Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Last week in my notes I pointed to the investment world being upside down and there being too much risk to be fully invested.Let’s set aside whether Banks, UK Banks or even UBS have gotten oversold and are trading buys post Brexit Vote. For my end, I am not going to trade more than 1-2% of holdings in banks. Just enough to get a feel. Not enough to do any damage. There may be some opportunities. There may be opportunities as well in names competing with WMT and in Telecoms…UK tracking device:…

Last week in my notes I pointed to the investment world being upside down and there being too much risk to be fully invested.Let’s set aside whether Banks, UK Banks or even UBS have gotten oversold and are trading buys post Brexit Vote. For my end, I am not going to trade more than 1-2% of holdings in banks. Just enough to get a feel. Not enough to do any damage. There may be some opportunities. There may be opportunities as well in names competing with WMT and in Telecoms…UK tracking device:…

The Dark Side of Glocalization (Even if Investment Opportunities)

EM PM, Ecstrat

Emad Mostaque

EM PM

Ecstrat

Ecstrat is a consultancy advising on asset allocation between global equity markets, with a focus on the intersection of governments, geopolitics, governance and markets.
 
Over the past few years and more especially since the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), investors have become more focused on short-term market movements and real-time returns and have consequently neglected the analysis of the underlying structural themes that underpin longer term performance.
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More specifically we believe that the evolution of governance-based relationships between investors, controlling shareholders, labour and the state is one of the primary determinants of both relative and absolute performance between individual equity markets.
 
We will endeavour to provide investors with some of the context surrounding governance-related issues which encompass many different disciplines including history, economics and political science, as well as the financial metrics which are the most obvious manifestation of the structural characteristics of each market.
 
We will pay particular attention to the shifts and potential inflection points for governance in individual markets as these are often the best lead indicators for both economic and market performance.

Against market expectations the British have voted to exit the European Union, a process that could take a few years. The first order impact is being felt in the Eurozone, but the shockwaves could lead to one more leg down in Emerging Markets and potentially the US this year.

Against market expectations the British have voted to exit the European Union, a process that could take a few years. The first order impact is being felt in the Eurozone, but the shockwaves could lead to one more leg down in Emerging Markets and potentially the US this year.

Founder

Kemp Dolliver, CFA

Cherrystone Hill Research

Equity Bottom-Up

A new study (abstract attached) presented at the European Union League Against Rheumatism (EULAR) Conference highlights one of the main hurdles to adoption of Celltrion/Pfizer's Inflectra by physicians in the U.S. The study's conclusion supports our view that Celltrion's forecast of end market revenue of US$1.7 billion in the U.S. in 2017 is unrealistic.  We expect this divergence between expectations and reality to become more apparent over the next six months.

A new study (abstract attached) presented at the European Union League Against Rheumatism (EULAR) Conference highlights one of the main hurdles to adoption of Celltrion/Pfizer's Inflectra by physicians in the U.S. The study's conclusion supports our view that Celltrion's forecast of end market revenue of US$1.7 billion in the U.S. in 2017 is unrealistic.  We expect this divergence between expectations and reality to become more apparent over the next six months.

Study Highlights Hurdles to U.S. Uptake of Inflectra

Thematic Investing in Tech and Media, CM Research

Cyrus Mewawalla

Thematic Investing in Tech and Media

Thematic TMT investing

CM Research

CM Research is an independent research house based in London, England. We provide global thematic research in the Technology, Media and Telecoms (TMT) sectors. 

Our focus is on disruptive technologies: how will they unfold; which industries will be impacted; and who will be the ultimate winners and losers. 

Our aim is to help investors predict share prices and corporate executives stay one step ahead of the technology trends that are shaping their industry. 

We research technology investment themes in detail and then feed the results into a scorecard system to quantify the impact of several conflicting themes on individual stocks. 

Recent themes covered include internet TV, the Internet of Things, Big Data, Mobile payments, crowdfunding, artificial intelligence, the cloud, software defined networking and Generation Hashtag.

We cover the top 500 global TMT stocks by market capitalisation and several technology start-ups and pre-IPO companies too. 

In 2015, CM Research analysts outperformed the Bloomberg Benchmark Analyst Index - which measures how good analysts are at predicting stock prices - by 7.1%.

Forget everything you learned about Millennials....Millennials were ‘digital’ as defined by the discrete electronic tasks they performed on laptops, iPods or mobile handsets. Generation Hashtag, by contrast, is ‘born digital’.Generation Hashtag has never seen a world without the Internet. They were born into smartphones, social media and the sharing economy. They are technology reliant, hyper-aware and extremely demanding. They are the first generation not to have to read or typed using a computer. For them, it is a world of touch screens filled with constellations of online apps.... and focus on Generation HashtagAged 10 to 24 and numbering about 1.2 billion people worldwide, Generation Hashtag comprises the younger Millennials and the older cohorts of Generation Z. Every year for the next decade, at least one hundred million of them will enter the world of work. They do things differently to previous generations. They will soon become the primary agenda setters for the corporate world, quite literally forcing corporations to re-compile the world using a ‘native digital first’ mindset.

Forget everything you learned about Millennials....Millennials were ‘digital’ as defined by the discrete electronic tasks they performed on laptops, iPods or mobile handsets. Generation Hashtag, by contrast, is ‘born digital’.Generation Hashtag has never seen a world without the Internet. They were born into smartphones, social media and the sharing economy. They are technology reliant, hyper-aware and extremely demanding. They are the first generation not to have to read or typed using a computer. For them, it is a world of touch screens filled with constellations of online apps.... and focus on Generation HashtagAged 10 to 24 and numbering about 1.2 billion people worldwide, Generation Hashtag comprises the younger Millennials and the older cohorts of Generation Z. Every year for the next decade, at least one hundred million of them will enter the world of work. They do things differently to previous generations. They will soon become the primary agenda setters for the corporate world, quite literally forcing corporations to re-compile the world using a ‘native digital first’ mindset.

Generation Hashtag as an Investment Theme

Information Technology Consultant

Ishita Jain

A few months ago, I wrote a piece titled "Investing in the Internet of Things" and I made a case for the bright future of IoT and its myriad applications. At that time, I had noted that one of the top users of IoT was the agriculture sector and today it continues to surge ahead in its use of smart devices. This article serves to explore the innovative ways in which the agriculture industry is exploiting IoT and also serves to bolster the case for investing in IoT.

A few months ago, I wrote a piece titled "Investing in the Internet of Things" and I made a case for the bright future of IoT and its myriad applications. At that time, I had noted that one of the top users of IoT was the agriculture sector and today it continues to surge ahead in its use of smart devices. This article serves to explore the innovative ways in which the agriculture industry is exploiting IoT and also serves to bolster the case for investing in IoT.

United States

Johnson & Johnson manufactures health care products and provides related services for the consumer, pharmaceutical, and medical devices and diagnostics markets. The Company sells products such as skin and hair care products, acetaminophen products, pharmaceuticals, diagnostic equipment, and surgical equipment in countries located around the world.

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Johnson & Johnson (JNJ UN)

The Dark Side of Glocalization (Even if Investment Opportunities)

Last week in my notes I pointed to the investment world being upside down and there being too much risk to be fully invested.Let’s set aside...

Charles De Trenck

Will Brexit Break EM's Back?

Against market expectations the British have voted to exit the European Union, a process that could take a few years. The first order impact is...

Emad Mostaque

Study Highlights Hurdles to U.S. Uptake of Inflectra

A new study (abstract attached) presented at the European Union League Against Rheumatism (EULAR) Conference highlights one of the main hurdles to...

Kemp Dolliver, CFA

Generation Hashtag as an Investment Theme

Forget everything you learned about Millennials....Millennials were ‘digital’ as defined by the discrete electronic tasks they performed on...

CM Research

Internet of Things in Agriculture

A few months ago, I wrote a piece titled "Investing in the Internet of Things" and I made a case for the bright future of IoT and its myriad...

Ishita Jain

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