Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>JD.com break down wedge support will dominate trade in Q1 and is near tactical support for a tradable reaction rise. Tencent decline is on track from our 510 short zone.</li>
<li>The bearish wedge break does set up a C wave decline into a new lows and a macro long opportunity.</li>
<li>Tencent 510 short bet will pressure the 410 pivot support with increasing odds of a break toward our macro trough target.</li>
</ul>


JD.com break down wedge support will dominate trade in Q1 and is near tactical support for a tradable reaction rise. Tencent decline is on track from our 510 short zone.
The bearish wedge break does set up a C wave decline into a new lows and a macro long opportunity.
Tencent 510 short bet will pressure the 410 pivot support with increasing odds of a break toward our macro trough target.


Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Independent Insight Provider

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Special Dividend: On December 23, 2021, Tencent Holdings (700.HK) [Tencent] announced that it is planning to distribute USD 16.3 bn in JD.com (JD.US) [JD] Class A shares; </li>
<li>
Not A Surprise:Given mainland China’s crackdown on the country’s largest internet companies, Tencent’s disposal of JD shares is not a surprise; and</li>
<li>
Other Stake Sales To Follow: Further divestitures of major stakes are likely if Tencent wishes to remain on the right side of mainland China’s Communist Party.  </li>
</ul>



Special Dividend: On December 23, 2021, Tencent Holdings (700.HK) [Tencent] announced that it is planning to distribute USD 16.3 bn in JD.com (JD.US) [JD] Class A shares; 

Not A Surprise:Given mainland China’s crackdown on the country’s largest internet companies, Tencent’s disposal of JD shares is not a surprise; and

Other Stake Sales To Follow: Further divestitures of major stakes are likely if Tencent wishes to remain on the right side of mainland China’s Communist Party.  


Forensic Analyst

Jason Yap, CFA

<ul>
<li>On 23 December 2021, Tencent announced that it will shed most of its stake in JD, which takes place through the in-specie dividend distribution of JD shares to Tencent's shareholders. </li>
<li>There is prevailing debate that Tencent's latest disposals are in anticipation of regulatory pressure for China's tech giants to bring down their walled gardens. We do not disagree. </li>
<li>However, in this Insight, we argue a case that new walled gardens are being erected and not torn down, at least with respect to Tencent's ecosystem. </li>
</ul>


On 23 December 2021, Tencent announced that it will shed most of its stake in JD, which takes place through the in-specie dividend distribution of JD shares to Tencent's shareholders. 
There is prevailing debate that Tencent's latest disposals are in anticipation of regulatory pressure for China's tech giants to bring down their walled gardens. We do not disagree. 
However, in this Insight, we argue a case that new walled gardens are being erected and not torn down, at least with respect to Tencent's ecosystem. 


Tencent (700 HK) - New Walled Gardens Are Being Erected, Not Torn Down?

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Tencent announced today that its board of directors has resolved to declare a special dividend by way of a distribution of its Class A ordinary shares of JD.com. </li>
<li>There is increased speculation that there is more divestments to come that including Tencent’s stakes in Meituan, Kuaishou and Pinduoduo.</li>
<li>Tencent’s shares are up 4.3% from yesterday’s close following the announcement while JD.com is 7.1% down from its previous close.</li>
</ul>


Tencent announced today that its board of directors has resolved to declare a special dividend by way of a distribution of its Class A ordinary shares of JD.com. 
There is increased speculation that there is more divestments to come that including Tencent’s stakes in Meituan, Kuaishou and Pinduoduo.
Tencent’s shares are up 4.3% from yesterday’s close following the announcement while JD.com is 7.1% down from its previous close.


Tencent’s Special Dividend: Is It a Sign the Walled Gardens Are Coming Down?

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Tencent will distribute most of its JD.com shares as dividend.</li>
<li>We believe Tencent is doing this to bolster its EPS in 2021 and even 2022.</li>
<li>We believe the company will has an upside of 35% for the year end 2022.</li>
</ul>


Tencent will distribute most of its JD.com shares as dividend.
We believe Tencent is doing this to bolster its EPS in 2021 and even 2022.
We believe the company will has an upside of 35% for the year end 2022.


Tencent (700 HK): An Accounting Incentive of Giving Away JD.com Shares

China

JD.com, Inc. is an online direct sales company in China. The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications. JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

JD.com (9618 HK)

JD.com and Tencent Short and Bull Levels

JD.com break down wedge support will dominate trade in Q1 and is near tactical support for a tradable reaction rise. Tencent decline is on track...

Thomas Schroeder

Tencent Holdings – Bottom Ticking

TENCENT: Tencent announced that it is planning to distribute USD 16.3 bn in JD shares. Given mainland China’s crackdown on Tencent, the disposal is...

Thomas J. Monaco

Tencent (700 HK) - New Walled Gardens Are Being Erected, Not Torn Down?

Tencent announced that it will shed most of its stake in JD. In this Insight, we argue a case that new walled gardens are being erected and not...

Jason Yap, CFA

Tencent’s Special Dividend: Is It a Sign the Walled Gardens Are Coming Down?

There is increased speculation that there is more divestments to come including Meituan, Kuaishou and Pinduoduo and we think the liberalisation of...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Tencent (700 HK): An Accounting Incentive of Giving Away JD.com Shares

Tencent will distribute most of its JD.com shares as dividend. We believe Tencent does this to save its EPS. We believe the company will has an...

Ming Lu

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)