
₩24,351.2B


- Discount
32.40%
17.79%
30.93%
14.01%

Source: DART


In addition, the issuance of new shares was also reduced from 7.03 million shares to 5.62 million shares. Therefore, based on the lower end of the public offering band, the offering size decreased by ₩1.2T from ₩4.6T to ₩3.5T.  However, the secondary offering volume remains the same at 3.03 million shares. So, the split ratio is now 0.65 (primary) to 0.35 (secondary).








Offering size
Previous
Adjusted


Pre-IPO SO
43,274,070
43,274,070


Offering
10,060,230
8,654,230


- % of SO
23.25%
20.00%


- Institutional allotment
55.00~75.00%
55.00~75.00%


Primary %
69.88%
64.99%


Secondary %
30.12%
35.01%


Post-IPO shares outstanding
50,304,070
48,898,070


Capital increase rate
16.25%
13.00%


Dilution
13.98%
11.50%

Source: DART


Schedule

Krafton will open the book on July 14 and keep it open until July 27. After finalizing the offering price on July 29, we will see subscriptions on August 2. After that, August 5 is the payment date, and listing on the stock market will be completed in mid-August.
There was a time difference of about a week with Kakao Bank, whose subscription will fall on July 26.








Schedule
Previous
Adjusted


Book open
2021. 6. 28
2021. 7. 14


Book close
2021. 7. 9
2021. 7. 27


Allotment
2021. 7. 12
2021. 7. 29


Subscription
2021. 7. 14
2021. 8. 2


Payment
2021. 7. 19
2021. 8. 5


Listing
TBA
TBA

Source: DART


Valuation

The core of this revised report is the recalculation of the offering price. First, the group of comparative companies was completely changed. Krafton deleted all overseas companies, including Walt Disney and Warner Music, and reduced the comparative group to four domestic game companies: NCsoft, Netmarble, Kakao Games, and Pearl Abyss.
The average price-to-earnings ratio (PER) to last year's net income for the comparative group was 40.4 times. The average PER for the first quarter of this year on an annualized basis was calculated to be 47.2 times. An average of 43.8x was presented as the applied PER. This is slightly lower than the previous PER of 45.2x, which was initially controversial.











FY2020 net earnings based P/E
Note
NCSoft Corp
Netmarble Corp
Kakao Games Corp
PearlAbyss Corp


Reference full market cap: MIN[1M Avg, 1W Avg, 1D Close]
(A)
₩18,068.2B
₩11,216.9B
₩4,111.6B
₩4,086.8B


FY2020 annual net earnings to controlling stake
(B)
₩587.4B
₩312.9B
₩86.0B
₩86.6B


P/E
(C)=(A)/(B)
30.76x
35.85x
47.82x
47.19x


Average P/E
-
40.41x

Source: DART













FY2021 1Q based annualized net earnings based P/E
Note
NCSoft Corp
Netmarble Corp
Kakao Games Corp
PearlAbyss Corp


Reference full market cap: MIN[1M Avg, 1W Avg, 1D Close]
(A)
₩18,068.2B
₩11,216.9B
₩4,111.6B
₩4,086.8B


FY2021 1Q based annualized net earnings to controlling stake
(B)
₩323.5B
₩225.7B
₩83.0B
₩121.8B


P/E
(C)=(A)/(B)
55.85x
49.70x
49.52x
33.56x


Average P/E
-
47.16x

Source: DART


Krafton also slightly lowered the net profit applied to the IPO price.
They derived a simple average value by adding the annualized net profit based on the net profit in the first quarter of this year and last year's net profit. Through this, the applied net profitdecreased from ₩776B to ₩666B. By lowering the applied NP and the applied PER multiple together, the company's pre-discount enterprise value, which was initially calculated at ₩35T, dropped by 17% to ₩29T.
Here, a discount rate of 14.0 to 30.9% was applied to calculate the new indicative price band.








P/E valuation
Note
Krafton


FY2020 annual net earnings to controlling stake
(A)
₩556.3B


FY2021 1Q net earnings to controlling stake
(B)
₩194.0B


FY2021 1Q based annualized net earnings to controlling stake
(C) = (B) * 4
₩776.1B


Net earnings to controlling stake used in the valuation
(D) = [(A) + (C)]/2
₩666.2B


Average P/E based on FY2020 annual net earnings to controlling stake
(E)
40.40x


Average P/E based on FY2021 1Q based annualized net earnings to controlling stake
(F)
47.20x


Reference P/E
(G) = [(E) + (F)]/2
43.80x


Full market cap
(H) = (D) * (G)
₩29,166.2B


Price per share
(I) = (H)/post-IPO SO
₩579,153


Source: DART










Krafton IPO Offering Price/​Size Adjustment & Valuation Re-Review

<p>The issue of the Financial Supervisory Service's request for correction of Krafton's securities declaration has not subsided.</p><p><strong>In this regard, local media reports are coming out one after another about the real reason the FSS requested.</strong></p><h2>Simple omission in the transfer of title?</h2><p>First, a domestic newspaper published an article two days ago that the reason for the correction request by the Financial Supervisory Service was not the public offering price.</p><p><strong>According to this newspaper, the Financial Supervisory Service's request to Krafton to revise the securities declaration was found to be due to a simple omission in the transfer of title (the act of entering the name and address in the shareholder register).</strong></p><p><a href="https://www.asiae.co.kr/article/2021062910261787865" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Here is the link to the news article By Asia Business Daily</a></p><p>The source revealed in the article was not from the Financial Supervisory Service but from the local IB industry. In fact, the Financial Supervisory Service has not yet revealed the reason for the request to revise the Krafton IPO prospectus.</p><p><strong>Then, there is a possibility that this local IB industry official cited in this article may be from the underwriter side. They may be intending to prevent the FSS's request for amendment from leading to issues of legitimacy of the offering price.</strong></p>

The issue of the Financial Supervisory Service's request for correction of Krafton's securities declaration has not subsided.In this regard, local media reports are coming out one after another about the real reason the FSS requested.Simple omission in the transfer of title?First, a domestic newspaper published an article two days ago that the reason for the correction request by the Financial Supervisory Service was not the public offering price.According to this newspaper, the Financial Supervisory Service's request to Krafton to revise the securities declaration was found to be due to a simple omission in the transfer of title (the act of entering the name and address in the shareholder register).Here is the link to the news article By Asia Business DailyThe source revealed in the article was not from the Financial Supervisory Service but from the local IB industry. In fact, the Financial Supervisory Service has not yet revealed the reason for the request to revise the Krafton IPO prospectus.Then, there is a possibility that this local IB industry official cited in this article may be from the underwriter side. They may be intending to prevent the FSS's request for amendment from leading to issues of legitimacy of the offering price.

FSS's Position on Krafton IPO & The Mood of Foreign Investors Revealed by Mirae Asset

<p>In calculating the corporate value for this listing, Kakao Bank selected PBR, the traditional method of calculating the value of financial companies.</p><p><strong>Apparently, the local street has no big disagreement about the use of PBR itself.</strong></p><p>Then, what matters is the level of the PBR multiple premium.</p><p><strong>Based on the indicative price band, Kakao Bank's PBR is 3.2-3.5x. On the other hand, the PBRs of Korea's four major financial holding companies are currently hovering between 0.4 and 0.5x.</strong></p><p><strong>That is, based on the current corporate value to net assets, Kakao Bank wants to receive a 7 to 8 times higher premium than Korea's major commercial banks.</strong></p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="200">
<col width="150">
<col width="150">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Indicative price band"}'>Indicative price band</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Low"}'>Low</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"High"}'>High</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Price"}'>Price</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":33000}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]'>₩33,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":39000}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]'>₩39,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Implied market cap"}'>Implied market cap</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":15766.510221}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-3]C[0]*R14C2/1000000000">₩15,766.5B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":18633.148443}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-3]C[0]*R14C2/1000000000">₩18,633.1B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Equity, including capital inflow from IPO"}'>Equity, including capital inflow from IPO</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":5009.4}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-13]C[0]+R[-12]C[0]">₩5,009.4B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":5402.05}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-13]C[-1]+(Terms!R[-15]C[-1]*R[-5]C[0])/1000000000">₩5,402.1B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"PBR"}'><strong>PBR</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":3.1473849604743087}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"0.00x"}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-3]C[0]/R[-1]C[0]"><strong>3.15x</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":3.449273598541294}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"0.00x"}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-3]C[0]/R[-1]C[0]"><strong>3.45x</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="3" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><p>The valuation that converts the future value into present value at a time when growth is expected to stagnate still holds a significant premium.</p><p><strong>Kakao Bank's total deposits estimated as of 2025, when high growth will likely come to an end, are around ₩100T. Applying KB Financial's current multiple of 0.06 times the total deposits puts Kakao Bank's value in 2025 at ₩6T. Converted to the present value, the present value becomes ₩4.3T, suggesting a 3.7 to 4.3x premium to KB Financial.</strong></p>

In calculating the corporate value for this listing, Kakao Bank selected PBR, the traditional method of calculating the value of financial companies.Apparently, the local street has no big disagreement about the use of PBR itself.Then, what matters is the level of the PBR multiple premium.Based on the indicative price band, Kakao Bank's PBR is 3.2-3.5x. On the other hand, the PBRs of Korea's four major financial holding companies are currently hovering between 0.4 and 0.5x.That is, based on the current corporate value to net assets, Kakao Bank wants to receive a 7 to 8 times higher premium than Korea's major commercial banks.







Indicative price band
Low
High


Price
₩33,000
₩39,000


Implied market cap
₩15,766.5B
₩18,633.1B


Equity, including capital inflow from IPO
₩5,009.4B
₩5,402.1B


PBR
3.15x
3.45x

Source: DART

The valuation that converts the future value into present value at a time when growth is expected to stagnate still holds a significant premium.Kakao Bank's total deposits estimated as of 2025, when high growth will likely come to an end, are around ₩100T. Applying KB Financial's current multiple of 0.06 times the total deposits puts Kakao Bank's value in 2025 at ₩6T. Converted to the present value, the present value becomes ₩4.3T, suggesting a 3.7 to 4.3x premium to KB Financial.

Kakao Bank IPO: Valuation Peer Group Issues & Local Street's General View on Valuation Level

South Korea

Kakao Games Corp. operates as a multiply platform gaming company. The Company provides mobile games, computer games, virtual reality games, and other related products. Kakao Games markets its products worldwide.

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Kakao Games (293490 KS)

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