Selected Quarterly & Annual Newsletters from Funds, Fund Newsletters

Fund Newsletters

Selected Quarterly & Annual Newsletters from Funds

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We may have different expectations concerning inflation, interest rates, or economic growth, but, at the end of the day, what we buy will determine the portfolio’s return (and its risk).</li><li>Most of our work is devoted to seeking out individual investment opportunities and analyzing them rather than to macroeconomic forecasting.</li><li>As we expected, the need for capital investment over the long term has been, and will likely remain, higher than we anticipated.</li></ul>

We may have different expectations concerning inflation, interest rates, or economic growth, but, at the end of the day, what we buy will determine the portfolio’s return (and its risk).Most of our work is devoted to seeking out individual investment opportunities and analyzing them rather than to macroeconomic forecasting.As we expected, the need for capital investment over the long term has been, and will likely remain, higher than we anticipated.

Vltava Fund Q3 2022 Letter To Shareholders

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>AMTD Digital is the biggest bubble of 2022, which is ready to pop. AMTD Digital provides digital solutions platform in Asia.</li>
<li>AMTD Digital currently has a market cap of US$371 billion (US$2,002 per ADS share) (as of 1:40PM NYC time). The company's market cap is more than JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co.</li>
<li>No doubt, AMTD Digital is the biggest bubble in 2022 and the bursting of this huge bubble will also devastate (mostly) retail investors in the US. </li>
</ul>


AMTD Digital is the biggest bubble of 2022, which is ready to pop. AMTD Digital provides digital solutions platform in Asia.
AMTD Digital currently has a market cap of US$371 billion (US$2,002 per ADS share) (as of 1:40PM NYC time). The company's market cap is more than JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co.
No doubt, AMTD Digital is the biggest bubble in 2022 and the bursting of this huge bubble will also devastate (mostly) retail investors in the US. 


Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

<ul>
<li>Tsingshan metals has reached an agreement with bankers on nickel trade</li>
<li>There is risk of significant impairments at STAN and other counter-party banks</li>
<li>This comes at a time when STAN's impairment costs are starting off at a low level</li>
</ul>


Tsingshan metals has reached an agreement with bankers on nickel trade
There is risk of significant impairments at STAN and other counter-party banks
This comes at a time when STAN's impairment costs are starting off at a low level


Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Independent Insight Provider

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

<ul>
<li>SBI results were highly managed in FY 2Q22, and going forward it’s difficult for anyone to take both these results and this bank very seriously; </li>
<li>SBI reported FY 3Q22 results of INR 84.3 bn, improving INR 8.1 bn (10.6%) linked quarter. Volatility between loss provisions and operating expenses continued; and </li>
<li>Net new NPLs accelerated 18.5% annualized, and SBI’s reserves are short INR 568 tn – over five quarters of pre-tax results. </li>
</ul>


SBI results were highly managed in FY 2Q22, and going forward it’s difficult for anyone to take both these results and this bank very seriously; 
SBI reported FY 3Q22 results of INR 84.3 bn, improving INR 8.1 bn (10.6%) linked quarter. Volatility between loss provisions and operating expenses continued; and 
Net new NPLs accelerated 18.5% annualized, and SBI’s reserves are short INR 568 tn – over five quarters of pre-tax results. 


State Bank of India – Rules Don’t Apply

<ul>
<li>Weaker Result Across Almost All Geographic Segments - Led By Negative Jaws;    </li>
<li>Credit Modestly Weaker, Although Reserve Coverage Remains Strong. Watch For Credit Turn; and </li>
<li>Progress On Asian Consumer Exits, But Sea Change In View On Mexico.   </li>
</ul>


Weaker Result Across Almost All Geographic Segments - Led By Negative Jaws;    
Credit Modestly Weaker, Although Reserve Coverage Remains Strong. Watch For Credit Turn; and 
Progress On Asian Consumer Exits, But Sea Change In View On Mexico.   


Citigroup – Many Moving Parts and Confused Mexican Exit

United States

JPMorgan Chase & Co. provides global financial services and retail banking. The Company provides services such as investment banking, treasury and securities services, asset management, private banking, card member services, commercial banking, and home finance. JP Morgan Chase serves business enterprises, institutions, and individuals.

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JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM US)

Vltava Fund Q3 2022 Letter To Shareholders

We may have different expectations concerning inflation, interest rates, or economic growth, but, at the end of the day, what we buy will...

Fund Newsletters

AMTD Digital: The Biggest Bubble in 2022

AMTD Digital is the biggest bubble of 2022, which is ready to pop. AMTD Digital provides digital solutions platform in Asia.

Douglas Kim

Standard Chartered - Nickel and Dimes

The surge in nickel prices and the wrong-way trade(s) will mean bank counter-party risk, with STAN being highlighted in reports. ROA risk can be...

Daniel Tabbush

State Bank of India – Rules Don’t Apply

SBI: It’s difficult for anyone to take this bank very seriously. SBI reported a QOQ FY 3Q22 results increase of 10.6%, as volatility between loss...

Thomas J. Monaco

Citigroup – Many Moving Parts and Confused Mexican Exit

CITI: Weaker results across almost all geographic segments. Credit is modesty weaker but coverage is strong. Progress on Asian consumer exits, but...

Thomas J. Monaco

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