Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist, CrossBorder Capital

Michael J. Howell

Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist

Implementing Research Using Alt Data & AI

CrossBorder Capital

CrossBorder Capital is a London-based independent investment advisory firm. Founded in 1996, it exploits a gap in the investment arena by focusing on Central bank liquidity. 

It specialises in the monitoring and analysis of global liquidity flows - an important determinant of asset prices, from currencies through to bonds, equities and real estate.

CrossBorder Capital implements its investment strategy and currently manages over US$ 350m.


Macroeconomics

A recent off-hand remark (since denied) has questioned the willingness of China to continue buying US Treasuries. Coincidently the USD has since tumbled. Doubts remain.The existential debate over the future of the US dollar is becoming polarised between those who, in fact, wrongly claim that China has no choice, since economic arithmetic compels them to buy USD, and those realists who acknowledge China’s desire to replace the USD in Asia. The Europeans had a similar desire some 40-years ago to…

A recent off-hand remark (since denied) has questioned the willingness of China to continue buying US Treasuries. Coincidently the USD has since tumbled. Doubts remain.The existential debate over the future of the US dollar is becoming polarised between those who, in fact, wrongly claim that China has no choice, since economic arithmetic compels them to buy USD, and those realists who acknowledge China’s desire to replace the USD in Asia. The Europeans had a similar desire some 40-years ago to…

Managing Director, MTS Research

Peter Beuttell

Managing Director

MTS Research

MTS Research Limited is an independent investment research company specialising in technical analysis. 

MTS Research provides technical analysis services in the form of regular publications and consultancy advice, catering for a number of different investment approaches from absolute or relative returns to long-only and long/short.  The company has a global client base of blue-chip financial institutions ranging in size and stretching from Los Angeles to Tokyo, via New York, London, Frankfurt and Hong Kong.  

MTS was founded in 1989 at the request of Morgan Grenfell Investment Services Limited (MGIS), the ERISA arm of Morgan Grenfell Asset Management (subsequently Deutsche Asset Management), by Peter Beuttell, a Portfolio Manager at MGIS between 1987 and 1989. 

Peter is a qualified Chartered Accountant and self-taught market technician with over 30 years experience.  At MGIS, Peter managed money in European, Australasian and Far East markets for US clients, such as American Airlines and American Petrofina.  He achieved first quartile perfomance on their behalf by blending fundamental and technical analysis in his investment decision-making.  

After an initial focus on the EAFE markets (Europe, Australasia and Far East), the company has recently expanded its coverage to include the Americas, thanks to the recently-completed two-year Knowledge Transfer Partnership with the University of Plymouth.  The resulting software – the Technical Overlay Program (TOP) – allows fund managers to access an immediate Technical view on any market, sector, stock, bond yield, currency or commodity within their selected universe.

MTS Research consists of a team of five based in Penzance and London. 

Technical Analysis

DXY is missing a leg down.  It has two targets just below 88, but may trade sideways in broadly a 91-95 range before breaking down to those levels in Q2.Eventual weakness of that degree is supported by the Euro and Sterling crosses.The Yen is less clear, but one scenario allows for a drop below 105.

DXY is missing a leg down.  It has two targets just below 88, but may trade sideways in broadly a 91-95 range before breaking down to those levels in Q2.Eventual weakness of that degree is supported by the Euro and Sterling crosses.The Yen is less clear, but one scenario allows for a drop below 105.

US Dollar: DXY Headed Below 88; with a Little Help from the Yen?

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

DXY - USD index is expected to find support at 92.50-70 for a mild bounce sequence as we move closer to the Fed meeting on the 12-13th. DXY bounce resistance comes in at 93.70-94.00 and the fresh short zone for a break below 92.50 to pressure the bigger 92 macro support zone. Asian FX is our top basket to be short the USD which is equity supportive.Given the bear turn just under DXY 93.50 we would be targeting DXY 88 going forward after we hash through a December Fed rate hike. We initiated a…

DXY - USD index is expected to find support at 92.50-70 for a mild bounce sequence as we move closer to the Fed meeting on the 12-13th. DXY bounce resistance comes in at 93.70-94.00 and the fresh short zone for a break below 92.50 to pressure the bigger 92 macro support zone. Asian FX is our top basket to be short the USD which is equity supportive.Given the bear turn just under DXY 93.50 we would be targeting DXY 88 going forward after we hash through a December Fed rate hike. We initiated a…

Fed Meet a Fresh USD Short Opportunity Against Asian FX

Amareos

Ryan Shea

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Introduction</h2>HBO’s successful series Game of Thrones has the phrase “Winter is coming” as its key tag line. It is not meant to reference a seasonal cold spell lasting a few months, but something much more profound and disturbing for the human characters who inhabit this fictional world. Unfortunately, the same phrase has relevance for the real world we presently inhabit.For the overwhelming majority of people, a Third World War is simply unimaginable (try broaching the subject in polite company…

IntroductionHBO’s successful series Game of Thrones has the phrase “Winter is coming” as its key tag line. It is not meant to reference a seasonal cold spell lasting a few months, but something much more profound and disturbing for the human characters who inhabit this fictional world. Unfortunately, the same phrase has relevance for the real world we presently inhabit.For the overwhelming majority of people, a Third World War is simply unimaginable (try broaching the subject in polite company…

The Market Sentimentalist - Winter Is Coming: Economic Pathways To World War III

FX Strategist

Greg Gibbs

Fundamental analysis of topical themes in FX

Amplifying Global FX Capital

Amplifying Global FX Capital was founded in 2015 and is fully owned by Greg Gibbs. It is a registered company both in Australia and Colorado, USA and is a licensed in Australia to provide financial services.

We are producing a regular trading view orientated macroeconomic analysis of topical themes in global financial markets, with a particular focus on foreign exchange. We invite you to view an “executive summary” of these reports in “AmpGFX Reports” under our “Research” menu.

These reports are drawn from the analysis of Greg Gibbs and inform the capital management he undertakes on behalf of the company. The trading performance is posted periodically on our website. We aim to build our company into both a research and capital management business. We are currently in the planning phase for managing capital for wholesale customers.

Greg Gibbs has spent his working life of more than 26 years in financial markets, beginning in 1989 at the Reserve Bank of Australia, after completing a Bachelor of Economics Degree (Honours) at the Australian National University. He has been a CFA Charterholder since 2005. He has worked in Sydney, Singapore, New York and London for major global banks and presented on foreign exchange markets to major financial institutions and companies around the world, and maintained a high profile in the financial media.

Before Amplifying Global FX Capital, Greg was the Head of Asia Pacific Market Strategy at the Royal Bank of Scotland based Singapore. He now resides in Breckenridge Colorado.

FX & Rates

It is getting harder to know where to turn with political risk in the UK palpable. A dual citizenship debacle in Australia, NAFTA negotiations hanging over the CAD outlook, a significant change in policy direction in New Zealand, German coalition negotiations, and political uncertainty has never been far from mind in the US in the Trump era.  Japan is a source of stability, supporting its equities, not its currency.

It is getting harder to know where to turn with political risk in the UK palpable. A dual citizenship debacle in Australia, NAFTA negotiations hanging over the CAD outlook, a significant change in policy direction in New Zealand, German coalition negotiations, and political uncertainty has never been far from mind in the US in the Trump era.  Japan is a source of stability, supporting its equities, not its currency.

Political Risk for a Number of Currencies (AUD, NZD, GBP and CAD)

Japan

The Japanese yen is the official currency of Japan. 

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JPY (USDJPY CURNCY)

China's Biggest 'Big' Question

A recent off-hand remark (since denied) has questioned the willingness of China to continue buying US Treasuries. Coincidently the USD has since...

Michael J. Howell

US Dollar: DXY Headed Below 88; with a Little Help from the Yen?

DXY is missing a leg down. It has two targets just below 88, but may trade sideways in broadly a 91-95 range before breaking down to those levels...

Peter Beuttell

Fed Meet a Fresh USD Short Opportunity Against Asian FX

DXY - USD index is expected to find support at 92.50-70 for a mild bounce sequence as we move closer to the Fed meeting on the 12-13th. DXY bounce...

Thomas Schroeder

The Market Sentimentalist - Winter Is Coming: Economic Pathways To World War III

IntroductionHBO’s successful series Game of Thrones has the phrase “Winter is coming” as its key tag line. It is not meant to reference a seasonal...

Amareos

Political Risk for a Number of Currencies (AUD, NZD, GBP and CAD)

It is getting harder to know where to turn with political risk in the UK palpable. A dual citizenship debacle in Australia, NAFTA negotiations...

Greg Gibbs

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)