Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

REAL-Economics.com

Macroeconomics

-The oil majors' favourite refining hub in ASEAN is Singapore, while the crude-oil/gas comes mainly from Indonesia, Malaysia and Brunei. Infusion of Saudi capital will help to partially redress that, although Saudi Arabia is only the 7th largest oil-refining country, and ARAMCO has moderate amounts of technological expertise (mainly from its ownership of S-Oil in Korea). -Malaysia and (especially) Indonesia have been wary of "Arabised" or Wahhabi Islam, and see Saudi offers to widen Arabic…

-The oil majors' favourite refining hub in ASEAN is Singapore, while the crude-oil/gas comes mainly from Indonesia, Malaysia and Brunei. Infusion of Saudi capital will help to partially redress that, although Saudi Arabia is only the 7th largest oil-refining country, and ARAMCO has moderate amounts of technological expertise (mainly from its ownership of S-Oil in Korea). -Malaysia and (especially) Indonesia have been wary of "Arabised" or Wahhabi Islam, and see Saudi offers to widen Arabic…

King Salman Bearing Gifts: Implications for ASEAN, Oil-Refining and Religion

Asia Economist and CEO, Centennial Asia Advisors

Manu Bhaskaran

Asia Economist and CEO

Centennial Asia Advisors

At Centennial Asia Advisors, we tell it like it is. We have no vested interests, no need for a China wall, and no reason to skew our outlook any other way. With over 30 years experience covering Asia’s political economy, you can be sure our conclusions and analyses are based on the unadulterated facts. Through years of fine-tuning our research methodologies, we deliver a quality of macroeconomic analysis few other houses can match.

Centennial Asia Advisors is an independent research and advisory firm that works with governments, multilateral institutions, financial firms and leading MNCs.

Economic Policy and Strategic Advisors

South China Sea: US and China remain the key despite ASEAN efforts<ul><li>
US blows hot and cold with China: Despite US Secretary of State Tillerson’s amicable conversation with China’s State Councillor Yang Jiechi when they re-affirmed the importance of a constructive US-China relationship, a US carrier group led by the aircraft carrier USS Carl Vinson began ‘routine operations’ in the South China Sea. This appears to be a sign that the Trump Administration might want to push back harder on China’s…</li></ul>

South China Sea: US and China remain the key despite ASEAN efforts
US blows hot and cold with China: Despite US Secretary of State Tillerson’s amicable conversation with China’s State Councillor Yang Jiechi when they re-affirmed the importance of a constructive US-China relationship, a US carrier group led by the aircraft carrier USS Carl Vinson began ‘routine operations’ in the South China Sea. This appears to be a sign that the Trump Administration might want to push back harder on China’s…

US and China Push Their Respective Envelopes

Economic integration in Asia-Pacific has been on the back foot ever since US President Donald Trump repudiated the painstakingly negotiated Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP). While there remains hope among some countries that the TPP might still take effect in modified form, this would prove to be a tall order without the participation of the US, the world’s largest economy.The Trans Pacific Partnership (TPP) – misplaced hopes for a TPP-liteThere has been considerable talk about changing President…

Economic integration in Asia-Pacific has been on the back foot ever since US President Donald Trump repudiated the painstakingly negotiated Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP). While there remains hope among some countries that the TPP might still take effect in modified form, this would prove to be a tall order without the participation of the US, the world’s largest economy.The Trans Pacific Partnership (TPP) – misplaced hopes for a TPP-liteThere has been considerable talk about changing President…

Asian Economic Integration Faces Headwinds

Asia Economic Research, Centennial Asia Advisors

Asees Bajaj

Asia Economic Research

<ul>
<li>
Surge in foreign investment (FDI) on the back of sound macroeconomic fundamentals: FDI into Philippines increased 59.4% y/y in Nov 16. The Duterte administration has been building on previous macroeconomic reforms, positioning the Philippines for another year of strong growth which should further encourage FDI inflows. However, unpredictability which is becoming a prominent characteristic of the Duterte administration will hurt investor confidence and hamper inflows.</li>
<li>
Recent mining sector…</li>
</ul>



Surge in foreign investment (FDI) on the back of sound macroeconomic fundamentals: FDI into Philippines increased 59.4% y/y in Nov 16. The Duterte administration has been building on previous macroeconomic reforms, positioning the Philippines for another year of strong growth which should further encourage FDI inflows. However, unpredictability which is becoming a prominent characteristic of the Duterte administration will hurt investor confidence and hamper inflows.

Recent mining sector…


Will Philippines Remain Attractive to Foreign Investors?

ASEAN (Indo) & China-focused. Ex-Deputy HoR UBS.

Johannes Salim, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The correlation between Emerging Markets Asia and US market has reversed to a positive coefficient YTD (a typical global bull market's sign).</li>
<li>Our chart of the day reveals that Indonesia (Indo) and Philippines are the least vulnerable to trade war risk.</li>
<li>We are bearish on China's macro fundamentals and concerned of looming intense trade negotiations with the US.</li>
</ul>As we have been watching CNBC's US market coverage (its TV show is called "Opening Bell") past two weeks, we can't help but think that there…


The correlation between Emerging Markets Asia and US market has reversed to a positive coefficient YTD (a typical global bull market's sign).
Our chart of the day reveals that Indonesia (Indo) and Philippines are the least vulnerable to trade war risk.
We are bearish on China's macro fundamentals and concerned of looming intense trade negotiations with the US.
As we have been watching CNBC's US market coverage (its TV show is called "Opening Bell") past two weeks, we can't help but think that there…

Asia Market Strategy: Will The Bulls Win in 2017 on The Back of Trumponomics?

United States

iShares MSCI Philippines ETF is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in the USA. The ETF seeks to track the performance of the MSCI Philippines Investable Market Index.

iShares MSCI Philippines (EPHE US)

King Salman Bearing Gifts: Implications for ASEAN, Oil-Refining and Religion

-The oil majors' favourite refining hub in ASEAN is Singapore, while the crude-oil/gas comes mainly from Indonesia, Malaysia and Brunei. Infusion...

Prasenjit K. Basu

US and China Push Their Respective Envelopes

South China Sea: US and China remain the key despite ASEAN efforts US blows hot and cold with China: Despite US Secretary of State Tillerson’s...

Manu Bhaskaran

Asian Economic Integration Faces Headwinds

Economic integration in Asia-Pacific has been on the back foot ever since US President Donald Trump repudiated the painstakingly negotiated...

Manu Bhaskaran

Will Philippines Remain Attractive to Foreign Investors?

Surge in foreign investment (FDI) on the back of sound macroeconomic fundamentals: FDI into Philippines increased 59.4% y/y in Nov 16. The...

Asees Bajaj

Asia Market Strategy: Will The Bulls Win in 2017 on The Back of Trumponomics?

The correlation between Emerging Markets Asia and US market has reversed to a positive coefficient YTD (a typical global bull market's sign). Our...

Johannes Salim, CFA