Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We currently see one change each for the ASX20 and ASX100 indices, 4 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200</a> and 10 adds/ 6 deletes for the ASX300 Index in March.</li>
<li>There could be an addition to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> in January following <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pendal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15795:1" rel="noopener">Pendal Group (PDL AU)</a>'s acquisition by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/perpetual-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:599:1" rel="noopener">Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU)</a>.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pexa-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34716:1" rel="noopener">PEXA Group (PXA AU)</a> is a potential inclusion to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> if <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a>'s in-specie distribution of PEXA shares to its shareholders is approved.</li>
</ul>


We currently see one change each for the ASX20 and ASX100 indices, 4 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 and 10 adds/ 6 deletes for the ASX300 Index in March.
There could be an addition to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) in January following Pendal Group (PDL AU)'s acquisition by Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU).

PEXA Group (PXA AU) is a potential inclusion to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) if Link Administration (LNK AU)'s in-specie distribution of PEXA shares to its shareholders is approved.


S&P/​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: A Busy March (Maybe January and February Too)

<ul>
<li>Volatile stock prices could mean one change for the S&amp;P/ASX 50 Index and one change for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/atlas-arteria-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14430:1" rel="noopener">Atlas Arteria (ALX AU)</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lendlease-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11248:1" rel="noopener">Lendlease Group (LLC AU)</a> in the S&amp;P/ASX 50 Index, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/monadelphous-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:553:1" rel="noopener">Monadelphous (MND AU)</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/st-barbara-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3764:1" rel="noopener">St Barbara Ltd (SBM AU)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200</a>.</li>
<li>Short interest on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/st-barbara-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3764:1" rel="noopener">St Barbara Ltd (SBM AU)</a> has spiked in the last few weeks and there could be short covering ahead of implementation of the changes.</li>
</ul>


Volatile stock prices could mean one change for the S&amp;P/ASX 50 Index and one change for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) at the December rebalance.

Atlas Arteria (ALX AU) could replace Lendlease Group (LLC AU) in the S&amp;P/ASX 50 Index, while Monadelphous (MND AU) could replace St Barbara Ltd (SBM AU) in the S&amp;P/ASX 200.
Short interest on St Barbara Ltd (SBM AU) has spiked in the last few weeks and there could be short covering ahead of implementation of the changes.


S&P/​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Shrinking Number of Changes in Dec

<ul>
<li>Hang Seng announced the results of the March rebalance post market close Friday. Two adds for the HSI, one set of changes for HSCEI, three sets for HSTECH.</li>
<li>An ad hoc rebalance was announced for the KOSDAQ150 following Osstem being designated an 'Administrative Issue'. In IPO world, we have LIC in India and SBI Sumishin NetBank coming up.</li>
<li>Friday was the review cutoff date for the March rebalance of the ASX200 Index. The ATO has provided Aventus with the tax ruling and that creates a timing issue.</li>
</ul>


Hang Seng announced the results of the March rebalance post market close Friday. Two adds for the HSI, one set of changes for HSCEI, three sets for HSTECH.
An ad hoc rebalance was announced for the KOSDAQ150 following Osstem being designated an 'Administrative Issue'. In IPO world, we have LIC in India and SBI Sumishin NetBank coming up.
Friday was the review cutoff date for the March rebalance of the ASX200 Index. The ATO has provided Aventus with the tax ruling and that creates a timing issue.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSCI, S&P/ASX, SET50, LIC, SBI Sumishin, Crown

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The S&amp;P/ASX Index family is a widely-tracked group of indices and sub-indices which represent the performance of ASX-listed companies. </li>
<li>In March 2022, Index rebalance events will take place for the S&amp;P/ASX capitalization-weighted indices including ASX 300, ASX 200, ASX 100, ASX 50, and ASX 20. </li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the leading candidates who could become Adds/Deletes during the March 2022 Rebalance and other potential irregular changes.</li>
</ul>


The S&amp;P/ASX Index family is a widely-tracked group of indices and sub-indices which represent the performance of ASX-listed companies. 
In March 2022, Index rebalance events will take place for the S&amp;P/ASX capitalization-weighted indices including ASX 300, ASX 200, ASX 100, ASX 50, and ASX 20. 
In this insight, we take a look at the leading candidates who could become Adds/Deletes during the March 2022 Rebalance and other potential irregular changes.


S&P/​​ASX Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for March 2022 Rebalance (Final)

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boral-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1487:1" rel="noopener">Boral Ltd (BLD AU)</a> today announced a special dividend and return of capital totalling $2.72/share. That is 46% of yesterday's closing price. </li>
<li>This was not unexpected. Management had promised, media articles had proposed as much. Now it is coming through. </li>
<li>Despite an 11% jump in the forward ex-div price today, the stock is cheap on a FY23 basis.  </li>
</ul>



Boral Ltd (BLD AU) today announced a special dividend and return of capital totalling $2.72/share. That is 46% of yesterday's closing price. 
This was not unexpected. Management had promised, media articles had proposed as much. Now it is coming through. 
Despite an 11% jump in the forward ex-div price today, the stock is cheap on a FY23 basis.  


Boral's 45% Capital Return - Resetting Forward Expectations

Australia

James Hardie Industries Plc manufactures building products for new home construction and remodeling.  The Company's products include fiber cement siding, backerboard, and pipe. James Hardie Industries operates in the United States, Australia and New Zealand.

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James Hardie Industries Plc (JHX AU)

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: A Busy March (Maybe January and February Too)

There could be an adhoc ASX200 inclusion in Jan. Then there could be 1 change each for the ASX20 and ASX100 indices, 4 changes for the ASX200...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Shrinking Number of Changes in Dec

With 3 days left in the review period, we forecast one change each for the ASX50 & ASX200 indices. The largest impact of passive trading will be on...

Brian Freitas

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSCI, S&P/ASX, SET50, LIC, SBI Sumishin, Crown

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for March 2022 Rebalance (Final)

A final look at the leading candidates who could become Adds/Deletes during the March 2022 Rebalance and other potential irregular changes.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Boral's 45% Capital Return - Resetting Forward Expectations

Boral has finally announced its massive capital return to shareholders after significant asset sales in the last 12 months. There is probably more...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

S&P/​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: A Busy March (Maybe January and February Too)

There could be an adhoc ASX200 inclusion in Jan. Then there could be 1 change each for the ASX20 and ASX100 indices, 4 changes for the ASX200...

Brian Freitas

S&P/​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Shrinking Number of Changes in Dec

With 3 days left in the review period, we forecast one change each for the ASX50 & ASX200 indices. The largest impact of passive trading will be on...

Brian Freitas

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSCI, S&P/ASX, SET50, LIC, SBI Sumishin, Crown

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

S&P/​​ASX Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for March 2022 Rebalance (Final)

A final look at the leading candidates who could become Adds/Deletes during the March 2022 Rebalance and other potential irregular changes.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Boral's 45% Capital Return - Resetting Forward Expectations

Boral has finally announced its massive capital return to shareholders after significant asset sales in the last 12 months. There is probably more...

Travis Lundy

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: A Busy March (Maybe January and February Too)

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Shrinking Number of Changes in Dec

S&P/ASX Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for March 2022 Rebalance (Final)