Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Event-Driven

<div><p>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> consists of stocks from the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and is one of the most widely tracked A-share indices with passive tracking products listed in multiple markets globally. There are CFFEX listed futures that trade actively as well.</p></div><div>
<p>China Securities Index Co (CSI) will announce the changes for the December rebalance at the end of  November or beginning December and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 10 December.</p>
<p>Half way through the review period that runs from May to October, we see 26 changes at the upcoming December 2021 review. Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 9.24% and will result in a one-way trade of just shy of US$3bn.</p>
<p>The Information Technology and Materials sectors gain 4 spots each in the index while Financials are the biggest losers with 7 spots gone.</p>
<p>The potential inclusions have outperformed the potential exclusions and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> by a wide margin on a year to date basis. We recommend building up positions gradually and scaling in on a correction.</p>
</div>

The Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) consists of stocks from the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and is one of the most widely tracked A-share indices with passive tracking products listed in multiple markets globally. There are CFFEX listed futures that trade actively as well.
China Securities Index Co (CSI) will announce the changes for the December rebalance at the end of  November or beginning December and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 10 December.
Half way through the review period that runs from May to October, we see 26 changes at the upcoming December 2021 review. Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 9.24% and will result in a one-way trade of just shy of US$3bn.
The Information Technology and Materials sectors gain 4 spots each in the index while Financials are the biggest losers with 7 spots gone.
The potential inclusions have outperformed the potential exclusions and the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) by a wide margin on a year to date basis. We recommend building up positions gradually and scaling in on a correction.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Large Turnover as Potential Inclusions Keep Rallying

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Jinke Smart Services / Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jinke-smart-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29214:1" rel="noopener">Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK)</a> is a Chinese property management company which is a subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jinke-property-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13291:1" rel="noopener">Jinke Property Group (000656 CH)</a>. At the proposed IPO price range of HK$41.80-47.60 per share, Jinke will have a market cap of HK$26,455.7-30,126.6 million ($3.4-3.9 billion). At the mid-point of the IPO price range, Jinke will raise net proceeds of HK$5,738.1 million ($740 million). Ten cornerstone investors will subscribe for HK$2,673.7 million ($345 million) worth of the offer shares. The cornerstone investors include Taikang Life, Hillhouse Capital, Snow Lake Capital, CICC Capital, UBS Asset Management and Marshall Wace. </p></div><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jinke-smart-services-ipo-initiation-street-smart" target="_blank" rel="noopener">our initiation note</a>, we highlighted that on a fundamental view, we believe that Jinke is attractive. However, we also noted that the poor post-IPO performance of recent property management IPOs despite good fundamentals was likely due to investors unwilling to pay a growth premium compared to an ever-expanding selection of listed peers. Our valuation analysis suggests that Jinke is fully valued at the proposed IPO price range and we would be inclined to give the IPO a pass on valuation grounds. </p></div></div></div>

Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK) is a Chinese property management company which is a subsidiary of Jinke Property Group (000656 CH). At the proposed IPO price range of HK$41.80-47.60 per share, Jinke will have a market cap of HK$26,455.7-30,126.6 million ($3.4-3.9 billion). At the mid-point of the IPO price range, Jinke will raise net proceeds of HK$5,738.1 million ($740 million). Ten cornerstone investors will subscribe for HK$2,673.7 million ($345 million) worth of the offer shares. The cornerstone investors include Taikang Life, Hillhouse Capital, Snow Lake Capital, CICC Capital, UBS Asset Management and Marshall Wace. In our initiation note, we highlighted that on a fundamental view, we believe that Jinke is attractive. However, we also noted that the poor post-IPO performance of recent property management IPOs despite good fundamentals was likely due to investors unwilling to pay a growth premium compared to an ever-expanding selection of listed peers. Our valuation analysis suggests that Jinke is fully valued at the proposed IPO price range and we would be inclined to give the IPO a pass on valuation grounds. 

Jinke Smart Services IPO: Valuation Insights

Jinke Property Group / Equity Capital Markets

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jinke-smart-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29214:1" rel="noopener">Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK)</a> is a Chinese property management company which is a subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jinke-property-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13291:1" rel="noopener">Jinke Property Group (000656 CH)</a>. From 2015 to 2020, Jinke was ranked first among the Top 100 property management companies as measured by overall strengths in the Southwestern China Region, according to China Index Academy. Jinke has launched a Hong Kong IPO to raise net proceeds of HK$5,738.1 million ($740 million) at the mid-point of the IPO price range. </p><div class="content-highlight"><p>Property developers continue to spin-off their property management arms due to tight credit conditions. However, sentiment on property management IPOs seems to have turned as recent IPOs of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kwg-living-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29231:1" rel="noopener">KWG Living Group (3913 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shimao-services-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29199:1" rel="noopener">Shimao Services Holdings (873 HK)</a> are trading 20% and 5% below their IPO prices, respectively. The poor post-IPO performance despite good fundamentals was likely due to investors unwilling to pay a growth premium compared to an ever-expanding selection of listed peers. Overall, on a fundamental view, we believe that Jinke is attractive.</p></div>

Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK) is a Chinese property management company which is a subsidiary of Jinke Property Group (000656 CH). From 2015 to 2020, Jinke was ranked first among the Top 100 property management companies as measured by overall strengths in the Southwestern China Region, according to China Index Academy. Jinke has launched a Hong Kong IPO to raise net proceeds of HK$5,738.1 million ($740 million) at the mid-point of the IPO price range. Property developers continue to spin-off their property management arms due to tight credit conditions. However, sentiment on property management IPOs seems to have turned as recent IPOs of KWG Living Group (3913 HK) and Shimao Services Holdings (873 HK) are trading 20% and 5% below their IPO prices, respectively. The poor post-IPO performance despite good fundamentals was likely due to investors unwilling to pay a growth premium compared to an ever-expanding selection of listed peers. Overall, on a fundamental view, we believe that Jinke is attractive.

Jinke Smart Services IPO Initiation: Street Smart

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>New data from China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) for February for 70 major cities and calculations of the aggregate show a further gradual deceleration in price growth overall on a year-on-year basis from +12.2% in January to +11.8% in February, though the month-on-month growth actually picked up from +0.2% to +0.3%.</p><p>Top risers on a 12-month basis now show some of the more significant declines on the month-on-month basis, while there are more cities with house prices rising.</p><p>The biggest…</p>

New data from China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) for February for 70 major cities and calculations of the aggregate show a further gradual deceleration in price growth overall on a year-on-year basis from +12.2% in January to +11.8% in February, though the month-on-month growth actually picked up from +0.2% to +0.3%.Top risers on a 12-month basis now show some of the more significant declines on the month-on-month basis, while there are more cities with house prices rising.The biggest…

China Property: What's Going On With House Prices... Based On The Latest NBS Data

<p>The charts below illustrate what has happened in China in terms of primary land sales for residential or mixed-use development in 40 major cities.</p><p>In 2016, the land sales declined slightly in Gross Floor Area (GFA) terms (despite <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/china-property-2017-forecast-summary" target="_blank">strong property sales volumes</a>) but increased significantly in terms of RMB Value, i.e. the average price of land on that basis went up.</p><p>Such average calculations don't take into account the change in the type of locations where land is being sold - recent sales are more…</p>

The charts below illustrate what has happened in China in terms of primary land sales for residential or mixed-use development in 40 major cities.In 2016, the land sales declined slightly in Gross Floor Area (GFA) terms (despite strong property sales volumes) but increased significantly in terms of RMB Value, i.e. the average price of land on that basis went up.Such average calculations don't take into account the change in the type of locations where land is being sold - recent sales are more…

China Property: Land Sales In 2016 - Less Supply, Higher Prices

China

Jinke Properties Group Company Ltd. develops and manages property.

Price Gauge
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Jinke Property Group (000656 CH)

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Large Turnover as Potential Inclusions Keep Rallying

Half way through the review period, we see 26 changes to the CSI300 Index. Estimated one-way turnover is 9%+ & would result in a one way trade of...

Brian Freitas

Jinke Smart Services IPO: Valuation Insights

Our valuation analysis suggests that Jinke is fully valued at the proposed IPO price range and we would be inclined to give the IPO a pass on...

Arun George

Jinke Smart Services IPO Initiation: Street Smart

Jinke has launched a Hong Kong IPO to raise net proceeds of HK$5,738.1 million ($740 million) at the mid-point of the IPO price range. On a...

Arun George

China Property: What's Going On With House Prices... Based On The Latest NBS Data

New data from China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) for February for 70 major cities and calculations of the aggregate show a further gradual...

Robert Ciemniak

China Property: Land Sales In 2016 - Less Supply, Higher Prices

The charts below illustrate what has happened in China in terms of primary land sales for residential or mixed-use development in 40...

Robert Ciemniak

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)