IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Langham Hospitality Inv Ss / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/langham-hospitality-inv-ss" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:760:1" rel="noopener">Langham Hospitality Inv Ss (1270 HK)</a> received a notice from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-eagle-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:758:1" rel="noopener">Great Eagle Holdings (41 HK)</a>, the largest unitholder, that it intends to present a detailed proposal for scheme privatisation.</li>
<li>The privatisation interest is unsurprising, as the unit price has declined by 43% over the last twelve months. A tough 2023 did not help the declining sentiment.</li>
<li>Our methodology for triangulating the potential offer price results in a range of HK$0.63-1.76. Our best guess is an offer of around HK$0.85, a 47% premium to the last close.</li>
</ul>



Langham Hospitality Inv Ss (1270 HK) received a notice from Great Eagle Holdings (41 HK), the largest unitholder, that it intends to present a detailed proposal for scheme privatisation.
The privatisation interest is unsurprising, as the unit price has declined by 43% over the last twelve months. A tough 2023 did not help the declining sentiment.
Our methodology for triangulating the potential offer price results in a range of HK$0.63-1.76. Our best guess is an offer of around HK$0.85, a 47% premium to the last close.


Langham Hospitality Investments (1270 HK): Great Eagle (41 HK)’s Possible Scheme Privatisation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-capital-grand-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18241:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK)</a> disclosed a Cayman scheme privatisation offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-capital-land-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4543:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Capital Land Ltd H (2868 HK)</a> at HK$0.85 per share, a 46.6% premium to the undisturbed price. </li>
<li>The key condition will be approval by at least 75% of disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of all disinterested shareholders rejection). The offer price is final.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sino-ocean-group-holding-limited" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Sino-Ocean Group (3377 HK)</a> receivers, which hold a blocking stake, will support a liquidity event to exit, particularly as the offer is reasonable compared to historical trading ranges.  </li>
</ul>



Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK) disclosed a Cayman scheme privatisation offer from Beijing Capital Land Ltd H (2868 HK) at HK$0.85 per share, a 46.6% premium to the undisturbed price. 
The key condition will be approval by at least 75% of disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of all disinterested shareholders rejection). The offer price is final.
The Sino-Ocean Group (3377 HK) receivers, which hold a blocking stake, will support a liquidity event to exit, particularly as the offer is reasonable compared to historical trading ranges.  


Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK): Capital Group’s Scheme Privatisation at HK$0.85

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-capital-grand-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18241:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK)</a> entered a trading halt based on the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers. </li>
<li>It is likely that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-capital-land-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4543:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Capital Land Ltd H (2868 HK)</a>, the largest shareholder, is launching an offer primarily to acquire the stake from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sino-ocean-group-holding-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8898:1" rel="noopener">Sino-Ocean Group (3377 HK)</a> receivers. </li>
<li>As this is a forced sale, an offer of around HK$0.70-0.75, a 20%- 30% premium to the last close, would be sufficient to gain an irrevocable from the receivers. </li>
</ul>



Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK) entered a trading halt based on the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers. 
It is likely that Beijing Capital Land Ltd H (2868 HK), the largest shareholder, is launching an offer primarily to acquire the stake from Sino-Ocean Group (3377 HK) receivers. 
As this is a forced sale, an offer of around HK$0.70-0.75, a 20%- 30% premium to the last close, would be sufficient to gain an irrevocable from the receivers. 


Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK): An Offer from Beijing Capital Land?

China Vast Industrial Urban Development / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-vast-industrial-urban-development-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3212:1" rel="noopener">China Vast Industrial Urban Development (6166 HK)</a> announced that all the pre-conditions were fulfilled. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-jinmao-holdings-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35:1" rel="noopener">China Jinmao Holdings (817 HK)</a>’s offer is HK$2.40 per share.</li>
<li>The key condition is approval by at least 75% of disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of disinterested shareholders rejection). Shareholders with blocking stakes will be supportive.</li>
<li>The offer is light, but the headcount test is not applicable. At last close and for a year-end payment, the gross and annualised spread is 0.8% and 4.0%, respectively.</li>
</ul>



China Vast Industrial Urban Development (6166 HK) announced that all the pre-conditions were fulfilled. China Jinmao Holdings (817 HK)’s offer is HK$2.40 per share.
The key condition is approval by at least 75% of disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of disinterested shareholders rejection). Shareholders with blocking stakes will be supportive.
The offer is light, but the headcount test is not applicable. At last close and for a year-end payment, the gross and annualised spread is 0.8% and 4.0%, respectively.


China VAST: Pre-Condition Fulfilled for the China Jinmao Offer

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-vast-industrial-urban-development-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3212:1" rel="noopener">China Vast Industrial Urban Development (6166 HK)</a> announced a pre-conditional privatisation offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-jinmao-holdings-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35:1" rel="noopener">China Jinmao Holdings (817 HK)</a> at HK$2.40 per share, a 30.4% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
<li>Key conditions include approval by at least 75% disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of disinterested shareholders rejection). Shareholders with blocking stakes will be supportive.</li>
<li>The headcount test (if still applicable) is a key challenge as minorities are likely to be unimpressed. We would be buyers up to HK$2.26 per share (implies 75% deal probability).</li>
</ul>



China Vast Industrial Urban Development (6166 HK) announced a pre-conditional privatisation offer from China Jinmao Holdings (817 HK) at HK$2.40 per share, a 30.4% premium to the undisturbed price.
Key conditions include approval by at least 75% disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of disinterested shareholders rejection). Shareholders with blocking stakes will be supportive.
The headcount test (if still applicable) is a key challenge as minorities are likely to be unimpressed. We would be buyers up to HK$2.26 per share (implies 75% deal probability).


China VAST’s Underwhelming Privatisation Bid from China Jinmao

Hong Kong

Jinmao Hotel & Jinmao (China) Hotel Investments and Management Limited trade together as a stapled security. Jinmao Hotel primarily owns and invests in a portfolio of hotels. Jinmao (China) Hotel Investments and Management Limited is a fixed, single investment trust with an initial focus on the hospitality industry in the PRC.

Jinmao Hotel & Jinmao (China) Hotel Investments and Management Limited (6139 HK)

Jinmao Hotel & Jinmao (China) Hotel Investments and Management Limited

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Jinmao Hotel & Jinmao (China) Hotel Investments and Management Limited (6139 HK)

Langham Hospitality Investments (1270 HK): Great Eagle (41 HK)’s Possible Scheme Privatisation

Our methodology for triangulating the potential offer price results in a range of HK$0.63-1.76. Our best guess is an offer of around HK$0.85, a 47%...

Arun George

Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK): Capital Group’s Scheme Privatisation at HK$0.85

Shareholders with blocking stakes are likely to be supportive, mainly as the offer is reasonable compared to historical trading ranges. At the...

Arun George

Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK): An Offer from Beijing Capital Land?

It is likely that Beijing Capital Land, the largest shareholder, is launching an offer primarily to acquire the stake from Sino-Ocean Group receivers.

Arun George

China VAST: Pre-Condition Fulfilled for the China Jinmao Offer

The headcount test is not applicable, and this is a done deal. At the last close and for a year-end payment, the annualised spread is 4.0%.

Arun George

China VAST’s Underwhelming Privatisation Bid from China Jinmao

The offer price is unattractive to historical multiples and precedent transactions. We would be buyers up to HK$2.26 per share (implies 75% deal...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)