Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.</li>
<li>The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.</li>
<li>Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for nearly 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.</li>
</ul>


An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.
The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.
Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for nearly 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.


Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>After a multi-year drop in ownership, Global EM fund exposure in the Tobacco sector is on the rise.</li>
<li>Tobacco remains heavily under-owned, but key EM funds are raising allocations, led by GQG Partners, Virtus, BNY Mellon and Allianz. </li>
<li>ITC Limited has been a key beneficiary of inflows and stands as the most widely owned stock in the sector, followed by KT&amp;G Corp.</li>
</ul>


After a multi-year drop in ownership, Global EM fund exposure in the Tobacco sector is on the rise.
Tobacco remains heavily under-owned, but key EM funds are raising allocations, led by GQG Partners, Virtus, BNY Mellon and Allianz. 
ITC Limited has been a key beneficiary of inflows and stands as the most widely owned stock in the sector, followed by KT&amp;G Corp.


Investors Return to Tobacco Stocks After Multi-Year Decline

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-22-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28307:1" rel="noopener">BHARAT 22 ETF (ICICIB22 IN)</a> will rebalance on 17 March while the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpse-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28191:1" rel="noopener">CPSE ETF (CPSEBE IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX)</a> will rebalance on 29 March.</li>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the indices in March but there will be capping changes for the stocks and there is a reasonable impact on some stocks.</li>
<li>There are stocks that will have opposing flows on the two days, while there are some stocks that will have same way flows from passive trackers.</li>
</ul>


The BHARAT 22 ETF (ICICIB22 IN) will rebalance on 17 March while the CPSE ETF (CPSEBE IN) and Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX) will rebalance on 29 March.
There are no constituent changes for the indices in March but there will be capping changes for the stocks and there is a reasonable impact on some stocks.
There are stocks that will have opposing flows on the two days, while there are some stocks that will have same way flows from passive trackers.


CPSE / BHARAT22 / CNXBANK Index Rebalance Preview: Capping Changes in March

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Nexus Select Trust / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nexus-select-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36566:1" rel="noopener">Nexus Select Trust (NST IN)</a>  is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming India IPO. </li>
<li>NST is a REIT with a portfolio of 17 Grade A urban consumption centers. It is backed by Blackstone.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Nexus Select Trust (NST IN)  is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming India IPO. 
NST is a REIT with a portfolio of 17 Grade A urban consumption centers. It is backed by Blackstone.
In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Nexus Select Trust Pre-IPO - The Positives - Forecasting Robust Growth

Honasa Consumer  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Honasa Consumer (HC) is looking to raise about US$350m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>HC’s product portfolio includes products in the baby care, face care, body care, hair care, color cosmetics and fragrances segments.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Honasa Consumer (HC) is looking to raise about US$350m in its upcoming India IPO.
HC’s product portfolio includes products in the baby care, face care, body care, hair care, color cosmetics and fragrances segments.
In this note, we will talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Honasa Consumer Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Ad Spending Keeping Profits Low

India

ITC Limited, a member of BAT Group of UK, is a holding company, which has a diversified presence in Cigarettes, Hotels, Paperboards & Specialty Papers, Packaging, Agri Business, Packaged Foods & Confectionery, Branded Apparel, Greeting Cards and other FMCG products.

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ITC Ltd (ITC IN)

Screening for GEMs: April 2023

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

Investors Return to Tobacco Stocks After Multi-Year Decline

After a multi-year drop in ownership, Global Emerging Market fund exposure in the Tobacco Industry group is on the rise.

Steven Holden

CPSE / BHARAT22 / CNXBANK Index Rebalance Preview: Capping Changes in March

There will be capping changes on the Bharat22, CPSE and NIFTYBANK indices in March. There are stocks that have opposite flows while some have same...

Brian Freitas

Nexus Select Trust Pre-IPO - The Positives - Forecasting Robust Growth

Nexus Select Trust, backed by Blackstoner, is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the...

Sumeet Singh

Honasa Consumer Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Ad Spending Keeping Profits Low

Honasa Consumer (HC) is looking to raise about US$350m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

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