Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, the usual year end rush in smaller deals appears to have resumed.</li>
<li>On placements front, this week was one for real estate with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/country-garden-holdings-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5225:1" rel="noopener">Country Garden Holdings Co (2007 HK)</a>, Macrotech, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seazen" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14882:1" rel="noopener">Seazen (1030 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-prologis-reit-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15683:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Prologis Reit (3283 JP)</a> undertaking deals.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, the usual year end rush in smaller deals appears to have resumed.
On placements front, this week was one for real estate with Country Garden Holdings Co (2007 HK), Macrotech, Seazen (1030 HK) and Nippon Prologis Reit (3283 JP) undertaking deals.


ECM Weekly (11th Dec 2022) - ITail, Sunshine, Weilong, VinFast, Skymark, Tian Tu, Cntry Gard, Nippon

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In principle, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jafco-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8848:1" rel="noopener">Jafco Co Ltd (8595 JP)</a> still wants to be greenmailed to get Murakami-san out. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-cycle-carriage-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:347:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage (JCNC SP)</a>i is expensive here - relative to historical values -  and from an implied stub perspective. And the MSCI inclusion event has now passed.</li>
<li>If you think this is a "risk", then you want to be long when the discount is wide and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> is monetising assets in some way. </li>
</ul>


In principle, Jafco Co Ltd (8595 JP) still wants to be greenmailed to get Murakami-san out. 

Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage (JCNC SP)i is expensive here - relative to historical values -  and from an implied stub perspective. And the MSCI inclusion event has now passed.
If you think this is a "risk", then you want to be long when the discount is wide and Softbank Group (9984 JP) is monetising assets in some way. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: JAFCO, Jardine Cycle, Softbank, Star Health

China Traditional Chinese Medicine / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 45 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>One new deal was discussed on Smartkarma: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xingda-international-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17836:1" rel="noopener">Xingda International (1899 HK)</a>'s partial MBO.</li>
<li>Key updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nitro-software-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30943:1" rel="noopener">Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chip-eng-seng-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6441:1" rel="noopener">Chip Eng Seng Corp (CHIP SP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-traditional-chinese-medicine" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:351:1" rel="noopener">China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are 45 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
One new deal was discussed on Smartkarma: Xingda International (1899 HK)'s partial MBO.
Key updates took place for: Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU) , Chip Eng Seng Corp (CHIP SP) and China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Xingda, Nitro, Chip Eng Seng, Traditional Chinese Medicine

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jafco-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8848:1" rel="noopener">Jafco Co Ltd (8595 JP)</a> announced the reference period VWAP for the Tender Offer Buyback was ¥2,362.4136 vs target ¥2,525. Murakami-san refused to play, so the Tender Offer is cancelled.</li>
<li>This is good news and bad news. The announcement wording doesn't make JAFCO look good, but they will continue discussions with City Index Eleventh. But there is potential.</li>
<li>I shall now therefore humbly propose my own thoughts, which I hope will not be liable to the least objection (Jonathan Swift, 1729)</li>
</ul>



Jafco Co Ltd (8595 JP) announced the reference period VWAP for the Tender Offer Buyback was ¥2,362.4136 vs target ¥2,525. Murakami-san refused to play, so the Tender Offer is cancelled.
This is good news and bad news. The announcement wording doesn't make JAFCO look good, but they will continue discussions with City Index Eleventh. But there is potential.
I shall now therefore humbly propose my own thoughts, which I hope will not be liable to the least objection (Jonathan Swift, 1729)


JAFCO (8595) Cancels Tender Offer - I Offer a Modest Proposal For Good Governance

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Late last month, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jafco-8595-yields-to-murakami-greenmail-big-asset-sale-big-buyback" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:85082" rel="noopener">JAFCO (8595) Yields to Murakami Greenmail - Big Asset Sale, Big Buyback</a> and set the large buyback from Murakami-san to occur through a Tender Offer.</li>
<li>The TOB price would be set at a 1% discount to the average 30 Nov - 7 Dec VWAP if VWAP was between ¥2,525 and ¥2,828/share. That's not happening.</li>
<li>So now we read the fine print, look at waive-ability of conditions, and look at contingencies.</li>
</ul>


Late last month, JAFCO (8595) Yields to Murakami Greenmail - Big Asset Sale, Big Buyback and set the large buyback from Murakami-san to occur through a Tender Offer.
The TOB price would be set at a 1% discount to the average 30 Nov - 7 Dec VWAP if VWAP was between ¥2,525 and ¥2,828/share. That's not happening.
So now we read the fine print, look at waive-ability of conditions, and look at contingencies.


JAFCO (8595) Sells NRI Shares But VWAP Falling Short - Comes Down To Murakami-San

Japan

JAFCO Co., Ltd. forms venture capital groups to invest primarily in domestic and foreign private companies with high potential for future growth.  The Company also provides management services to the groups, makes loans and offers consultation services to the invested companies.

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Jafco Co Ltd (8595 JP)

ECM Weekly (11th Dec 2022) - ITail, Sunshine, Weilong, VinFast, Skymark, Tian Tu, Cntry Gard, Nippon

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Last Week in Event SPACE: JAFCO, Jardine Cycle, Softbank, Star Health

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Xingda, Nitro, Chip Eng Seng, Traditional Chinese Medicine

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

JAFCO (8595) Cancels Tender Offer - I Offer a Modest Proposal For Good Governance

JAFCO was greenmailed by Murakami-san. The other shareholders didn't buy the plan so VWAP fell short and Murakami isn't playing ball. Now they need...

Travis Lundy

JAFCO (8595) Sells NRI Shares But VWAP Falling Short - Comes Down To Murakami-San

JAFCO sold its NRI stake lowering pro-forma NAV/share by 5.3% vs 30Sep. The VWAP Ref. for the Buyback Tender Offer looks to be 6.5% lower. Murakami...

Travis Lundy

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