Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<p>We continue to be encouraged by market dynamics that are supportive of an ongoing equity bull market. Additionally, there continues to be an absence of breakdowns on the major global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EM, &amp; EAFE). As a result, our outlook remains bullish.  In this report we show some love to various Sectors that have not been big attention-grabbers for us in recent months, but still have plenty of attractive stocks. The stocks highlighted hail from a variety of countries. Sectors covered include <strong>Services, Communications, Staples, Financials, and Utilities</strong>.</p>

We continue to be encouraged by market dynamics that are supportive of an ongoing equity bull market. Additionally, there continues to be an absence of breakdowns on the major global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EM, &amp; EAFE). As a result, our outlook remains bullish.  In this report we show some love to various Sectors that have not been big attention-grabbers for us in recent months, but still have plenty of attractive stocks. The stocks highlighted hail from a variety of countries. Sectors covered include Services, Communications, Staples, Financials, and Utilities.

Global Equity Strategy: Market Dynamics Remain Positive, And So Are We

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ant-financial-services-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24240:1" rel="noopener">Ant Financial (1051260D CH)</a> plans to raise up to USD30/35bn via a dual listing on both Hong Kong Exchange and Shanghai STAR board. </p></div><div><p>We have covered various aspects of the deal in our earlier notes, link to which are below.</p></div><div>
<p>In this insight, I'll talk about takeaways from its PHIP filing and updates provided by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (BABA US)</a> on the deal structure.</p>
<p></p>
</div><div><div><h3>Our previous coverage on Ant Group</h3></div></div><div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li dir="ltr"><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ant-financial-ipo-early-thought-what-s-new-about-the-listing-news" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Ant Financial IPO Early Thought: Understand the Fintech Empire, Growth and Risk Factors</a></p></li>
<li dir="ltr"><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ant-financial-ipo-early-thought-understand-the-fintech-empire-growth-and-risk-factors" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Ant Financial (蚂蚁金服) IPO Early Thought: What’s New About the Listing News</a></p></li>
<li dir="ltr"><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ant-group-ipo-first-take-no-1-fintech-from-all-angles" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Ant Group (蚂蚁集团) IPO First-Take: No. 1 Fintech from All Angles</a></li>
<li dir="ltr"><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ant-group-ipo-numbers-suggest-it-s-more-tech-than-financials" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Ant Group (蚂蚁集团) IPO: Numbers Suggest It’s More Tech than Financials</a></li>
<li dir="ltr"><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ant-group-pre-ipo-things-to-clarify-questions-to-ask-falling-fees-margins-cash-flow" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Ant Group (蚂蚁集团) Pre-IPO: Things to Clarify/​Questions to Ask - Falling Fees, Margins, Cash Flow</a></li>
<li dir="ltr"><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ant-group-pre-ipo-dual-listing-makes-early-index-inclusion-tricky" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Ant Group (蚂蚁集团) Pre-IPO: Dual Listing Makes Early Index Inclusion Tricky</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/alipay-s-advantage-over-wechat-pay-in-physical-stores" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AliPay’s Advantage over WeChat Pay in Physical Stores</a></li>
</ul></div><div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ant-group-running-neck-and-neck-with-tencent-in-direct-financial-services" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Ant Group (蚂蚁集团) Running Neck and Neck with Tencent in Direct Financial Services</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ant-group-pre-ipo-impact-assessment-of-the-new-rule-for-financial-holding-companies" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Ant Group (蚂蚁集团) Pre-IPO: Impact Assessment of the New Rule for Financial Holding Companies</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ant-group-pre-ipo-peer-comparison-payments-baffling-scale-small-tweaks-for-large-profits" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Ant Group Pre-IPO: Peer Comparison - Payments - Baffling Scale, Small Tweaks for Large Profits</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ant-group-pre-ipo-peer-comparison-credittech-larger-scale-similar-growth-lower-credit-risk" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Ant Group Pre-IPO: Peer Comparison - CreditTech - Larger Scale, Similar Growth, Lower Credit Risk</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ant-group-pre-ipo-first-stab-at-valuation" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Ant Group Pre-IPO: First Stab at Valuation</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ant-group-pre-ipo-quick-take-on-ftse-and-msci-s-clearer-guidelines" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Ant Group Pre-IPO: Quick Take on FTSE and MSCI’s Clearer Guidelines</a></li>
</ul></div>

Ant Financial (1051260D CH) plans to raise up to USD30/35bn via a dual listing on both Hong Kong Exchange and Shanghai STAR board. We have covered various aspects of the deal in our earlier notes, link to which are below.
In this insight, I'll talk about takeaways from its PHIP filing and updates provided by Alibaba Group (BABA US) on the deal structure.

Our previous coverage on Ant Group
Ant Financial IPO Early Thought: Understand the Fintech Empire, Growth and Risk Factors
Ant Financial (蚂蚁金服) IPO Early Thought: What’s New About the Listing News
Ant Group (蚂蚁集团) IPO First-Take: No. 1 Fintech from All Angles
Ant Group (蚂蚁集团) IPO: Numbers Suggest It’s More Tech than Financials
Ant Group (蚂蚁集团) Pre-IPO: Things to Clarify/​Questions to Ask - Falling Fees, Margins, Cash Flow
Ant Group (蚂蚁集团) Pre-IPO: Dual Listing Makes Early Index Inclusion Tricky
AliPay’s Advantage over WeChat Pay in Physical Stores

Ant Group (蚂蚁集团) Running Neck and Neck with Tencent in Direct Financial Services
Ant Group (蚂蚁集团) Pre-IPO: Impact Assessment of the New Rule for Financial Holding Companies
Ant Group Pre-IPO: Peer Comparison - Payments - Baffling Scale, Small Tweaks for Large Profits
Ant Group Pre-IPO: Peer Comparison - CreditTech - Larger Scale, Similar Growth, Lower Credit Risk
Ant Group Pre-IPO: First Stab at Valuation
Ant Group Pre-IPO: Quick Take on FTSE and MSCI’s Clearer Guidelines


Ant Group Pre-IPO: Deal Structure, PHIP Updates, Short-Term Trades

GDS Holdings (ADR) / Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gds-holdings-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23649:1" rel="noopener">Gds Holdings (Adr) (GDS US)</a> plans to raise around US$1.6bn in its secondary listing in Hong Kong.</p></div><div><p>I had covered the background of the deal in my note last week, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/gds-holdings-hong-kong-secondary-hot-sector-needs-the-money" target="_blank" rel="noopener">GDS Holdings Hong Kong Secondary - Hot Sector, Needs the Money.</a></p></div><div><p>Given the big difference between the actual and rumoured size of the deal, I have provided a quick update below.</p></div><div><p>We have covered the stock since its IPO in 2016. Links to our previous coverage of the IPO and prior placements are below:</p></div><div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/gds-holdings-ipo-high-market-share-mirage" target="_blank" rel="noopener">GDS Holdings IPO: High Market Share Mirage?</a>, IPO note in Oct 2016</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nasdaq-gds-placement-visible-growth-additional-ping-an-investment" target="_blank" rel="noopener">NASDAQ:GDS Placement - Visible Growth, Additional Ping An Investment</a>, US$400m placement in Mar 2019</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/gds-placement-accretion-will-take-awhile-to-be-realized-but-deal-dynamics-are-favorable" target="_blank" rel="noopener">GDS Placement - Accretion Will Take Awhile to Be Realized but Deal Dynamics Are Favorable</a>, US$230m placement in Dec 2019</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/gds-placement-momentum-is-still-strong-but-don-t-expect-the-same-kind-of-returns" target="_blank" rel="noopener">GDS Placement - Momentum Is Still Strong but Don’t Expect the Same Kind of Returns</a>, US$400m selldown in Jan 2020</li>
</ul></div>

Gds Holdings (Adr) (GDS US) plans to raise around US$1.6bn in its secondary listing in Hong Kong.I had covered the background of the deal in my note last week, GDS Holdings Hong Kong Secondary - Hot Sector, Needs the Money.Given the big difference between the actual and rumoured size of the deal, I have provided a quick update below.We have covered the stock since its IPO in 2016. Links to our previous coverage of the IPO and prior placements are below:

GDS Holdings IPO: High Market Share Mirage?, IPO note in Oct 2016

NASDAQ:GDS Placement - Visible Growth, Additional Ping An Investment, US$400m placement in Mar 2019

GDS Placement - Accretion Will Take Awhile to Be Realized but Deal Dynamics Are Favorable, US$230m placement in Dec 2019

GDS Placement - Momentum Is Still Strong but Don’t Expect the Same Kind of Returns, US$400m selldown in Jan 2020


GDS Holdings Hong Kong Secondary - Going Big. Will Almost Become Net Cash, for a While.

Mapletree Logistics Trust / Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-logistics-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16035:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree Logistics Trust (MLT SP)</a> plans to raise around US$341m (S$450m) to part fund the acquisition of stakes in 24 logistics properties in Malaysia, Vietnam and China. </p></div><div><p>We have earlier covered four other placements for the REIT since 2017, links below:</p></div><div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/mapletree-logistics-trust-placement-a-dpu-accretive-deal" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Mapletree Logistics Trust Placement: A DPU Accretive Deal</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/mlt-placement-little-acretiveness-but-interesting-china-e-commerce-exposure" target="_blank" rel="noopener">MLT Placement - Little Accretion but Interesting China E-Commerce Exposure</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/mlt-placement-dpu-accretive-stable-property-income-anchored-by-cwt" target="_blank" rel="noopener">MLT Placement - DPU Accretive &amp; Stable Property Income Anchored by CWT</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/mapletree-logistics-placement-little-accretion-but-past-deals-have-done-well" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Mapletree Logistics Placement - Little Accretion but past Deals Have Done Well</a></li>
</ul></div><div><p>Most of the past deals have done well. This deal too is expected to be accretive to DPU. However, the share price is near all time-highs.</p></div>

Mapletree Logistics Trust (MLT SP) plans to raise around US$341m (S$450m) to part fund the acquisition of stakes in 24 logistics properties in Malaysia, Vietnam and China. We have earlier covered four other placements for the REIT since 2017, links below:
Mapletree Logistics Trust Placement: A DPU Accretive Deal
MLT Placement - Little Accretion but Interesting China E-Commerce Exposure
MLT Placement - DPU Accretive &amp; Stable Property Income Anchored by CWT
Mapletree Logistics Placement - Little Accretion but past Deals Have Done Well
Most of the past deals have done well. This deal too is expected to be accretive to DPU. However, the share price is near all time-highs.

Mapletree Logistics Placement - Big Deal, Little Accretion but past Deals Have Done Well

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ant-financial-services-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24240:1" rel="noopener">Ant Financial (1051260D CH)</a> plans to raise up to USD30/35bn via a dual listing on both Hong Kong Exchange and Shanghai STAR board. </p></div><div>
<p>I have covered various aspects of the deal in my earlier notes, link to which are below.</p>
<p>In my earlier insight, I had also specifically looked at how the dual listing would impact index inclusion in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ant-group-pre-ipo-dual-listing-makes-early-index-inclusion-tricky" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Ant Group (蚂蚁集团) Pre-IPO: Dual Listing Makes Early Index Inclusion Tricky</a>. Since that note, FTSE has announced the results of its market consultation on inclusion of Shanghai STAR Market and MSCI recently announced its plans for Ant as well. </p>
</div><p></p><div><div><h3>Our previous coverage on Ant Group</h3></div></div><div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li dir="ltr"><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ant-financial-ipo-early-thought-what-s-new-about-the-listing-news" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Ant Financial IPO Early Thought: Understand the Fintech Empire, Growth and Risk Factors</a></p></li>
<li dir="ltr"><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ant-financial-ipo-early-thought-understand-the-fintech-empire-growth-and-risk-factors" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Ant Financial (蚂蚁金服) IPO Early Thought: What’s New About the Listing News</a></p></li>
<li dir="ltr"><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ant-group-ipo-first-take-no-1-fintech-from-all-angles" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Ant Group (蚂蚁集团) IPO First-Take: No. 1 Fintech from All Angles</a></li>
<li dir="ltr"><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ant-group-ipo-numbers-suggest-it-s-more-tech-than-financials" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Ant Group (蚂蚁集团) IPO: Numbers Suggest It’s More Tech than Financials</a></li>
<li dir="ltr"><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ant-group-pre-ipo-things-to-clarify-questions-to-ask-falling-fees-margins-cash-flow" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Ant Group (蚂蚁集团) Pre-IPO: Things to Clarify/​Questions to Ask - Falling Fees, Margins, Cash Flow</a></li>
<li dir="ltr"><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ant-group-pre-ipo-dual-listing-makes-early-index-inclusion-tricky" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Ant Group (蚂蚁集团) Pre-IPO: Dual Listing Makes Early Index Inclusion Tricky</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/alipay-s-advantage-over-wechat-pay-in-physical-stores" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AliPay’s Advantage over WeChat Pay in Physical Stores</a></li>
</ul></div><div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ant-group-running-neck-and-neck-with-tencent-in-direct-financial-services" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Ant Group (蚂蚁集团) Running Neck and Neck with Tencent in Direct Financial Services</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ant-group-pre-ipo-impact-assessment-of-the-new-rule-for-financial-holding-companies" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Ant Group (蚂蚁集团) Pre-IPO: Impact Assessment of the New Rule for Financial Holding Companies</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ant-group-pre-ipo-peer-comparison-payments-baffling-scale-small-tweaks-for-large-profits" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Ant Group Pre-IPO: Peer Comparison - Payments - Baffling Scale, Small Tweaks for Large Profits</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ant-group-pre-ipo-peer-comparison-credittech-larger-scale-similar-growth-lower-credit-risk" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Ant Group Pre-IPO: Peer Comparison - CreditTech - Larger Scale, Similar Growth, Lower Credit Risk</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ant-group-pre-ipo-first-stab-at-valuation" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Ant Group Pre-IPO: First Stab at Valuation</a></li>
</ul></div>

Ant Financial (1051260D CH) plans to raise up to USD30/35bn via a dual listing on both Hong Kong Exchange and Shanghai STAR board. 
I have covered various aspects of the deal in my earlier notes, link to which are below.
In my earlier insight, I had also specifically looked at how the dual listing would impact index inclusion in Ant Group (蚂蚁集团) Pre-IPO: Dual Listing Makes Early Index Inclusion Tricky. Since that note, FTSE has announced the results of its market consultation on inclusion of Shanghai STAR Market and MSCI recently announced its plans for Ant as well. 
Our previous coverage on Ant Group
Ant Financial IPO Early Thought: Understand the Fintech Empire, Growth and Risk Factors
Ant Financial (蚂蚁金服) IPO Early Thought: What’s New About the Listing News
Ant Group (蚂蚁集团) IPO First-Take: No. 1 Fintech from All Angles
Ant Group (蚂蚁集团) IPO: Numbers Suggest It’s More Tech than Financials
Ant Group (蚂蚁集团) Pre-IPO: Things to Clarify/​Questions to Ask - Falling Fees, Margins, Cash Flow
Ant Group (蚂蚁集团) Pre-IPO: Dual Listing Makes Early Index Inclusion Tricky
AliPay’s Advantage over WeChat Pay in Physical Stores

Ant Group (蚂蚁集团) Running Neck and Neck with Tencent in Direct Financial Services
Ant Group (蚂蚁集团) Pre-IPO: Impact Assessment of the New Rule for Financial Holding Companies
Ant Group Pre-IPO: Peer Comparison - Payments - Baffling Scale, Small Tweaks for Large Profits
Ant Group Pre-IPO: Peer Comparison - CreditTech - Larger Scale, Similar Growth, Lower Credit Risk
Ant Group Pre-IPO: First Stab at Valuation


Ant Group Pre-IPO: Quick Take on FTSE and MSCI's Clearer Guidelines

China

JD.com, Inc. is an online direct sales company in China. The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications. JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

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JD.com (9618 HK)

Global Equity Strategy: Market Dynamics Remain Positive, And So Are We

We show some love to various Sectors that have not been big attention-grabbers for us in recent months, including Services, Communications,...

Vermilion Research

Ant Group Pre-IPO: Deal Structure, PHIP Updates, Short-Term Trades

Ant Group plans to raise up to USD35bn in its IPO. We have covered various aspects of the deal in our earlier notes. In this note, I'll talk about...

Sumeet Singh

GDS Holdings Hong Kong Secondary - Going Big. Will Almost Become Net Cash, for a While.

Gds Holdings (Adr) (GDS US) plans to raise around US$1.6bn in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. I had covered the background of the deal in my...

Sumeet Singh

Mapletree Logistics Placement - Big Deal, Little Accretion but past Deals Have Done Well

Mapletree Logistics Trust (MLT SP) plans to raise around S$450m to part fund the acquisition of 24 logistics properties.

Sumeet Singh

Ant Group Pre-IPO: Quick Take on FTSE and MSCI's Clearer Guidelines

Ant Financial plans to raise up to USD30/35bn via a dual listing on both Hong Kong Exchange and Shanghai STAR board. I have covered various...

Sumeet Singh

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