Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 120.6% as of Jul 7th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 5.9ppt week on week, led by consumer staples, consumer discretionary, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for BankComm, ICBC, CCB, BYD, Asymchem, Hisense, Baiyunshan, Yankuang Energy, New China Life.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 120.6% as of Jul 7th.
The average A-H premium changed by 5.9ppt week on week, led by consumer staples, consumer discretionary, energy.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for BankComm, ICBC, CCB, BYD, Asymchem, Hisense, Baiyunshan, Yankuang Energy, New China Life.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 7th): BankComm, ICBC, CCB, BYD, Asymchem, Hisense, Baiyunshan

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Two thirds of the way through the review period for the June rebalance of the CSI500 Index, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) at the close on 8 December.</li>
<li>There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 10.1% at the December rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 6.75bn.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the CSI500 Index over the last six weeks. There could be more outperformance till nearer the end of the review period.</li>
</ul>


Two thirds of the way through the review period for the June rebalance of the CSI500 Index, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) at the close on 8 December.
There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 10.1% at the December rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 6.75bn.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the CSI500 Index over the last six weeks. There could be more outperformance till nearer the end of the review period.


CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Outperforming Potential Deletes

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 114.6% as of Jun 30th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -5.2ppt week on week, led by health care, information technology, consumer discretionary and offset by consumer staples.</li>
<li>We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Tianqi Lithium, CQRC Bank, Shanghai Fudan, Joinn Lab, Remegen, Cansino Biologics.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 114.6% as of Jun 30th.
The average A-H premium changed by -5.2ppt week on week, led by health care, information technology, consumer discretionary and offset by consumer staples.
We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Tianqi Lithium, CQRC Bank, Shanghai Fudan, Joinn Lab, Remegen, Cansino Biologics.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 30th): Healthcare Led Premium Decline

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 12th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Cnooc, Bank Of China, Petrochina, China Shenhua Energy, CCB, HKEX, SMIC.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 12th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Cnooc, Bank Of China, Petrochina, China Shenhua Energy, CCB, HKEX, SMIC.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (May 12th): CNOOC, BOC, Petrochina, China Shenhua Energy, CCB, HKEX, SMIC

Jiangxi Special Electric Motor A / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Three quarters of the way through the review period for the June rebalance of the CSI500 Index, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) at the close on 9 June.</li>
<li>There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 11.47% at the June rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 10.11bn.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the CSI500 Index over the last few weeks. There could be more outperformance till nearer the end of the review period.</li>
</ul>


Three quarters of the way through the review period for the June rebalance of the CSI500 Index, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) at the close on 9 June.
There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 11.47% at the June rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 10.11bn.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the CSI500 Index over the last few weeks. There could be more outperformance till nearer the end of the review period.


CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Continuing to Outperform

China

Jiangsu Expressway Company Ltd. constructs, operates, manages and maintains expressways in China.  The Company also provides passenger transportation and other ancillary services along including fueling stations, restaurants, car maintenance and repair and advertising.

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Jiangsu Expressway (H) (177 HK)

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 7th): BankComm, ICBC, CCB, BYD, Asymchem, Hisense, Baiyunshan

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for BankComm, ICBC, CCB, BYD, Asymchem, Hisense, Baiyunshan,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Outperforming Potential Deletes

We see 50 changes a side for the CSI500 in Dec. The Industrials sector could take a lot of index spots from Materials as one-way turnover exceeds...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 30th): Healthcare Led Premium Decline

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Tianqi Lithium, CQRC Bank, Shanghai Fudan, Joinn Lab,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (May 12th): CNOOC, BOC, Petrochina, China Shenhua Energy, CCB, HKEX, SMIC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Cnooc, Bank Of China, Petrochina, China Shenhua Energy,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Continuing to Outperform

We forecast 50 changes a side at the June rebal leading to a one-way turnover of 11.47% & in a one-way trade of CNY 10bn. The potential adds have...

Brian Freitas

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