External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>JD.com (JD) reported (15 Nov) better-than-feared 3Q23 results: revenue was RMB247.7bn, up 1.7% YoY, 0.7/0.5% higher than our forecast/Bloomberg consensus.</li><li>Non-GAAP net income was RMB10.6bn, ahead of our/consensus estimates of RMB8.8/9.2bn, thanks to better-than-feared margin performance of JD Retail (JDR) business, in our view, demonstrating JD’s ability to retain the wallet share of its core consumer base in an effective way, and translating into a non-GAAP NPM of 4.3% (3Q22: 4.1%).</li><li>Management highlighted double-digit order and user growth during the Double 11 shopping festival, noted that business adjustment impact will largely wear off in 2024, and guided to achieve a better-than-China retail sales growth performance in 2024. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JD.com (JD) reported (15 Nov) better-than-feared 3Q23 results: revenue was RMB247.7bn, up 1.7% YoY, 0.7/0.5% higher than our forecast/Bloomberg consensus.Non-GAAP net income was RMB10.6bn, ahead of our/consensus estimates of RMB8.8/9.2bn, thanks to better-than-feared margin performance of JD Retail (JDR) business, in our view, demonstrating JD’s ability to retain the wallet share of its core consumer base in an effective way, and translating into a non-GAAP NPM of 4.3% (3Q22: 4.1%).Management highlighted double-digit order and user growth during the Double 11 shopping festival, noted that business adjustment impact will largely wear off in 2024, and guided to achieve a better-than-China retail sales growth performance in 2024. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JD.com (JD US) – Better-Than-Feared 3Q Results

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Year to date, the internet sector has pulled back after rapid rallies buoyed by improved sentiment and short-term fund inflows, in line with our previous expectation.</li><li>From a full-year perspective, given the rate cut cycle has not yet started and liquidity remains tight, we suggest focusing on: 1) companies capable of boosting shareholder returns or maintaining decent returns, supported by solid fundamentals (strong competitive advantages, steady growth in core business, and stable profitability) and committed to enhancing shareholder returns (also depends on management's willingness), such as Alibaba, Tencent, and NetEase;</li><li>2) companies whose new businesses have significant market potential and are poised to bring considerable capital gains in the long run, particularly from overseas expansion and AI-related initiatives, such as Pinduoduo, Tencent, Alibaba, and Trip.com</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Year to date, the internet sector has pulled back after rapid rallies buoyed by improved sentiment and short-term fund inflows, in line with our previous expectation.From a full-year perspective, given the rate cut cycle has not yet started and liquidity remains tight, we suggest focusing on: 1) companies capable of boosting shareholder returns or maintaining decent returns, supported by solid fundamentals (strong competitive advantages, steady growth in core business, and stable profitability) and committed to enhancing shareholder returns (also depends on management's willingness), such as Alibaba, Tencent, and NetEase;2) companies whose new businesses have significant market potential and are poised to bring considerable capital gains in the long run, particularly from overseas expansion and AI-related initiatives, such as Pinduoduo, Tencent, Alibaba, and Trip.comContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Internet - 1Q24 recap & our three stock-picking ideas

<ul><li>Based on NBS data, 2M24 online retail sales GMV/online physical goods GMV reached RMB2.2tn/1.8tn, up 15.3/14.4% YoY, which implied a two-year CAGR of 10.7/9.8%.</li><li>The growth of total online retail sales GMV continued to outpace that of online physical goods GMV, which was likely due to the robust growth in online travel bookings during the CNY holiday.</li><li>Leading e-commerce platforms are prioritizing GMV and revenue growth over margin improvement in 2024, and guided to reinvest incremental operating profit generated to drive further business growth, which likely indicates more intensified industry competition. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Based on NBS data, 2M24 online retail sales GMV/online physical goods GMV reached RMB2.2tn/1.8tn, up 15.3/14.4% YoY, which implied a two-year CAGR of 10.7/9.8%.The growth of total online retail sales GMV continued to outpace that of online physical goods GMV, which was likely due to the robust growth in online travel bookings during the CNY holiday.Leading e-commerce platforms are prioritizing GMV and revenue growth over margin improvement in 2024, and guided to reinvest incremental operating profit generated to drive further business growth, which likely indicates more intensified industry competition. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Internet - 2M24 online retail sales recap

<ul><li>For this year’s Double 11 sales promotion, overall industry delivered positive and stable YoY GMV growth (2.1%, per Syntun data), with Alibaba and JD.com (JD) both delivered positive YoY growth in GMV, order volume, and user volume.</li><li>Live streaming e-commerce GMV growth was still solid given a relatively lower base compared to horizontal e-commerce platform.</li><li>Ecommerce platforms are enhancing supply chain efficiency, product supply, and content ecosystem, as well as optimizing traffic allocation, to enhance user engagement, strengthen consumer mindshare on value for money products, and facilitate transactions, which in turn driving better ROI for merchants, and increasing merchants’ willingness to spend more on advertising. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

For this year’s Double 11 sales promotion, overall industry delivered positive and stable YoY GMV growth (2.1%, per Syntun data), with Alibaba and JD.com (JD) both delivered positive YoY growth in GMV, order volume, and user volume.Live streaming e-commerce GMV growth was still solid given a relatively lower base compared to horizontal e-commerce platform.Ecommerce platforms are enhancing supply chain efficiency, product supply, and content ecosystem, as well as optimizing traffic allocation, to enhance user engagement, strengthen consumer mindshare on value for money products, and facilitate transactions, which in turn driving better ROI for merchants, and increasing merchants’ willingness to spend more on advertising. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Internet – Trends observed from this year’s Double 11 shopping festival

<ul><li>JD.com (JD) reported (16 Aug) 2Q23 results: revenue was RMB287.9bn, up 7.6% YoY, 2.5/3.2% higher than our forecast/Bloomberg consensus.</li><li>Non-GAAP net income was RMB8.6bn, ahead of our estimates/consensus at RMB8.2/7.8bn, thanks to better-than-expected loss reduction for new businesses, and translated into a non-GAAP NPM of 3.0% (2Q22: 2.4%).</li><li>Despite the beat on overall margins, the 0.2pp miss on OPM of JD Retail (JDR) sparked concerns that its core business margin expansion trajectory could face fluctuations. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JD.com (JD) reported (16 Aug) 2Q23 results: revenue was RMB287.9bn, up 7.6% YoY, 2.5/3.2% higher than our forecast/Bloomberg consensus.Non-GAAP net income was RMB8.6bn, ahead of our estimates/consensus at RMB8.2/7.8bn, thanks to better-than-expected loss reduction for new businesses, and translated into a non-GAAP NPM of 3.0% (2Q22: 2.4%).Despite the beat on overall margins, the 0.2pp miss on OPM of JD Retail (JDR) sparked concerns that its core business margin expansion trajectory could face fluctuations. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JD.com (JD US) – Grinding through growth strategy pains

China

JD.com Inc is an online direct sales company in China.  The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications.  JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

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JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)

JD.com (JD US) – Better-Than-Feared 3Q Results

JD.com (JD) reported (15 Nov) better-than-feared 3Q23 results: revenue was RMB247.7bn, up 1.7% YoY, 0.7/0.5% higher than our forecast/Bloomberg...

CMB International

Internet - 1Q24 recap & our three stock-picking ideas

Year to date, the internet sector has pulled back after rapid rallies buoyed by improved sentiment and short-term fund inflows, in line with our...

CMB International

Internet - 2M24 online retail sales recap

Based on NBS data, 2M24 online retail sales GMV/online physical goods GMV reached RMB2.2tn/1.8tn, up 15.3/14.4% YoY, which implied a two-year CAGR...

CMB International

China Internet – Trends observed from this year’s Double 11 shopping festival

For this year’s Double 11 sales promotion, overall industry delivered positive and stable YoY GMV growth (2.1%, per Syntun data), with Alibaba and...

CMB International

JD.com (JD US) – Grinding through growth strategy pains

JD.com (JD) reported (16 Aug) 2Q23 results: revenue was RMB287.9bn, up 7.6% YoY, 2.5/3.2% higher than our forecast/Bloomberg consensus.

CMB International

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