Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Equity Capital Markets

<p>The last day of Krafton's bookbuilding? Well, it was really a crazy day.</p><div class="content-highlight">
<h2><strong>A suspicious rumor circulated at noon yesterday</strong></h2>
<p><strong>First of all, at noon yesterday, a rumor circulated among local institutions through the messenger mainly used by institutions.</strong></p>
<p><em>Previously, Yahoo Messenger was the main medium for circulating all sorts of rumors and stories between local institutional investors. But after the Yahoo Messenger service was terminated, NateOn is mainly used now.</em></p>
<p><strong>The content of this rumor was somewhat provocative. The rumor said that the bankers are currently holding an emergency meeting due to the low competition rate for institutional subscriptions in the Krafton bookbuilding.</strong></p>
<p><strong>When Mirae Asset Securities learned that this rumor was circulating through NateOn, it immediately denied it, which led to an unusual situation where a banker updated the bookbuilding progress even before bookbuilding was closed.</strong></p>
<p>In fact, Mirae Asset explained to local institutions yesterday afternoon that this Krafton bookbuilding was significantly more positive than initially expected and that the rumor of holding an emergency meeting due to the disastrous results simply was not true.</p>
<p>However, it is said that this rumor has caused confusion among some local institutions and has had some effect on the institutional subscription rate on the last day.</p>
</div>

The last day of Krafton's bookbuilding? Well, it was really a crazy day.
A suspicious rumor circulated at noon yesterday
First of all, at noon yesterday, a rumor circulated among local institutions through the messenger mainly used by institutions.
Previously, Yahoo Messenger was the main medium for circulating all sorts of rumors and stories between local institutional investors. But after the Yahoo Messenger service was terminated, NateOn is mainly used now.
The content of this rumor was somewhat provocative. The rumor said that the bankers are currently holding an emergency meeting due to the low competition rate for institutional subscriptions in the Krafton bookbuilding.
When Mirae Asset Securities learned that this rumor was circulating through NateOn, it immediately denied it, which led to an unusual situation where a banker updated the bookbuilding progress even before bookbuilding was closed.
In fact, Mirae Asset explained to local institutions yesterday afternoon that this Krafton bookbuilding was significantly more positive than initially expected and that the rumor of holding an emergency meeting due to the disastrous results simply was not true.
However, it is said that this rumor has caused confusion among some local institutions and has had some effect on the institutional subscription rate on the last day.


Krafton Bookbuilding: A Quick Recap of Last Day Craziness

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Quantitative Analysis

<div><p>The Asia Short Interest weekly looks at moves in market wide short interest and highlights movements in stock specific short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan using the last available data published by the relevant authorities.</p></div><div><p>Hong Kong saw shorts rise on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-bank-co-ltd-3388a037-4214-4997-b45d-520518cfdb57" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10987:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-grp-co-of-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12880:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunny-optical-tech" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13363:1" rel="noopener">Sunny Optical (2382 HK)</a> while there was short covering on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weimob-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27394:1" rel="noopener">Weimob Inc. (2013 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nongfu-spring" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28955:1" rel="noopener">Nongfu Spring (9633 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec-co-ltd-bf4a1265-beef-48b6-b82d-29308426030f" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27795:1" rel="noopener">WuXi AppTec Co. Ltd. (2359 HK)</a>. Shorts increased in the Communication Services, Consumer Discretionary, Financials and Health Care sectors.</p></div><div><p>In Japan, stocks increased on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shimano-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3777:1" rel="noopener">Shimano Inc (7309 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/harmonic-drive-systems-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10238:1" rel="noopener">Harmonic Drive Systems (6324 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cocokara-fine-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15447:1" rel="noopener">Cocokara Fine (3098 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-steel-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:961:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Steel Corporation (5401 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/casio-computer-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18338:1" rel="noopener">Casio Computer (6952 JP)</a> while there was short covering on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pharma-foods-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10530:1" rel="noopener">Pharma Foods International (2929 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumco-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:379:1" rel="noopener">SUMCO Corp (3436 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/base-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28353:1" rel="noopener">BASE Inc (4477 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/showa-denko-k-k" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1496:1" rel="noopener">Showa Denko K.K. (4004 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kobe-steel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:209:1" rel="noopener">Kobe Steel Ltd (5406 JP)</a>. Shorts increased in the Consumer Discretionary, Industrials and Consumer Staples sectors while decreasing in the Health Care and Information Technology sectors.</p></div><div><p>In Korea, shorts increased on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hmm-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13494:1" rel="noopener">HMM Co., Ltd. (011200 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-display-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7145:1" rel="noopener">LG Display (034220 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-innovation-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1268:1" rel="noopener">SK Innovation (096770 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15002:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Corp (035720 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pan-ocean-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5279:1" rel="noopener">Pan Ocean (028670 KS)</a> while shorts were covered on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doosan-heavy-industries-construction" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7389:1" rel="noopener">Doosan Heavy Industries &amp; Construction (034020 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doosan-infracore-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3982:1" rel="noopener">Doosan Infracore (042670 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gs-retail-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3867:1" rel="noopener">GS Retail (007070 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ncsoft-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5169:1" rel="noopener">NCSOFT Corp (036570 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-biologics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22932:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Biologics Co., (207940 KS)</a>. </p></div><div><p>In Taiwan, shorts increased on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-microelectronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6450:1" rel="noopener">United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/novatek-microelectronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10904:1" rel="noopener">Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/quanta-computer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2754:1" rel="noopener">Quanta Computer (2382 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/winbond-electronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9177:1" rel="noopener">Winbond Electronics (2344 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sitronix-technology-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5684:1" rel="noopener">Sitronix Technology (8016 TT)</a> while shorts covered on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yang-ming-marine-transport" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8502:1" rel="noopener">Yang Ming Marine Transport (2609 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">TSMC (2330 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/silergy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13998:1" rel="noopener">Silergy Corp (6415 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yageo-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13212:1" rel="noopener">Yageo Corporation (2327 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chunghwa-telecom-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9181:1" rel="noopener">Chunghwa Telecom (2412 TT)</a>.</p></div>

The Asia Short Interest weekly looks at moves in market wide short interest and highlights movements in stock specific short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan using the last available data published by the relevant authorities.Hong Kong saw shorts rise on Tencent (700 HK), China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK), Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK), Meituan (3690 HK) and Sunny Optical (2382 HK) while there was short covering on Weimob Inc. (2013 HK), Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK), JD.com Inc. (9618 HK), Nongfu Spring (9633 HK) and WuXi AppTec Co. Ltd. (2359 HK). Shorts increased in the Communication Services, Consumer Discretionary, Financials and Health Care sectors.In Japan, stocks increased on Shimano Inc (7309 JP), Harmonic Drive Systems (6324 JP), Cocokara Fine (3098 JP), Nippon Steel Corporation (5401 JP) and Casio Computer (6952 JP) while there was short covering on Pharma Foods International (2929 JP), SUMCO Corp (3436 JP), BASE Inc (4477 JP), Showa Denko K.K. (4004 JP) and Kobe Steel Ltd (5406 JP). Shorts increased in the Consumer Discretionary, Industrials and Consumer Staples sectors while decreasing in the Health Care and Information Technology sectors.In Korea, shorts increased on HMM Co., Ltd. (011200 KS), LG Display (034220 KS), SK Innovation (096770 KS), Kakao Corp (035720 KS) and Pan Ocean (028670 KS) while shorts were covered on Doosan Heavy Industries &amp; Construction (034020 KS), Doosan Infracore (042670 KS), GS Retail (007070 KS), NCSOFT Corp (036570 KS) and Samsung Biologics Co., (207940 KS). In Taiwan, shorts increased on United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT), Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT), Quanta Computer (2382 TT), Winbond Electronics (2344 TT) and Sitronix Technology (8016 TT) while shorts covered on Yang Ming Marine Transport (2609 TT), TSMC (2330 TT), Silergy Corp (6415 TT), Yageo Corporation (2327 TT) and Chunghwa Telecom (2412 TT).

Asia Shorts: Tencent, CMB, Ping An, Weimob, WuXi, Shimano, Cocokara, HMM, Kakao, Doosan, Yang Ming

Kakao Bank's bookbuilding results are out. As already leaked to the market earlier today, the offering price got finalized at ₩39,000, the upper end of the indicative price band, implying a market cap of ₩18.6T. There is no change in the offering volume.







Indicative price band
Low
High (Final)


Price
₩33,000
₩39,000


Base deal size
₩2,159.9B
₩2,552.6B


- Institutional allotment
₩1,187.9B
₩1,403.9B


Implied market cap
₩15,766.5B
₩18,633.1B


- Discount
31.33%
18.85%


Equity, including capital inflow from IPO
₩5,009.4B
₩5,402.1B


Capital inflow from IPO
₩2,159.9B
₩2,552.6B

Source: DART

The institutional subscription competition rate is 1,733 to 1, only slightly below the record holder SKIET's 1,883 to 1.









Name
Ticker
IPO date
Offering size
Institutional subscription competition rate


Kakao Bank
323410
2021. 08. 05
₩2,552.6B
1,732.83 to 1


SD Biosensor
361610
2021. 07. 16
₩776.4B
1,143.76 to 1


SK IE Technology
361610
2021. 05. 11
₩2,246.0B
1,882.88 to 1


SK Bioscience Co Ltd
302440
2021. 03. 18
₩1,491.8B
1,274.50 to 1


HYBE Co Ltd
352820
2020. 10. 15
₩962.6B
1,117.00 to 1


Kakao Games Corp
293490
2020. 09. 10
₩384.0B
1,478.50 to 1


SK Biopharmaceuticals Co Ltd
326030
2020. 07. 02
₩959.3B
835.00 to 1

Source: DART


₩2.433 quadrillion (thousand trillion) worth of subscription orders were poured into the bookbuilding. How large is this? Well, Kakao Bank's total value of subscription orders surpassed SKIET's ₩2.417 quad, which was the largest amount in history for an IPO in Korea.
Compared to SD Biosensor, which was an IPO just before this listing, the participation of local institutional investors (local investment advisories and hedge funds) who are active in short-term trading was higher in this listing. It can be inferred that many investors believe that the short-term share price of Kakao Bank is more likely to rise immediately after listing.










By investor type
Institution
%
Demand
%


Local publicly raised funds
581
34.85%
25,201,600,000
40.40%


Local brokerages/investment advisories
258
15.48%
11,597,306,000
18.59%


Local pensions, funds managing proprietary assets, banks, and insurance companies
243
14.58%
9,949,064,000
15.95%


Local others (mostly discretionary investment companies - local hedge funds)
205
12.30%
8,444,119,000
13.54%


Foreign (foreign IPO funds &amp; hedge funds)
194
11.64%
1,364,938,000
2.19%


Foreign others (mostly local hot money)
186
11.16%
5,820,409,000
9.33%


Total
1,667
100.00%
62,377,436,000
100.00%


Subscription rate
1,732.83

Source: DART


The "Unspecified" category usually indicates that they want the shares above the high end. With that in mind, more than half must have priced Kakao Bank at the upper end or above. The remaining 46.01% went for a 75-100% of the upper end, so it isn't that far either.










By price
Institution
%
Demand
%


Above high end
640
38.39%
26,259,108,000
42.10%


75-100% of high end
767
46.01%
32,312,440,000
51.80%


50-75% of high end
0
0.00%
0
0.00%


25-50% of high end
0
0.00%
0
0.00%


0-25% of high end
0
0.00%
0
0.00%


Median
0
0.00%
0
0.00%


75-100% of median
0
0.00%
0
0.00%


50-75% of median
0
0.00%
0
0.00%


25-50% of median
0
0.00%
0
0.00%


0-25% of median
0
0.00%
0
0.00%


Low end or below
0
0.00%
0
0.00%


Unspecified
260
15.60%
3,805,888,000
6.10%


Total
1,667
100.00%
62,377,436,000
100.00%

Source: DART




Kakao Bank Bookbuilding Results: Disclosing Subscription/Lockup Orders in Detail

<p><strong>Kakao Bank's official bookbuilding results will be released after the market closes this afternoon. However, most of the important information has already been leaked to the market.</strong></p><p>First, more than ₩2,500T of subscription orders were poured into the bookbuilding. In addition, it was confirmed that the competition ratio of institutional investors for subscriptions was over 1,700 to 1. The competition ratio of 1,000 to 1 was already recorded on the first day, and a significant number of subscriptions were made on the second day as well.</p><p>The total value of subscription orders surpassed SKIET's ₩2,417T, which was the largest amount in history for an IPO in Korea.</p><div class="content-highlight"><p><strong>As a result, the offering price was also almost decided at ₩39,000, which is the upper end of the indicative price band.</strong></p></div><p> The market capitalization based on ₩39,000 is ₩18.6T. This is close to that of KB Financial Group (₩21.6T) and Shinhan Financial Group (₩19.9T). So, it is likely that Kakao Bank will become the largest market cap bank in Korea after its listing.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Market cap"}'>Market cap</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"KB Financial Group Inc"}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[1]C[0], "name")'>KB Financial Group</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Shinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd."}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[1]C[0], "name")'>Shinhan Financial Group</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Kakao Bank"}'>Kakao Bank</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Ticker"}'>Ticker</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"105560"}' data-sheets-formula='="105560"'>105560</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"055550"}' data-sheets-formula='="055550"'>055550</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"323410"}' data-sheets-formula='="323410"'>323410</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Market cap"}'><strong>Market cap</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":21580.431048}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B"}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[-1]C[0], "shares")*googlefinance(R[-1]C[0], "price")/1000000000'><strong>₩21,580.4B</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":19940.7427844}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B"}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[-1]C[0], "shares")*googlefinance(R[-1]C[0], "price")/1000000000'><strong>₩19,940.7B</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"₩18,633.1B"}'><strong>₩18,633.1B</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="4" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: KRX &amp; DART"}'>Source: KRX &amp; DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><p>The general view of institutions on the public offering price of Kakao Bank, which has been proven in this bookbuilding, is that it is NOT ridiculously high.</p><div class="content-highlight"><p><strong>They seem to have paid attention to the growth potential of Kakao Bank as a platform business and the rapid growth that supports it.</strong></p></div><p>In fact, the price accepted as the ceiling by local street is PBR 4x, but since the upper end of the indicative price band stays at 3.5x, it is said that they generally did not feel any objection to the price.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="200">
<col width="150">
<col width="150">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Indicative price band"}'>Indicative price band</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Low"}'>Lower end</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"High"}'>Upper end</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Price"}'>Price</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":33000}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]'>₩33,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":39000}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]'>₩39,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Implied market cap"}'>Implied market cap</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":15766.510221}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-3]C[0]*R14C2/1000000000">₩15,766.5B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":18633.148443}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-3]C[0]*R14C2/1000000000">₩18,633.1B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Equity, including capital inflow from IPO"}'>Equity, including capital inflow from IPO</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":5009.4}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-13]C[0]+R[-12]C[0]">₩5,009.4B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":5402.05}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-13]C[-1]+(Terms!R[-15]C[-1]*R[-5]C[0])/1000000000">₩5,402.1B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"PBR"}'><strong>PBR</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":3.1473849604743087}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"0.00x"}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-3]C[0]/R[-1]C[0]"><strong>3.15x</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":3.449273598541294}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"0.00x"}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-3]C[0]/R[-1]C[0]"><strong>3.45x</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="3" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><div class="content-highlight">
<p>To clarify Kakao Bank's PBR calculations:</p>
<ol>
<li>Implied market cap by the indicative price band / Equity as of 1Q21 gives a 5.53~6.54x.</li>
<li>(Implied market cap by the indicative price band - Capital inflow from IPO) / Equity as of 1Q21 gives a 4.78~5.64x.</li>
<li><strong>Implied market cap by the indicative price band / (Equity as of 1Q21 + Capital inflow from IPO) gives you a 3.15~3.45x.</strong></li>
</ol>
<p><strong>The bankers used No. 2 to derive the indicative price band in the IPO prospectus. And many in the local street seem to be using No. 3 to get a sense of Kakao Bank's actual PBR post IPO.</strong></p>
</div><p>In particular, local institutional investors paid attention to the fact that Kakao Bank opened 6.2 million new accounts within one year. This is 40 times the total number of non-face-to-face accounts opened by 16 commercial banks in Korea over the past four years. Kakao Bank also achieved a market share of 7% in the personal credit loan market within four years of its establishment. </p><p>In other words, although Kakao Bank still provides simple banking services, the market acknowledges the actual capabilities of Kakao Bank's online platform in that it has achieved a huge customer base expansion in a short period of time.</p>

Kakao Bank's official bookbuilding results will be released after the market closes this afternoon. However, most of the important information has already been leaked to the market.First, more than ₩2,500T of subscription orders were poured into the bookbuilding. In addition, it was confirmed that the competition ratio of institutional investors for subscriptions was over 1,700 to 1. The competition ratio of 1,000 to 1 was already recorded on the first day, and a significant number of subscriptions were made on the second day as well.The total value of subscription orders surpassed SKIET's ₩2,417T, which was the largest amount in history for an IPO in Korea.As a result, the offering price was also almost decided at ₩39,000, which is the upper end of the indicative price band. The market capitalization based on ₩39,000 is ₩18.6T. This is close to that of KB Financial Group (₩21.6T) and Shinhan Financial Group (₩19.9T). So, it is likely that Kakao Bank will become the largest market cap bank in Korea after its listing.








Market cap
KB Financial Group
Shinhan Financial Group
Kakao Bank


Ticker
105560
055550
323410


Market cap
₩21,580.4B
₩19,940.7B
₩18,633.1B

Source: KRX &amp; DART

The general view of institutions on the public offering price of Kakao Bank, which has been proven in this bookbuilding, is that it is NOT ridiculously high.They seem to have paid attention to the growth potential of Kakao Bank as a platform business and the rapid growth that supports it.In fact, the price accepted as the ceiling by local street is PBR 4x, but since the upper end of the indicative price band stays at 3.5x, it is said that they generally did not feel any objection to the price.







Indicative price band
Lower end
Upper end


Price
₩33,000
₩39,000


Implied market cap
₩15,766.5B
₩18,633.1B


Equity, including capital inflow from IPO
₩5,009.4B
₩5,402.1B


PBR
3.15x
3.45x

Source: DART


To clarify Kakao Bank's PBR calculations:

Implied market cap by the indicative price band / Equity as of 1Q21 gives a 5.53~6.54x.
(Implied market cap by the indicative price band - Capital inflow from IPO) / Equity as of 1Q21 gives a 4.78~5.64x.
Implied market cap by the indicative price band / (Equity as of 1Q21 + Capital inflow from IPO) gives you a 3.15~3.45x.

The bankers used No. 2 to derive the indicative price band in the IPO prospectus. And many in the local street seem to be using No. 3 to get a sense of Kakao Bank's actual PBR post IPO.
In particular, local institutional investors paid attention to the fact that Kakao Bank opened 6.2 million new accounts within one year. This is 40 times the total number of non-face-to-face accounts opened by 16 commercial banks in Korea over the past four years. Kakao Bank also achieved a market share of 7% in the personal credit loan market within four years of its establishment. In other words, although Kakao Bank still provides simple banking services, the market acknowledges the actual capabilities of Kakao Bank's online platform in that it has achieved a huge customer base expansion in a short period of time.

Kakao Bank Bookbuilding: What's Really Happened Among Local Institutions?

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Equity Bottom-Up

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naver-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16029:1" rel="noopener">Naver Corp (035420 KS)</a> has seen a rapid rise in ownership among global emerging market investors.</p><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naver-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16029:1" rel="noopener">Naver Corp (035420 KS)</a> now sits among the big players in the sector, just behind <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a> and in line with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netease-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17203:1" rel="noopener">NetEase Inc (NTES US).</a></p><p>Recent Activity shows <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naver-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16029:1" rel="noopener">Naver Corp (035420 KS)</a> capturing the most new investors in 2021 among South Korean peers, with the funds invested percentage rising by 5% - marginally ahead of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15002:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Corp (035720 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lx-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33384:1" rel="noopener">LX Holdings (383800 KS).</a></p><p>All this points to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naver-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16029:1" rel="noopener">Naver Corp (035420 KS)</a> as a high conviction holding among active EM managers, and whilst a combination of record investment and price levels leaves <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naver-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16029:1" rel="noopener">Naver Corp (035420 KS)</a> vulnerable to consolidation, there are many previous investors who may pick up the slack if prices fall.</p>

Naver Corp (035420 KS) has seen a rapid rise in ownership among global emerging market investors.Naver Corp (035420 KS) now sits among the big players in the sector, just behind Naspers (NPN SJ) and in line with NetEase Inc (NTES US).Recent Activity shows Naver Corp (035420 KS) capturing the most new investors in 2021 among South Korean peers, with the funds invested percentage rising by 5% - marginally ahead of Kakao Corp (035720 KS) and LX Holdings (383800 KS).All this points to Naver Corp (035420 KS) as a high conviction holding among active EM managers, and whilst a combination of record investment and price levels leaves Naver Corp (035420 KS) vulnerable to consolidation, there are many previous investors who may pick up the slack if prices fall.

Naver Corp (035420 KS):  Soaring in to the Big League

South Korea

Kakao Corp. provides Internet portal services such as news, free e-mail, and leisure information.  The Company also offers cross-platform mobile messaging application that allows users to exchange messages.

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Kakao Corp (035720 KS)

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