Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In last week's Compass (July 26) we discussed positive signals that we believe suggested the lows for this bear market may have already been established, or that downside is limited.</li>
<li>We continue to see more evidence that supports this claim; as a result, we are upgrading our outlook to neutral.</li>
<li>The SPX is reversing topside its 4-month downtrend, and the Russell 2000 (IWM), Russell Micro-Caps (IWC), and Russell 2000Growth (IWO) are each reversing topside their 9-month downtrends; the bottom's in.</li>
</ul>


In last week's Compass (July 26) we discussed positive signals that we believe suggested the lows for this bear market may have already been established, or that downside is limited.
We continue to see more evidence that supports this claim; as a result, we are upgrading our outlook to neutral.
The SPX is reversing topside its 4-month downtrend, and the Russell 2000 (IWM), Russell Micro-Caps (IWC), and Russell 2000Growth (IWO) are each reversing topside their 9-month downtrends; the bottom's in.


S&P 500 Reverses 4-Month Downtrend; Upgrading Consumer Discretionary to Market Weight

The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq 100 are within striking distance of all-time highs and we believe breakouts are on the horizon. Overall, our outlook remains bullish and we recommend adding exposure on pullbacks. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Discretionary, Materials, and Manufacturing.

The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq 100 are within striking distance of all-time highs and we believe breakouts are on the horizon. Overall, our outlook remains bullish and we recommend adding exposure on pullbacks. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Discretionary, Materials, and Manufacturing.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Breakouts On The Horizon

As bullish developments pile up, the weight-of-the-evidence continues to support our belief that we may be in the early stages of a broad-based advance. There are some developments that leave us wanting more, but we are inching toward an outright bullish outlook. In today’s report we outline our U.S. investment thesis, and highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Health Care, Materials, and Manufacturing: Biotech, Large-Cap, Aluminum, Chemicals, Diversified, and Fluid Technology &amp; Power.

As bullish developments pile up, the weight-of-the-evidence continues to support our belief that we may be in the early stages of a broad-based advance. There are some developments that leave us wanting more, but we are inching toward an outright bullish outlook. In today’s report we outline our U.S. investment thesis, and highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Health Care, Materials, and Manufacturing: Biotech, Large-Cap, Aluminum, Chemicals, Diversified, and Fluid Technology &amp; Power.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Small-Caps Testing Critical Resistance; Downgrading Communications

US/Europe Event-Driven Analyst

John DeMasi

Event-Driven

On May 21, 2019 <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/20662" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20662:1">Crane Co (CR US)</a> announced a proposal to acquire <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/10244" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10244:1">Circor International (CIR US)</a>, a manufacturer of pumps, valves, regulators, actuators, and related engineered components for $45 per share in cash, for a total equity value of $895 million and a total enterprise value of $1.55 billion ($1.7 billion if net pension liability is included). The proposal price of $45 represents a 47% premium over the May 20, 2019 CIR US closing price of $30.66. Crane held a conference call and released a slide presentation on its proposal with more details. In this piece I evaluate the proposal and the impediments standing in Crane’s way of winning this deal.

On May 21, 2019 Crane Co (CR US) announced a proposal to acquire Circor International (CIR US), a manufacturer of pumps, valves, regulators, actuators, and related engineered components for $45 per share in cash, for a total equity value of $895 million and a total enterprise value of $1.55 billion ($1.7 billion if net pension liability is included). The proposal price of $45 represents a 47% premium over the May 20, 2019 CIR US closing price of $30.66. Crane held a conference call and released a slide presentation on its proposal with more details. In this piece I evaluate the proposal and the impediments standing in Crane’s way of winning this deal.

Crane Co. Proposal to Acquire CIRCOR International – Actuator Wanted

Key Points:<ul>
<li>The Staples Sector is leadership and many names are staging price and RS reversals.</li>
<li>REIT’s are breaking above bases and are showing RS leadership.</li>
<li>Paper &amp; Forest products are strengthening and many are reversing price and RS downtrend or breaking above bases.</li>
<li>Large-Cap Pharma stocks are showing leadership. Many have broken topside of multi-year consolidations or have reversed multi-year price and RS downtrends.</li>
</ul><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/059/921/original/Untitled.png?1533586859" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="59921"></figure>

Key Points:
The Staples Sector is leadership and many names are staging price and RS reversals.
REIT’s are breaking above bases and are showing RS leadership.
Paper &amp; Forest products are strengthening and many are reversing price and RS downtrend or breaking above bases.
Large-Cap Pharma stocks are showing leadership. Many have broken topside of multi-year consolidations or have reversed multi-year price and RS downtrends.


United States

ITT Inc. manufactures engineered components and customized technology solutions for industrial end-markets. The Company offers complex pumps to advanced brake pads to intricate connectors. ITT serves energy infrastructure, electronics, aerospace, and transportation sectors.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

ITT (ITT US)

S&P 500 Reverses 4-Month Downtrend; Upgrading Consumer Discretionary to Market Weight

We continue to see more evidence suggesting the lows are in; as a result, we are upgrading our outlook to neutral. 4-month downtrend reversal for...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Breakouts On The Horizon

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 are within striking distance of all-time highs and we believe breakouts are on the horizon. Our outlook remains bullish...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Small-Caps Testing Critical Resistance; Downgrading Communications

As bullish developments pile up, the weight-of-the-evidence continues to support our belief that we may be in the early stages of a broad-based...

Vermilion Research

Crane Co. Proposal to Acquire CIRCOR International – Actuator Wanted

On May 21, 2019 Crane Co (CR US) announced a proposal to acquire Circor International (CIR US), a manufacturer of pumps, valves, regulators,...

John DeMasi

U.S. Vital Signs: Actionable Stocks

Key Points: The Staples Sector is leadership and many names are staging price and RS reversals. REIT’s are breaking above bases and are showing RS...

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)