Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 June and will end 31 August. The changes will be implemented at the close 7 September.</li>
<li>We see 7 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 6 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, 7 new adds to MidCap, and 17 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.</li>
<li>Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 June and will end 31 August. The changes will be implemented at the close 7 September.
We see 7 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 6 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, 7 new adds to MidCap, and 17 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.
Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.


KOSPI Size Indices - Plenty of Migrations to Attract Active Flows

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Foxconn Industrial Internet / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Not much has changed since our latest Int'l Compass from May 31, 2024 titled "Buy the Pullback." </li>
<li>We were buyers of the pullback in global equities (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, EM, Europe, Japan, Taiwan, etc.) with important supports holding, combined with ongoing healthy market dynamics.</li>
<li>Supports are holding, and our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. Continue to buy dips.</li>
</ul>


Not much has changed since our latest Int'l Compass from May 31, 2024 titled "Buy the Pullback." 
We were buyers of the pullback in global equities (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, EM, Europe, Japan, Taiwan, etc.) with important supports holding, combined with ongoing healthy market dynamics.
Supports are holding, and our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. Continue to buy dips.


Downgrading Europe to Market Weight; Europe Indexes Still Bullish (Price); Bullish Outlook Intact

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>New multi-year highs on the MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM indexes -- combined with overwhelmingly healthy market dynamics -- validates our bullish outlook on global equities.</li>
<li>We continue to view the latest 5-6% pullback on $ACWI as healthy and normal within the ongoing bull market, and we expect higher prices ahead.</li>
<li>Global Energy Sector appears to be topping, and Materials could be next. We highlight buys in Technology (quickly becoming leadership again) and Consumer Discretionary/Retail </li>
</ul>


New multi-year highs on the MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM indexes -- combined with overwhelmingly healthy market dynamics -- validates our bullish outlook on global equities.
We continue to view the latest 5-6% pullback on $ACWI as healthy and normal within the ongoing bull market, and we expect higher prices ahead.
Global Energy Sector appears to be topping, and Materials could be next. We highlight buys in Technology (quickly becoming leadership again) and Consumer Discretionary/Retail 


Global MSCI Indexes at Multi-Year Highs; Global Energy Sector Deteriorating, Is Materials Next?

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX Stocks as of May 17th which has an aggregated holding worth USD545.3bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD720mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Sk Hynix (000660 KS),  Samsung Electronics (005930 KS).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX Stocks as of May 17th which has an aggregated holding worth USD545.3bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD720mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Sk Hynix (000660 KS),  Samsung Electronics (005930 KS).


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (May 17th): Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Recent trends in the most viewed local brokerage research reports by Korean institutions, compiled by FnGuide, offer insights into current investor interests.</li>
<li>Notable resurgence in local institution interest in the semiconductor sector, especially with the temporal gap until May when the Value-up momentum materializes, notably evident in the AI semiconductor rally companies.</li>
<li>Local institutions typically follow stocks of their interest with a slight lag. This suggests potential positive flows in the listed semiconductor companies until the Value-up momentum solidifies in May.</li>
</ul>


Recent trends in the most viewed local brokerage research reports by Korean institutions, compiled by FnGuide, offer insights into current investor interests.
Notable resurgence in local institution interest in the semiconductor sector, especially with the temporal gap until May when the Value-up momentum materializes, notably evident in the AI semiconductor rally companies.
Local institutions typically follow stocks of their interest with a slight lag. This suggests potential positive flows in the listed semiconductor companies until the Value-up momentum solidifies in May.


Introducing a Data Source for Korean Local Institutions' Interests

South Korea

Lotte Energy Materials Corporation manufactures and distributes electric foils. The Company produces printed circuit board and lithium ion secondary batteries elecfoil, electrolytic and epoxy copper foil, electrolytic capacitor aluminum foil, and other related products. Lotte Energy Materials also offers energy and glass and window construction services.

Daejoo Electronic Materials Co., Ltd. produces electronic materials, such as insulation material, conductive material, and glass material. The Company's main products are used in manufacturing electronic parts, such as spray coatings, phenol coatings, epoxy molding, chip-resistor, ceramic capacitor, varistor, and thermistor.

BH Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes various flexible printed circuits boards (FPCB), such as multi-layer and build-up FPCBs mainly for mobile phones and rigid FPCBs for aerospace sphere.

SFA Engineering Corp. manufactures factory automation and logistics systems. The Company's products include manufacturing system used for producing a picture tube.  SFA Engineering also produces stacker cranes, sorter, conveyor, and loader system for automated distribution center.

Synopex Inc. manufactures and markets wireless device components.  The Company's products include key printed circuit board assemblies (PBA) and liquid crystal display (LCD) modules.  Synopex also produces filters for water purifiers and steel packaging products.

Dreamtech Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes phone parts. The Company develops and sells smart phone fingerprint modules, smart phone side modules, and other related products. Dreamtech also produces automotive light emitting diode, sensors, home appliance essential modules, and other products.

Samwha Capacitor Co., Ltd. manufactures various types of capacitors used in high voltage transformers in residential houses and commercial buildings. The Company's products include film capacitors, ceramic capacitors, and chip capacitors.

Jahwa Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a variety of magnetic electronic components such as purity convergence magnets (PCM), vibration motors, and positive temperature coefficients (PTC).  The Company also produces plastic and rubber magnets used in home appliances and automobiles.  Jahwa Electronics, through its subsidiary, provides venture capital services.

TSE Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets various LED testing equipments and semiconductor testing equipments, such as Interface Boards and Probe Cards.

UTI Inc of Korea operates as an electronics components production company. The Company develops and markets camera windows, fingerprint cover glasses, smart phone cover glasses, and other products. UTI of Korea markets its products throughout Korea.

Cowell e Holdings Inc, is a holding company, which operates electronics and optical components manufacturing entities. The products include camera modules, optical lens and prisms.

CTS Corporation designs and manufactures electronic components and sensors to original equipment manufacturers in the automotive, communications, medical, defense and aerospace, industrial and computer markets.

OSI Systems, Inc. produces medical monitoring and anesthesia systems; security and inspection systems; and lasers, optics, and optoelectronic components.  The Company's products include blood pressure monitors, anesthesia machines and hemoglobin saturation monitors; systems for inspecting baggage, people, and vehicles; and lasers, lenses, prisms, and microelectronic components.

Nippon Electric Glass Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of glass related products.  The Company's products include fluorescent light tubes, lenses for light-emitting diodes (LEDs), ceramic integrated circuits (IC) packages, bulbs for cathode ray tube (CRT) displays, and precision sheet glass for liquid crystal displays (LCDs).

PC Connection, Inc. is a direct marketer of personal computers and related peripherals, software, accessories, and networking products. The Company sells to small and medium-sized businesses. PC Connection carries high turnover products in inventory, and in addition provides customer service and technical support.

Sinbon Electronics Co., Ltd. markets cable, connectors, and modems.  The Company exports its products mainly to other Asian countries, America, and Europe.

Chengdu Santai Holding Group Co., Ltd. is a manufacturer and solutions provider in the security industry. The Company's products include QMS, note management systems, DVR, monitoring solutions, face identification, and fingerprint identification.

Guangdong Fenghua Advanced Technology (Holding) Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets electronic components and equipment.  The Company's products include capacitors, resistors, electronic materials, integrated circuits, and other related products.

Guangdong Fenghua Adv. Tech. (Hldg) Co (000636 CH)

TTM Technologies, Inc. is an independent provider of time-critical, one-stop manufacturing services for printed circuit boards.  The circuit boards serve as a foundation for electronic products such as routers, switches, servers, memory modules, and cellular base stations. The Company's customers include original equipment manufacturers and electronic manufacturing services companies.

Tianma Microelectronics Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets liquid crystal displays (LCDs) and liquid crystal display modules.

IsuPetasys Co., Ltd. manufactures printed circuit boards (PCBs) specializing in high multilayer PCBs.  The Company exports its products to Cisco Systems, Brocade Communications Systems, and Sun Microsystems in the United States.

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Isupetasys (007660 KS)

KOSPI Size Indices - Plenty of Migrations to Attract Active Flows

We currently forecast 53 migrations for the KOSPI Size Indices. There are stocks that are potential KOSPI200 adds in December and others that will...

Brian Freitas

Downgrading Europe to Market Weight; Europe Indexes Still Bullish (Price); Bullish Outlook Intact

Downgrading Europe to Market Weight $FEZ $STOXX; Europe Still Bullish From a Price Perspective; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI $EEM; Supports...

Vermilion Research

Global MSCI Indexes at Multi-Year Highs; Global Energy Sector Deteriorating, Is Materials Next?

There are few things more bullish than Global MSCI Indexes at Multi-Year Highs $ACWI $ACWX $EFA $EEM; Buys in Tech $TSM; Global Energy Sector...

Vermilion Research

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (May 17th): Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Introducing a Data Source for Korean Local Institutions' Interests

This post introduces a data source that offers precise insights into the preferences of local institutions regarding stocks.

Sanghyun Park

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