Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tunas-ridean-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3780:1" rel="noopener">Tunas Ridean (TURI IJ)</a> announced a plan to change its status from an open company to a closed company. </li>
<li>In effect, TURI will undertake a buyback of its shares at Rp1,700/share, a lifetime high. Those who do not tender will be left holding unlisted scrip. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-cycle-carriage-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:347:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage (JCNC SP)</a> and Tunas Andalan both hold 46.24%, leaving 7.52% in public hands. The proposal requires a shareholder vote. It appears no shareholder needs to abstain. </li>
</ul>



Tunas Ridean (TURI IJ) announced a plan to change its status from an open company to a closed company. 
In effect, TURI will undertake a buyback of its shares at Rp1,700/share, a lifetime high. Those who do not tender will be left holding unlisted scrip. 

Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage (JCNC SP) and Tunas Andalan both hold 46.24%, leaving 7.52% in public hands. The proposal requires a shareholder vote. It appears no shareholder needs to abstain. 


Tunas Ridean (TURI IJ): JCNC & Tunas Andolan's Quasi Delisting Proposal

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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP)</a>'s underlying net profit in FY21 was up 39% against 2020, and just 5% shy of 2019's level.</li>
<li>The latest US$250mn buyback program appears to have been completed.</li>
<li>Shares are down ~5% since the FY21 results. At a ~28% discount to NAV, JMH is inexpensive here. </li>
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Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP)'s underlying net profit in FY21 was up 39% against 2020, and just 5% shy of 2019's level.
The latest US$250mn buyback program appears to have been completed.
Shares are down ~5% since the FY21 results. At a ~28% discount to NAV, JMH is inexpensive here. 


Jardine Matheson (JM SP): Reloading The Buyback?

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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a> has "given up" and accepted the fact of the Tender Offer. There will be no Poison Pill EGM, and SBI will "honour" Shinsei management policy</li>
<li>Approval from the anti-trust watchdog is by no means a sure thing in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/true-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8:1" rel="noopener">True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/total-access-communication" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:948:1" rel="noopener">Total Access Communication (DTAC TB)</a> merge. </li>
<li>Hotel operator <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-jin-jiang-capital-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15781:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Jin Jiang Capital Company Limited (2006 HK)</a> has announced a pre-conditional Offer from an entity primarily controlled by Shanghai SASAC. </li>
</ul>



Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) has "given up" and accepted the fact of the Tender Offer. There will be no Poison Pill EGM, and SBI will "honour" Shinsei management policy
Approval from the anti-trust watchdog is by no means a sure thing in the True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB) / Total Access Communication (DTAC TB) merge. 
Hotel operator Shanghai Jin Jiang Capital Company Limited (2006 HK) has announced a pre-conditional Offer from an entity primarily controlled by Shanghai SASAC. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Shinsei Bank, True Corp/DTAC, Kansai Super, SingTel, DiDi Global

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-cycle-carriage-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:347:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage (JCNC SP)</a>, relative to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International (ASII IJ)</a>, is retesting recent lows.</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on JCNC - and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-telecommunications" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20:1" rel="noopener">Singtel (ST SP)</a> - are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation threshold - the $ value of the holding/opco held, over the parent’s market cap - &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage (JCNC SP), relative to Astra International (ASII IJ), is retesting recent lows.
Preceding my comments on JCNC - and Singtel (ST SP) - are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation threshold - the $ value of the holding/opco held, over the parent’s market cap - &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Jardine Cycle & Carriage Trading Wide; SingTel's Steepest Discount Ever?

Equity Bottom-Up

Jardine Matheson Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

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On the 6th September, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hongkong-land-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15465:1" rel="noopener">Hongkong Land (HKL SP)</a> <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/HKLH0906.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=682657" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> a US$500mn share buyback program, which will run until 31st December 2022. Based on the average daily volume over the last year of US$9-10mn, this buyback is roughly equivalent to ~15% of daily volume through to 2022 year-end. Pretty punchy.
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In <a href="https://skr.ma/aFS5q" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Hongkong Land's (HKL SP) Big Buyback</a>, I said the Jardine's group evidently believes it makes good business sense to buy back its own shares in place of deploying capital into HKL's investment and development property portfolio.
Now it's <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP)</a>'s turn to buy back its own shares. 
Yesterday the conglomerate <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/JMH.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=685150" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> a US$250mn buyback which will run through to 30 June next year.
As with HKL, the holding of treasury shares is not permitted in JMH's constitution, therefore any shares repurchased will be cancelled.
I see JMH's discount to NAV at ~30%, around its lowest level since taking <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-strategic-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15081:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Strategic Holdings (JS SP)</a> private.
We now have some indication as to what the Keswick family considers a cheap entry-level. 
More below the fold.
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On the 6th September, Hongkong Land (HKL SP) announced a US$500mn share buyback program, which will run until 31st December 2022. Based on the average daily volume over the last year of US$9-10mn, this buyback is roughly equivalent to ~15% of daily volume through to 2022 year-end. Pretty punchy.


In Hongkong Land's (HKL SP) Big Buyback, I said the Jardine's group evidently believes it makes good business sense to buy back its own shares in place of deploying capital into HKL's investment and development property portfolio.
Now it's Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP)'s turn to buy back its own shares. 
Yesterday the conglomerate announced a US$250mn buyback which will run through to 30 June next year.
As with HKL, the holding of treasury shares is not permitted in JMH's constitution, therefore any shares repurchased will be cancelled.
I see JMH's discount to NAV at ~30%, around its lowest level since taking Jardine Strategic Holdings (JS SP) private.
We now have some indication as to what the Keswick family considers a cheap entry-level. 
More below the fold.






Jardine Matheson's (JM SP) Turn To Buy Back Shares

Singapore

Jardine Cycle & Carriage Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, invests in automotive, consumer finance, utilities and infrastructure, heavy equipment and mining, property, agribusiness, cement, and consumer products businesses. Jardine Cycle & Carriage serves customers in South East Asia.

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Jardine Cycle & Carriage (JCNC SP)

Tunas Ridean (TURI IJ): JCNC & Tunas Andolan's Quasi Delisting Proposal

This is done for Tunas Ridean - provided JCNC and Tunas Andalan can vote. With payment 23 August, I would be buying around here at Rp 1,560....

David Blennerhassett

Jardine Matheson (JM SP): Reloading The Buyback?

Given JMH's strong underlying performance and discount to NAV, another round of buybacks is feasible. Especially given management was consistently...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: Shinsei Bank, True Corp/DTAC, Kansai Super, SingTel, DiDi Global

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: Jardine Cycle & Carriage Trading Wide; SingTel's Steepest Discount Ever?

I'd look to set up JCNC around these levels. And continue to recommend getting involved in SingTel either as a deep value play, and/or an...

David Blennerhassett

Jardine Matheson's (JM SP) Turn To Buy Back Shares

The Keswick's believe at current levels, there is better value to be had buying its own shares rather than investing elsewhere. As with HKL, JMH is...

David Blennerhassett

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