HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Jinxin Fertility Group  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We have seen some positive policies released in China to support assisted reproduction. However, domestic policy support is more of a short-term catalyst and would not fundamentally change Jinxin’s prospects.</li>
<li>The number of assisted reproductive centers in China is close to supply-demand equilibrium. It’s hard to support Jinxin’s valuation expansion by relying on China market. The breakthrough point is internationalization.</li>
<li>Jinxin’s 2023 performance wouldn’t rebound largely. Investors could do short-term trade based on positive news/policy related to ARS in China.There’s no signal to support the complete reversal of share price.</li>
</ul>


We have seen some positive policies released in China to support assisted reproduction. However, domestic policy support is more of a short-term catalyst and would not fundamentally change Jinxin’s prospects.
The number of assisted reproductive centers in China is close to supply-demand equilibrium. It’s hard to support Jinxin’s valuation expansion by relying on China market. The breakthrough point is internationalization.
Jinxin’s 2023 performance wouldn’t rebound largely. Investors could do short-term trade based on positive news/policy related to ARS in China.There’s no signal to support the complete reversal of share price.


Jinxin Fertility Co Ltd (1951.HK) - Hard to Achieve Performance Reversal in 2023

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Jinxin Fertility is a leading IVF service provider in China. It has done a series of M&amp;A in the past two years.</li>
<li>We examine the thesis of the company for a trade into 2023.</li>
<li>We believe the company has big potential to realize its synergy post acquisition and ramp up post expansion. More favorable policy to come.</li>
</ul>


Jinxin Fertility is a leading IVF service provider in China. It has done a series of M&amp;A in the past two years.
We examine the thesis of the company for a trade into 2023.
We believe the company has big potential to realize its synergy post acquisition and ramp up post expansion. More favorable policy to come.


<ul>
<li>China funeral industry has large growth potential.The total market scale would be about RMB400 billion if based on annual death toll of 10 million and per capita expenditure of RMB40,000.</li>
<li>Information asymmetry weakens the bargaining power of buyers. Administrative barriers raise the threshold of market access and weaken competition. So, related companies usually have high profitability and return on capital.</li>
<li>Changes in population structure would have a negative impact on most consumer goods, but demand of funeral industry would continue to rise. Investors would have both alpha and beta superposition.</li>
</ul>


China funeral industry has large growth potential.The total market scale would be about RMB400 billion if based on annual death toll of 10 million and per capita expenditure of RMB40,000.
Information asymmetry weakens the bargaining power of buyers. Administrative barriers raise the threshold of market access and weaken competition. So, related companies usually have high profitability and return on capital.
Changes in population structure would have a negative impact on most consumer goods, but demand of funeral industry would continue to rise. Investors would have both alpha and beta superposition.


China Funeral Industry - Investment Opportunity with Both Alpha and Beta Superposition

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The 7th National VBP released results. 60 kinds of drugs won the bidding successfully, with price reduction of 48% on average. We analyzed its impact on companies. </li>
<li>The newly issued document about the payment management measures for new technology out of CHS-DRG payment scope is a solid encouragement to innovation and an important policy reform signal.</li>
<li>The national centralized procurement of orthopedic spine consumables has officially started, which is beneficial to those leading companies with complete product line.</li>
</ul>


The 7th National VBP released results. 60 kinds of drugs won the bidding successfully, with price reduction of 48% on average. We analyzed its impact on companies. 
The newly issued document about the payment management measures for new technology out of CHS-DRG payment scope is a solid encouragement to innovation and an important policy reform signal.
The national centralized procurement of orthopedic spine consumables has officially started, which is beneficial to those leading companies with complete product line.


China Healthcare Weekly (July.15)-7th VBP, Policy Correction Signs, Orthopedic Spine Consumables VBP

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/virtus-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14776:1" rel="noopener">Virtus Health (VRT AU)</a> Board changed their recommendation that the BGH takeover offer rather than the CapVest offer is in the best interest of shareholders.</li>
<li>BGH and CapVest represent 22.38% and 1.13% of outstanding shares, respectively. Press reports suggest that it is unlikely that CapVest will increase its offer (scheme: A$8.15, takeover: A$8.10).</li>
<li>The BGH takeover offer of A$8.15 per share remains open until 31 May. At the last close price, the gross spread to the BGH takeover offer is 0.9%.</li>
</ul>


The Virtus Health (VRT AU) Board changed their recommendation that the BGH takeover offer rather than the CapVest offer is in the best interest of shareholders.
BGH and CapVest represent 22.38% and 1.13% of outstanding shares, respectively. Press reports suggest that it is unlikely that CapVest will increase its offer (scheme: A$8.15, takeover: A$8.10).
The BGH takeover offer of A$8.15 per share remains open until 31 May. At the last close price, the gross spread to the BGH takeover offer is 0.9%.


China

Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and markets biochemical pharmaceuticals, biological products, traditional Chinese medicines, and healthcare products.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also manufactures food.

Searainbow Holding Corp., produces chemical fibers and other textile products. The company, through its subsidiaries, also provides medical e-commerce and on-line games.

Nanjing Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd. distributes a broad range of drugs. The Company also manufactures medicines,medical apparatus, chemical reagents, and glassware.

Guangxi Liuzhou Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd. manufactures pharmaceuticals. The Company researches, develops, produces, processes, and distributes capsules, granules, tablets, pills, plasters, and raw material medicines.

Zhejiang Dian Diagnostics Co., Ltd. provides medical diagnostic solutions, as an outsourcer, to various general hospitals, specialized hospitals, community health service centers (stations), township (county) hospitals, medical centers,  disease prevention and control centers.

China Resources Medical Holdings Company Limited operates hospitals and clinics. The Company offers clinical treatment, healthcare management, public sanitary, and other medical health services. China Resources Medical Holdings also operates supply chain management, financing, real estate development, consumption, and other businesses.

Cachet Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd manages pharmaceutical services, wholesale and retail businesses.  The Company also operates the logistics services related to pharmacy.

Zhejiang Zhenyuan Co., Ltd. wholesales and retails traditional Chinese medicines, Chinese medicine materials, chemical preparations, and healthcare products.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also manufactures pharmaceuticals.

Shandong Realcan Pharmaceutical Company Limited is a pharmaceutical direct seller. The Company's main business is distributing drugs to high-end medical market, basic health care market and commercial distribution.

Shandong Realcan Pharmaceutical (002589 CH)

China Pioneer Pharma Holdings Ltd is a marketing, promotion and channel management service provider dedicated to imported pharmaceutical products and medical devices in China.

Regis Healthcare Limited is a treatment program that offers Family Therapy, Clinical Psychology, Education and Occupational Therapy.

Chularat Hospital PCL owns medical centers and hospitals. The Company operates a variety of centers specializing in treatments such as hand surgery, open heart surgery, and strokes as well as providing emergency services and patient care. Chularat Hospital serves the medial industry throughout Thailand.

BML, INC. operates medical laboratories and develops software for clinical testing.  The Company conducts clinical testing in a variety of fields, including endocrine, blood and blood plasma, protein, biochemical, virus, immune systems, and bacteria.  BML conducts testing primarily  for hospitals and medical institutions.

Vibhavadi Medical Center Public Company Limited owns and operates the Vibhavadi Hospital. Located in Bangkok, the Hospital provides full range of medical services.

H.U. Group Holdings Inc. provides health care testing services. The Company provides contract clinical testing and clinical laboratory drug services for cancer, malignant tumor, hypothyroidism, diabetes, and infectious diseases. H.U. Group Holdings also conducts sterilization related business.

Rhoen-Klinikum AG operates general, rehabilitation, and emergency health care facilities which offer inpatient and outpatient medical care to various communities in Germany.  These clinics and hospitals offer cardiological, surgical, psychiatric, neurological and neurosurgical, orthopedic, addiction treatment, and physical therapy services.

CVS Group PLC provides animal veterinary and related services. The Company sells animal medicines and a range of pet products directly to consumers. CVS Group operates throughout the United Kingdom.

Netcare Limited is a South African hospital promotion and management company that owns and operates a number of private hospitals and clinics.

Life Healthcare Group Holdings Ltd operates healthcare facilities in South Africa.  The Company operates acute care hospitals, long-term care facilities, physical and cognitive rehabilitation services for disabling injuries, and on-site occupational and primary healthcare services.

Selcuk Ecza Deposu Ticaret ve Sanayi A.S. distributes pharmaceutical products.

Selcuk Ecza Deposu Ticaret ve Sanayi A.S. (SELEC TI)

Selcuk Ecza Deposu Ticaret ve Sanayi A.S.

Jinxin Fertility Group Limited provides assisted reproductive services. The Company offers vitro fertilization services, embryo transfer services, management services, and other services. Jinxin Fertility Group also provides ancillary medical services.

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Jinxin Fertility Group (1951 HK)

Jinxin Fertility Co Ltd (1951.HK) - Hard to Achieve Performance Reversal in 2023

The growth ceiling in China is obvious, which cannot support Jinxin’s valuation expansion.The breakthrough point is internationalization,...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

2023 High Conviction: Jinxin Fertility

Jinxin Fertility is a leading IVF service provider in China. It has done a series of M&A in the past two years. We examine the thesis of the...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Funeral Industry - Investment Opportunity with Both Alpha and Beta Superposition

Death is inevitable, which provides continuous demand for China funeral industry. Related companies have high return on capital. investors will...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (July.15)-7th VBP, Policy Correction Signs, Orthopedic Spine Consumables VBP

The 7th National VBP released results. New technology payment management measures out of CHS-DRG scope is a policy correction signal.Orthopedic...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

BGH Capital in Pole Position at Virtus

The Board has recommended the BGH takeover offer of A$8.15, which closes on 31 May. At the last close price, the gross spread to the BGH takeover...

Arun George

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