Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>JD.com's latest earnings showed a strong commitment to growth, navigating a mix of macro recoveries, seasonality factors and strategic refocus.</li><li>They delivered a growth in net revenues by 4% and recorded a non-GAAP net income attributable to ordinary shareholders of RMB 8.4 billion.</li><li>Cash and cash equivalents, restricted cash, and short term investments totaled RMB 198 billion.</li></ul>

JD.com's latest earnings showed a strong commitment to growth, navigating a mix of macro recoveries, seasonality factors and strategic refocus.They delivered a growth in net revenues by 4% and recorded a non-GAAP net income attributable to ordinary shareholders of RMB 8.4 billion.Cash and cash equivalents, restricted cash, and short term investments totaled RMB 198 billion.

JD.com Inc.: Market Share Expansion via Platform Ecosystem Improvements! - Key Drivers

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>JD.com stock price surged after its 4Q23 results and repurchase decision.</li>
<li>It is not big issue that BYD sales decreased in the weak season.</li>
<li>Alibaba began to close unprofitable Freshippo stores in February, but the company said it has expansion plan.</li>
</ul>


JD.com stock price surged after its 4Q23 results and repurchase decision.
It is not big issue that BYD sales decreased in the weak season.
Alibaba began to close unprofitable Freshippo stores in February, but the company said it has expansion plan.


China Consumption Weekly (11 Mar 2024): JD.com, JD Logisitics, BYD, Alibaba, NIO

Analyst

Steve

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:446:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)</a> reported a set of better-than-expected 4Q23 results yesterday, as the ADR rose 16% last night in US trading session. </li>
<li>The improvement in net profit margin showed that being more price competitive did not lead to lower margins. </li>
<li>I believe the key takeaway, aside from the resilient 4Q23 results and solid 2024 outlook, is the much improved shareholder return measures.</li>
</ul>



JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US) reported a set of better-than-expected 4Q23 results yesterday, as the ADR rose 16% last night in US trading session. 
The improvement in net profit margin showed that being more price competitive did not lead to lower margins. 
I believe the key takeaway, aside from the resilient 4Q23 results and solid 2024 outlook, is the much improved shareholder return measures.


JD.com (JD US):  Improved Shareholder Return Is Key

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Gaming Sector Update/NTES US: NPPA Releases November Domestic and Imported Game Approvals(+)</li>
<li>3690 HK/Douyin:Douyin Local Life’s Double 11 Sales Increase by 53% YoY, Indicating Rising Consumer Spending in China, Bodes Well for Meituan.(+)</li>
<li>BABA US/PDD US/JD US: Taobao/Tmall launches “Go Bargain” feature (+/+/+)</li>
</ul>


Gaming Sector Update/NTES US: NPPA Releases November Domestic and Imported Game Approvals(+)
3690 HK/Douyin:Douyin Local Life’s Double 11 Sales Increase by 53% YoY, Indicating Rising Consumer Spending in China, Bodes Well for Meituan.(+)
BABA US/PDD US/JD US: Taobao/Tmall launches “Go Bargain” feature (+/+/+)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:Gaming Sector Update/NTES US/3690 HK/Douyin/BABA US/PDD US/JD US/700HK

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The announcement of the changes to the Hang Seng indices is on 22 November, the capping will use the close on 3 December and implemented at the close 6 December.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>'s outperformance over the last couple of months will result in capping of the stock weight in all major indices and passives will sell stock.</li>
<li>We estimate passive trackers will need to sell 35m shares (US$866m; 0.64x ADV) of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> and that number will change over the next 3 weeks depending on performance.</li>
</ul>


The announcement of the changes to the Hang Seng indices is on 22 November, the capping will use the close on 3 December and implemented at the close 6 December.

Meituan (3690 HK)'s outperformance over the last couple of months will result in capping of the stock weight in all major indices and passives will sell stock.
We estimate passive trackers will need to sell 35m shares (US$866m; 0.64x ADV) of Meituan (3690 HK) and that number will change over the next 3 weeks depending on performance.


Meituan (3690 HK): Big Passive Selling in December

China

JD.com, Inc. is an online direct sales company in China. The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications. JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

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JD.com (9618 HK)

China Consumption Weekly (11 Mar 2024): JD.com, JD Logisitics, BYD, Alibaba, NIO

JD.com stock price surged after its 4Q23 results and repurchase decision. It is not big issue that BYD sales decreased in the weak season. Alibaba...

Ming Lu

JD.com (JD US): Improved Shareholder Return Is Key

JD.com (JD US) reported a set of better-than-expected 4Q23 results yesterday. The improvement in net profit margin showed that being more price...

Steve

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:Gaming Sector Update/NTES US/3690 HK/Douyin/BABA US/PDD US/JD US/700HK

China's gaming sector sees growth in domestic and imported game approvals, Douyin's Double 11 sales surge indicates higher consumer spending, and...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Meituan (3690 HK): Big Passive Selling in December

Meituan's recent underperformance will result in smaller passive selling than originally forecast. Passive trackers are now estimated to sell 27.4m...

Brian Freitas

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

JD.com Inc.: Market Share Expansion via Platform Ecosystem Improvements! - Key Drivers

JD.com's latest earnings showed a strong commitment to growth, navigating a mix of macro recoveries, seasonality factors and strategic...

Baptista Research

China Consumption Weekly (11 Mar 2024): JD.com, JD Logisitics, BYD, Alibaba, NIO

JD.com stock price surged after its 4Q23 results and repurchase decision. It is not big issue that BYD sales decreased in the weak season. Alibaba...

Ming Lu

JD.com (JD US): Improved Shareholder Return Is Key

JD.com (JD US) reported a set of better-than-expected 4Q23 results yesterday. The improvement in net profit margin showed that being more price...

Steve

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:Gaming Sector Update/NTES US/3690 HK/Douyin/BABA US/PDD US/JD US/700HK

​China's gaming sector sees growth in domestic and imported game approvals, Douyin's Double 11 sales surge indicates higher consumer spending, and...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Meituan (3690 HK): Big Passive Selling in December

Meituan's recent underperformance will result in smaller passive selling than originally forecast. Passive trackers are now estimated to sell 27.4m...

Brian Freitas

China's gaming sector sees growth in domestic and imported game approvals, Douyin's Double 11 sales surge indicates higher consumer spending, and...