HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Sino Biopharmaceutical / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The biggest changes in 2023 medical insurance catalog are the lifting of payment restrictions on TCM injections, which would drive rapid sales growth in the hospital market this year.</li>
<li>GLP-1s are not flawless, and patients will lose not only fat but also muscle during weight-loss process. Then, another noteworthy opportunity has emerged - reduce fat and increase muscle.</li>
<li>In 2024, Sino Biopharm is expected to achieve single-digit revenue growth. Deficiencies in corporate governance are one reason why the market is reluctant to offer Sino Biopharm high valuation.</li>
</ul>


The biggest changes in 2023 medical insurance catalog are the lifting of payment restrictions on TCM injections, which would drive rapid sales growth in the hospital market this year.
GLP-1s are not flawless, and patients will lose not only fat but also muscle during weight-loss process. Then, another noteworthy opportunity has emerged - reduce fat and increase muscle.
In 2024, Sino Biopharm is expected to achieve single-digit revenue growth. Deficiencies in corporate governance are one reason why the market is reluctant to offer Sino Biopharm high valuation.


China Healthcare Weekly (Apr.6) - Boom of TCM Injections Is Coming, Defects in GLP-1s, Sino Biopharm

Shanghai United Imaging Health / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Benefiting from changes in pandemic prevention policies and favorable reimbursement policy support, TCM injections market would end its years of continuous decline and enter a period of rapid growth again.</li>
<li>After Novo Nordisk acquires Catalent, China CXOs would be less likely to obtain the global GLP-1 orders. As MNCs rethink supply chain issues, China CXOs would face more challenges.</li>
<li>Against the backdrop of anti-corruption/import substitution, investment logic of United Imaging is solid. However, the biggest issue is high valuation. Fundamentals're difficult to support more than RMB100 billion market value.</li>
</ul>


Benefiting from changes in pandemic prevention policies and favorable reimbursement policy support, TCM injections market would end its years of continuous decline and enter a period of rapid growth again.
After Novo Nordisk acquires Catalent, China CXOs would be less likely to obtain the global GLP-1 orders. As MNCs rethink supply chain issues, China CXOs would face more challenges.
Against the backdrop of anti-corruption/import substitution, investment logic of United Imaging is solid. However, the biggest issue is high valuation. Fundamentals're difficult to support more than RMB100 billion market value.


China Healthcare Weekly (Mar.22)-TCM Injection Revive, China CXO Lag Behind in GLP-1, United Imaging

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We estimate the outflows to be $12.8bn in August and consumer staples, and financials sectors led the outflows.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CATL, Wuxi Wapptec, Fuyao Glass, Foxconn Industrial, CMB, Wuliangye, Mindray, Moutai, Longi Green.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
We estimate the outflows to be $12.8bn in August and consumer staples, and financials sectors led the outflows.
We highlight flows for CATL, Wuxi Wapptec, Fuyao Glass, Foxconn Industrial, CMB, Wuliangye, Mindray, Moutai, Longi Green.


Northbound Flows Monthly (August): $12.8bn Outflows

Clover Biopharmaceuticals / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The General Office of National Health Commission issued a notice on further strengthening the management of clinical medication for children. Pediatric TCM is more popular, with decent growth potential.</li>
<li>Long-Term money choosing to leave A-share isn't due to geopolitical risks. If outlook isn't good, the logic of capital's allocation in A-share isn't based on promising growth, but on liquidity instead.</li>
<li>We analyzed key points of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/clover-biopharmaceuticals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33029:1" rel="noopener">Clover Biopharmaceuticals (2197 HK)</a>. The Company has entered a vicious cycle. If Clover is abandoned by the market, it will lead to lack of liquidity.</li>
</ul>


The General Office of National Health Commission issued a notice on further strengthening the management of clinical medication for children. Pediatric TCM is more popular, with decent growth potential.
Long-Term money choosing to leave A-share isn't due to geopolitical risks. If outlook isn't good, the logic of capital's allocation in A-share isn't based on promising growth, but on liquidity instead.
We analyzed key points of Clover Biopharmaceuticals (2197 HK). The Company has entered a vicious cycle. If Clover is abandoned by the market, it will lead to lack of liquidity.


China Healthcare Weekly (Jun.9) - Pediatric TCM New Policy, Long-Term Money Dislikes A-Share, Clover

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<p>Global equities (MSCI ACWI) are decisively breaking above 1-month resistance on US-China trade war optimism, incrementally improving the technical picture. While there is some room to move higher in the near-term, we are hesitant to get too excited because several major indexes have additional hurdles to jump. We highlight important technical levels across major averages including Europe/UK (STOXX 600), Hong Kong (Hang Seng), Japan (TOPIX), and several EM countries (China, Brazil, Russia, Taiwan, and India).  Finally, we highlight attractive opportunities within the Consumer Discretionary, Heath Care and Services sectors.</p>

Global equities (MSCI ACWI) are decisively breaking above 1-month resistance on US-China trade war optimism, incrementally improving the technical picture. While there is some room to move higher in the near-term, we are hesitant to get too excited because several major indexes have additional hurdles to jump. We highlight important technical levels across major averages including Europe/UK (STOXX 600), Hong Kong (Hang Seng), Japan (TOPIX), and several EM countries (China, Brazil, Russia, Taiwan, and India).  Finally, we highlight attractive opportunities within the Consumer Discretionary, Heath Care and Services sectors.

China

Jiangsu Kanion Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets Chinese traditional pharmaceutical preparations and healthcare products.  The Company's products include capsules, electuaries, pills, and liquid medicines.

Jiangsu Kanion Pharmaceutical Co, Ltd. (600557 CH)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Jiangsu Kanion Pharmaceutical Co, Ltd. (600557 CH)

China Healthcare Weekly (Apr.6) - Boom of TCM Injections Is Coming, Defects in GLP-1s, Sino Biopharm

Payment policy relaxation will drive rapid sales growth of TCM injection.GLP-1 has defects-patients will lose not only fat but also muscle. Mr...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Mar.22)-TCM Injection Revive, China CXO Lag Behind in GLP-1, United Imaging

TCM injection market would end its years of decline and enter a period of rapid growth again. As MNCs rethink supply chain issues, China CXOs would...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Northbound Flows Monthly (August): $12.8bn Outflows

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for August and highlight flows for CATL, Wuxi Wapptec, Fuyao Glass, Foxconn Industrial, CMB,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Global Equity Strategy: Guarded Optimism

Global equities (MSCI ACWI) are decisively breaking above 1-month resistance on US-China trade war optimism, incrementally improving the technical...

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China Healthcare Weekly (Apr.6) - Boom of TCM Injections Is Coming, Defects in GLP-1s, Sino Biopharm

Payment policy relaxation will drive rapid sales growth of TCM injection.GLP-1 has defects-patients will lose not only fat but also muscle. Mr...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Mar.22)-TCM Injection Revive, China CXO Lag Behind in GLP-1, United Imaging

TCM injection market would end its years of decline and enter a period of rapid growth again. As MNCs rethink supply chain issues, China CXOs would...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Northbound Flows Monthly (August): $12.8bn Outflows

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for August and highlight flows for CATL, Wuxi Wapptec, Fuyao Glass, Foxconn Industrial, CMB,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Healthcare Weekly (Jun.9) - Pediatric TCM New Policy, Long-Term Money Dislikes A-Share, Clover

New policy for pediatric TCM is released,indicating good growth potential.Long-term money dislike A-share,mainly due to concerns on growth not...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Global Equity Strategy: Guarded Optimism

Global equities (MSCI ACWI) are decisively breaking above 1-month resistance on US-China trade war optimism, incrementally improving the technical...

Vermilion Research