Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>With growth fading in the domestic market, the Chinese e-commerce company, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pinduoduo-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27250:1" rel="noopener">Pinduoduo (PDD US)</a> has made its first overseas push with the launch of Temu.com in the US.</li>
<li>However, the launch was less than impressive, especially considering that the company created a lot of excitement about its US expansion in the previous earnings call.</li>
<li>Selling $10.00 earbuds at $3.70, Temu could eat a significant chunk off of Pinduoduo’s profitability in the next couple of quarters.</li>
</ul>


With growth fading in the domestic market, the Chinese e-commerce company, Pinduoduo (PDD US) has made its first overseas push with the launch of Temu.com in the US.
However, the launch was less than impressive, especially considering that the company created a lot of excitement about its US expansion in the previous earnings call.
Selling $10.00 earbuds at $3.70, Temu could eat a significant chunk off of Pinduoduo’s profitability in the next couple of quarters.


Pinduoduo: The US Expansion Could Slash Profitability While Risking Xi’s Wrath

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Chinese online game market size decreased by 19.1% YoY and 12.6% QoQ in 3Q22.</li>
<li>Tmall, Alibaba’s direct sales app, started a mini-program in Tencent’s WeChat.</li>
<li>State Post Bureau announced that it would revise the express delivery rules, especially for green packaging.</li>
</ul>


Chinese online game market size decreased by 19.1% YoY and 12.6% QoQ in 3Q22.
Tmall, Alibaba’s direct sales app, started a mini-program in Tencent’s WeChat.
State Post Bureau announced that it would revise the express delivery rules, especially for green packaging.


China Internet Weekly (24Oct2022): Tencent, Alibaba, Kuaishou, JD.com, NetEase, Zhihu

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 14th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in AIA, Li Auto, Wuxi Biologics, SHK PPT, CMB.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 14th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in AIA, Li Auto, Wuxi Biologics, SHK PPT, CMB.


HK Short Interest Weekly: AIA, Li Auto, Wuxi Biologics, SHK PPT, CMB

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, Blibli launched its Indonesian IPO, while a few other names are said to be gearing up to launch in Hong Kong and India.</li>
<li>There were a few placements this week, notable ones being <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsubishi-estate-logistics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25867:1" rel="noopener">Mitsubishi Estate Logistics (3481 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zee-entertainment-enterprises" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19466:1" rel="noopener">Zee Entertainment Enterprises (Z IN)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, Blibli launched its Indonesian IPO, while a few other names are said to be gearing up to launch in Hong Kong and India.
There were a few placements this week, notable ones being Mitsubishi Estate Logistics (3481 JP) and Zee Entertainment Enterprises (Z IN).


ECM Weekly (23rd Oct 2022) - Giant Biogene, Blibli, Bionote, Fusion Micro, Mitsubishi Estate

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Global Digital Niaga Tbk PT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/global-digital-niaga-pt-blibli" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34881:1" rel="noopener">Blibli (1437710D IJ)</a>, a leading Indonesian e-commerce player, has launched an IDR8.2 trillion (US$530 million) Indonesian IPO. Bookbuilding is from 17 to 24 October.</li>
<li>We have previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/blibli-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:82294" rel="noopener">Blibli IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/blibli-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:82376" rel="noopener">Blibli IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/blibli-vs-tokopedia-vs-bukalapak-vs-lazada-vs-shopee" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:82473" rel="noopener">Blibli Vs Tokopedia Vs Bukalapak Vs Lazada Vs Shopee</a>. </li>
<li>Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive. We would give the IPO a pass.</li>
</ul>



Blibli (1437710D IJ), a leading Indonesian e-commerce player, has launched an IDR8.2 trillion (US$530 million) Indonesian IPO. Bookbuilding is from 17 to 24 October.
We have previously discussed the IPO in Blibli IPO: The Bull Case, Blibli IPO: The Bear Case and Blibli Vs Tokopedia Vs Bukalapak Vs Lazada Vs Shopee. 
Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive. We would give the IPO a pass.


China

JD.com Inc is an online direct sales company in China.  The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications.  JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

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JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)

Pinduoduo: The US Expansion Could Slash Profitability While Risking Xi’s Wrath

Selling $10.00 earbuds at $3.70, Temu could eat a significant chunk off of Pinduoduo’s profitability in the next couple of quarters.

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

China Internet Weekly (24Oct2022): Tencent, Alibaba, Kuaishou, JD.com, NetEase, Zhihu

Chinese online game market size decreased by 19.1% YoY and 12.6% QoQ in 3Q22. Tmall started a mini-program in WeChat. State Post Bureau revised...

Ming Lu

HK Short Interest Weekly: AIA, Li Auto, Wuxi Biologics, SHK PPT, CMB

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of {} and highlight short interest changes in AIA, Li Auto, Wuxi Biologics,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ECM Weekly (23rd Oct 2022) - Giant Biogene, Blibli, Bionote, Fusion Micro, Mitsubishi Estate

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Blibli IPO: Valuation Insights

Bookbuilding will close on 24 October. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive. We would give the IPO a pass.

Arun George

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