Macro Strategist, Saxo Capital Markets

Kay Van-Petersen

Macro Strategist

Saxo Capital Markets

Event-Driven

<ul><li>The Fed doves can coo all they want, but the trend is 221,000 on NFPs</li><li>This is trend over past three months, with jobless down to 5.1% (best in 7 years)</li><li>With 10 days to go, the Fed will move if the markets can stay above 1,800 </li><li>It needs to keep above that until September 16 (-6% move from Fri&rsquo;s 1,921 close)</li><li>Should be an action-packed week with China back in and central bank meetings</li><li>Meetings happening in New Zealand, Canada, Russia, Malaysia, UK, South Korea</li></ul>

The Fed doves can coo all they want, but the trend is 221,000 on NFPsThis is trend over past three months, with jobless down to 5.1% (best in 7 years)With 10 days to go, the Fed will move if the markets can stay above 1,800 It needs to keep above that until September 16 (-6% move from Fri&rsquo;s 1,921 close)Should be an action-packed week with China back in and central bank meetingsMeetings happening in New Zealand, Canada, Russia, Malaysia, UK, South Korea

The Macro Take: Ten days to Fed lift off but the market must hold

Asia Economist and CEO, Centennial Asia Advisors

Manu Bhaskaran

Asia Economist and CEO

Centennial Asia Advisors

At Centennial Asia Advisors, we tell it like it is. We have no vested interests, no need for a China wall, and no reason to skew our outlook any other way. With over 30 years experience covering Asia’s political economy, you can be sure our conclusions and analyses are based on the unadulterated facts. Through years of fine-tuning our research methodologies, we deliver a quality of macroeconomic analysis few other houses can match.

Centennial Asia Advisors is an independent research and advisory firm that works with governments, multilateral institutions, financial firms and leading MNCs.

Economic Policy and Strategic Advisors

Macroeconomics

<p><strong>Asian monetary policy outlook: results of our Taylor Rule-based model</strong></p><ul><li>China is behind the curve and needs to ease more aggressively.</li><li>The Philippines is behind the curve and needs to tighten.</li><li>India and Malaysia are ahead of the curve and need not hurry to ease in our view.</li><li>In general, an easing bias is likely in Asian monetary policy.</li></ul>

Asian monetary policy outlook: results of our Taylor Rule-based modelChina is behind the curve and needs to ease more aggressively.The Philippines is behind the curve and needs to tighten.India and Malaysia are ahead of the curve and need not hurry to ease in our view.In general, an easing bias is likely in Asian monetary policy.

United States

iShares MSCI Taiwan ETF is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in the USA. The ETF's objective seeks to provide investment results that correspond to the performance of the Taiwanese market, as measured by the MSCI Taiwan 25/50 Index.

iShares MSCI Taiwan ETF (EWT US)

The Macro Take: Ten days to Fed lift off but the market must hold

The Fed doves can coo all they want, but the trend is 221,000 on NFPs This is trend over past three months, with jobless down to 5.1% (best in 7...

Kay Van-Petersen

Asian Monetary Policy Outlook

Asian monetary policy outlook: results of our Taylor Rule-based model China is behind the curve and needs to ease more aggressively. The...

Manu Bhaskaran