External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Aggregate revenue/EBITDA to grow by 9/4% on three-year CAGR: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 9/4% on three-year CAGR in revenue/EBITDA in Q1FY23 (vs. 5/3% in Q1FY22 and 8/6% in Q4FY22).</li><li>Gross margin YoY pressures continue in Q1FY23: Commodity pressure continued into Q1FY23, impacting the margin (even sequentially).</li><li>Three-year CAGR: Our coverage universe is expected to deliver 9/4% three- year revenue/EBITDA CAGRs in Q1.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Aggregate revenue/EBITDA to grow by 9/4% on three-year CAGR: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 9/4% on three-year CAGR in revenue/EBITDA in Q1FY23 (vs. 5/3% in Q1FY22 and 8/6% in Q4FY22).Gross margin YoY pressures continue in Q1FY23: Commodity pressure continued into Q1FY23, impacting the margin (even sequentially).Three-year CAGR: Our coverage universe is expected to deliver 9/4% three- year revenue/EBITDA CAGRs in Q1.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FMCG & Alco Bev -  Sustaining Pressure on Demand and Margin

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/life-insurance-corp-of-india-lic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28829:1" rel="noopener">Life Insurance Corp of India (LIC) (LICI IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-power-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15618:1" rel="noopener">Tata Power (TPWR IN)</a> will be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-100-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36051:1" rel="noopener">Nifty 100 Index (NSE100 INDEX)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nmdc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2016:1" rel="noopener">Nmdc Ltd (NMDC IN)</a> will be deleted from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpse-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28191:1" rel="noopener">CPSE ETF (CPSEBE IN)</a> and there will be no replacement in the index.</li>
<li>The NMDC deletion along with capping changes means that there is decent volume (and ADV) to buy on quite a few names in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpse-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28191:1" rel="noopener">CPSE ETF (CPSEBE IN)</a>.</li>
</ul>



Life Insurance Corp of India (LIC) (LICI IN) and Tata Power (TPWR IN) will be added to the Nifty 100 Index (NSE100 INDEX) and Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX). 

Nmdc Ltd (NMDC IN) will be deleted from the CPSE ETF (CPSEBE IN) and there will be no replacement in the index.
The NMDC deletion along with capping changes means that there is decent volume (and ADV) to buy on quite a few names in the CPSE ETF (CPSEBE IN).


NIFTY100 & CPSE Index Rebalance: Some Big Changes in 3 Weeks

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the <em>NIFTY 50, 100, and 500</em> Indices for the <em>September 2022</em> Rebalance.</li>
<li>With only one month left in the reference period, most changes for the NIFTY 50 and NIFTY 100 Index seem to be high-conviction index changes.</li>
<li>In addition, I have discussed some trading opportunities with interesting potential index flow dynamics.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the NIFTY 50, 100, and 500 Indices for the September 2022 Rebalance.
With only one month left in the reference period, most changes for the NIFTY 50 and NIFTY 100 Index seem to be high-conviction index changes.
In addition, I have discussed some trading opportunities with interesting potential index flow dynamics.


NIFTY Quiddity Leaderboard Sep 2022: June Trades Successful; More to Come

<ul>
<li>Nearing the end of the review period, we see 5 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 2 new listings added to LargeCap and 7 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap.</li>
<li>We see 7 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap, 3 new listings added to MidCap, and 12 stocks moving from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>Stock migrating upward have, on average, outperformed stocks that are downward migrations. Stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap have performed the best.</li>
</ul>


Nearing the end of the review period, we see 5 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 2 new listings added to LargeCap and 7 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap.
We see 7 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap, 3 new listings added to MidCap, and 12 stocks moving from MidCap to SmallCap.
Stock migrating upward have, on average, outperformed stocks that are downward migrations. Stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap have performed the best.


India: AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Nirmal Bang

Nirmal Bang

A Relationship Beyond Broking

Nirmal Bang, one of the leading stock broking companies in India, caters to retail and institutional clients by offering them a range of financial products and services, including equities, derivatives, commodities, currency derivatives, mutual funds, IPOs, insurance, depository services and PMS.

Nirmal Bang is drawn from a diversity of professional backgrounds, and blend of experience, skill and dedication is shared with its clients. Nirmal Bang emphasizes adequate, thorough research local and world-wide developments, balancing these with the astute discovery of intrinsic values, synergies and growth. The aim is simply to help the investors to maximize their returns.

Equity Bottom-Up

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>4QFY22 headline performance: Standalone topline was up 12.9% YoY at Rs11.6bn, in-line with our estimate of Rs11.4bn.</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>Store additions in 4QFY22: The company again created a new all-time record with the opening of 80 new Domino’s stores, taking the network strength to 1,567 stores as of 31st March’22.</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>FY22 standalone performance: Revenue, EBITDA and APAT grew by 32.5%, 44.1% and 89.6% YoY, respectively.</li></ul></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

4QFY22 headline performance: Standalone topline was up 12.9% YoY at Rs11.6bn, in-line with our estimate of Rs11.4bn.Store additions in 4QFY22: The company again created a new all-time record with the opening of 80 new Domino’s stores, taking the network strength to 1,567 stores as of 31st March’22.FY22 standalone performance: Revenue, EBITDA and APAT grew by 32.5%, 44.1% and 89.6% YoY, respectively.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Jubilant FoodWorks - Operating Performance In-Line; Mr. Khetarpal Comes in as CEO & MD from Amazon

India

Jubilant Foodworks Ltd. owns and operates fast food chains. The Company offers donuts, baked goods, coffee, bagels, muffin, fruit milkshakes, smoothies, tea, sandwiches, pizza, and beverages. Jubilant Foodworks serves its products to customers throughout India.

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Jubilant Foodworks (JUBI IN)

FMCG & Alco Bev - Sustaining Pressure on Demand and Margin

Gross margin YoY pressures continue in Q1FY23: Commodity pressure continued into Q1FY23, impacting the margin (even sequentially).

HDFC Securities

NIFTY100 & CPSE Index Rebalance: Some Big Changes in 3 Weeks

LIC and Tata Power will be added to the NIFTY100 Index at the close on 5 August. NMDC is being deleted from the NIFTY100 & CPSE indices. There is a...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY Quiddity Leaderboard Sep 2022: June Trades Successful; More to Come

NIFTY 50 could see one or two changes. NIFTY 100 and NIFTY 500 could see 5 and 25 changes respectively. There might be some interesting trades to...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

India: AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview

With 9 trading days to go in the review period, we see 5 stocks moving from Mid to Large and 7 stocks moving the other way. 2 new listings will be...

Brian Freitas

Jubilant FoodWorks - Operating Performance In-Line; Mr. Khetarpal Comes in as CEO & MD from Amazon

Jubilant Foodworks’ (JUBI) 4QFY22 operating performance was in-line with our estimate. Like-for-Like (LFL) growth stood at 5.8% vs our est. of 6%

Nirmal Bang

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