Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are a bunch of stocks that have underperformed the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> and their peers and could be deleted from global passive portfolios in May.</li>
<li>The deletion from passive portfolios will lead to a liquidity event at the end of May where passive trackers will need to sell multiple days of ADV.</li>
<li>Shorts have been built up on all the stocks over the last few months and the extent of the positioning varies across stocks.</li>
</ul>


There are a bunch of stocks that have underperformed the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) and their peers and could be deleted from global passive portfolios in May.
The deletion from passive portfolios will lead to a liquidity event at the end of May where passive trackers will need to sell multiple days of ADV.
Shorts have been built up on all the stocks over the last few months and the extent of the positioning varies across stocks.


Japan - Increase in Shorts & Potential Passive Selling in May

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Renesas Electronics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsubishi-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11171:1" rel="noopener">Mitsubishi Electric (6503 JP)</a> is looking to raise approximately US$800m through an accelerated secondary block deal, via selling 50.71m shares (2.6% of TSO) of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/renesas-electronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15933:1" rel="noopener">Renesas Electronics (6723 JP)</a> stock. </li>
<li>The deal will be an easy one to digest at only three days of three month ADV.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Mitsubishi Electric (6503 JP) is looking to raise approximately US$800m through an accelerated secondary block deal, via selling 50.71m shares (2.6% of TSO) of Renesas Electronics (6723 JP) stock. 
The deal will be an easy one to digest at only three days of three month ADV.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Renesas Electronics Block - Smaller than Recent Deals but Still Likely Well Flagged

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/activia-properties-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9498:1" rel="noopener">Activia Properties (3279 JP)</a> announced results Wednesday. Higher DPU on better rental income looks to continue next period, but an asset disposal will produce some drag ahead.</li>
<li>Activia Properties also announced a buyback of 10% of ADV for the next four months.</li>
<li>The REIT is slightly cheap to peers. Yield spread to JGBs is high which is good. It needs to be 10% higher to restart accretive equity offerings.</li>
</ul>



Activia Properties (3279 JP) announced results Wednesday. Higher DPU on better rental income looks to continue next period, but an asset disposal will produce some drag ahead.
Activia Properties also announced a buyback of 10% of ADV for the next four months.
The REIT is slightly cheap to peers. Yield spread to JGBs is high which is good. It needs to be 10% higher to restart accretive equity offerings.


Activia Properties (3279) - Short-Term Higher-Impact Buyback on Better Fundamental Results

AZ-Com Maruwa Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/az-com-maruwa-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17280:1" rel="noopener">AZ-Com Maruwa Holdings (9090 JP)</a> is looking to raise around US$206m in its mixed follow-on offering. </li>
<li>The deal will be a large one to digest, at 129 days of three month ADV, 5.5% dilution and 12.2% of current mcap.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



AZ-Com Maruwa Holdings (9090 JP) is looking to raise around US$206m in its mixed follow-on offering. 
The deal will be a large one to digest, at 129 days of three month ADV, 5.5% dilution and 12.2% of current mcap.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


AZ Com Maruwa Placement - Mixed Feelings About the Mixed Offering

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dcm-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13042:1" rel="noopener">DCM Holdings (3050 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keiyo-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14415:1" rel="noopener">Keiyo Co Ltd (8168 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aeon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3:1" rel="noopener">Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP)</a> signed capital and business tie-up agreements 30+yrs ago. Recently, DCM bought Keiyo.</li>
<li>Aeon got some money from this and has decided to put that money back into DCM shares.</li>
<li>That changes both the current dynamics and future shareholder structure. And that leads to interesting questions about the outcome.</li>
</ul>



DCM Holdings (3050 JP) and Keiyo Co Ltd (8168 JP) and Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP) signed capital and business tie-up agreements 30+yrs ago. Recently, DCM bought Keiyo.
Aeon got some money from this and has decided to put that money back into DCM shares.
That changes both the current dynamics and future shareholder structure. And that leads to interesting questions about the outcome.


Aeon/DCM/Keiyo Deal Changes on DCM TOB for Keiyo - Watch for Market Impact

Japan

Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation operates real estate investment trust. The Company provides securitized real estate investment, real estate leasing, shopping centers investment, and other services. Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment provides its services throughout Japan.

Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation (8953 JP)

Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation

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Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation (8953 JP)

Japan - Increase in Shorts & Potential Passive Selling in May

There are a bunch of stocks in Japan that could be sold by passive global investors in May. Shorts have increased on all stocks and the extent of...

Brian Freitas

Renesas Electronics Block - Smaller than Recent Deals but Still Likely Well Flagged

Mitsubishi Electric (6503 JP) is looking to raise approximately US$800m through an accelerated secondary block deal, via selling 50.71m shares...

Ethan Aw

Activia Properties (3279) - Short-Term Higher-Impact Buyback on Better Fundamental Results

Activia Properties had good results to November 2023. A large disposal at a loss will drag May earnings down while rental gains will offset. The J...

Travis Lundy

AZ Com Maruwa Placement - Mixed Feelings About the Mixed Offering

AZ-Com Maruwa Holdings (9090 JP) is looking to raise around US$206m in its mixed follow-on offering. In this note, we will talk about the deal...

Ethan Aw

Aeon/DCM/Keiyo Deal Changes on DCM TOB for Keiyo - Watch for Market Impact

Aeon sold capital/business alliance partner Keiyo shares to capital/business alliance partner DCM. It will now use the cash to buy more DCM. It's a...

Travis Lundy

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