Founder, Riedel Research

David Riedel

Founder

Independent equity research on GEM Markets

Riedel Research

Riedel provides equity research and analysis to leading financial organizations. By becoming members of a region (Asia, Latin America, Emerging Europe or Global), organizations have access to an integrated set of services including:

Regular company coverage reports
Up-to-date investment decision advice (buy, hold, sell)
Monthly regional and global conference calls
Customized company reports and unlimited on-line access to the program's services.

Riedel provides research coverage of companies across the full range of market capitalization. Experienced research professionals in each market develop company reports and analysis as well as earnings models and projections. Ratings are Buy, Hold and Sell with a focus on compelling investment ideas - both long and short. Downloadable, dynamic earnings models are built to facilitate sensitivity analysis.

Please feel free to contact us for complimentary access to our written research.  We want to show you that our unique research flow can add value and help develop a long-term, high value-add relationship.

Riedel's model focuses on providing clients with unique insights and consulting in addition to unlimited access to all produced research This model allows members to receive exponential benefits for their retainer fees.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

India: Industrial production in April rose 4.9% y/y but inflation also accelerated to nearly 5%. Recent trends in economic growth have been strong with 1Q GDP growth of 7.7%. Turkey: Critical elections are just a week away. If the opposition wins watch for market strength and a significant shift towards central bank independence.  Brazil: Despite equity and currency weakness the economic fundamentals are actually getting better in Brazil.  We believe that Brazil is currently oversold given the…

India: Industrial production in April rose 4.9% y/y but inflation also accelerated to nearly 5%. Recent trends in economic growth have been strong with 1Q GDP growth of 7.7%. Turkey: Critical elections are just a week away. If the opposition wins watch for market strength and a significant shift towards central bank independence.  Brazil: Despite equity and currency weakness the economic fundamentals are actually getting better in Brazil.  We believe that Brazil is currently oversold given the…

Inflation Ticking Up Globally - Some Major EMs Are Oversold

Economist

Richard Iley

Macroeconomics

<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/042/744/original/Screen%20Shot%202018-01-23%20at%2011.34.29%20AM.png?1516669669" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="42744"></figure><div class="content-highlight">
Hot money is gushing into Brazilian equities at a torrid pace: <a href="http://www.kitco.com/news/2018-01-17/EMERGING-MARKETS-Brazil-stocks-rise-on-foreign-inflows-news-events.html" target="_blank">well over a $1 billion already this year</a>. The stock market is predictably soaring with the BOVESPA breaching 81,000 for the first time. It is almost as if that S&amp;P didn't downgrade Brazil again last week to three notches below investment grade and the country isn't teetering on the brink of yet another political crisis!
The proximate cause of S&amp;P downgrade was the continued failure of the Brazilian Congress to pass controversial…
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Hot money is gushing into Brazilian equities at a torrid pace: well over a $1 billion already this year. The stock market is predictably soaring with the BOVESPA breaching 81,000 for the first time. It is almost as if that S&amp;P didn't downgrade Brazil again last week to three notches below investment grade and the country isn't teetering on the brink of yet another political crisis!
The proximate cause of S&amp;P downgrade was the continued failure of the Brazilian Congress to pass controversial…


Multi-asset Macro/Emerging Markets Strategist

Virgil Fernandez Esguerra

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Executive summary: Our guide to this week’s global macro risk events and trading opportunities. 
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This week in trade ideas, we are tactically long S&amp;P volatility and short EUR-JPY. On a strategic basis, we are long German DAX and Malaysian equities, while short Brazilian stocks and US Treasuries.</li>
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Monday: Markets will begin the week digesting weekend events in Washington (government shutdown talks), Germany (SPD convention) and possibly Oman (OPEC-Russia meeting).</li>
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Tuesday brings the BOJ meeting and…</li>
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Executive summary: Our guide to this week’s global macro risk events and trading opportunities. 


This week in trade ideas, we are tactically long S&amp;P volatility and short EUR-JPY. On a strategic basis, we are long German DAX and Malaysian equities, while short Brazilian stocks and US Treasuries.

Monday: Markets will begin the week digesting weekend events in Washington (government shutdown talks), Germany (SPD convention) and possibly Oman (OPEC-Russia meeting).

Tuesday brings the BOJ meeting and…



Week Ahead in Global Macro: US Shutdown, Germany SPD, BOJ, ECB, Malaysia BNM, Brazil Lula in Court

The concept of Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa have enough in common to justify a grouping of such disparate countries, economies and societies is absurd.  BRICS is a useful fund management and investment marketing tool but not the building blocks to build a group with true international power.China hosted the BRICS summit in Xiamen this weekend and invited some additional countries to participate (including Mexico, Tajikistan and Thailand).  Despite their protestations that this…

The concept of Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa have enough in common to justify a grouping of such disparate countries, economies and societies is absurd.  BRICS is a useful fund management and investment marketing tool but not the building blocks to build a group with true international power.China hosted the BRICS summit in Xiamen this weekend and invited some additional countries to participate (including Mexico, Tajikistan and Thailand).  Despite their protestations that this…

BRICS Summit in China Promotes an Irrelevant and Ineffective Global Grouping - Riedel on CNBC

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI Emerging Markets / Technical Analysis

Increasing evidence of an EM top is mounting as we tie in seasonality, our cycle timeline work, overhead physical barriers, the dollar and our S&amp;P forecast. We have been reducing long exposure in our portfolio and starting to increase shorts in markets/assets we feel are vulnerable. Our game plan is to step up shorts (on near term strength and given key reversal signals) as all our matrix variables come together in coming weeks.EEM is knocking on our rally target at 44 with risk to 45 level…

Increasing evidence of an EM top is mounting as we tie in seasonality, our cycle timeline work, overhead physical barriers, the dollar and our S&amp;P forecast. We have been reducing long exposure in our portfolio and starting to increase shorts in markets/assets we feel are vulnerable. Our game plan is to step up shorts (on near term strength and given key reversal signals) as all our matrix variables come together in coming weeks.EEM is knocking on our rally target at 44 with risk to 45 level…

Brazil

iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF is an exchange-traded fund in the USA. The ETF's objective is to provide investment results that correspond to the performance of the MSCI Brazil 25/50 Index.

iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF (EWZ US)

Inflation Ticking Up Globally - Some Major EMs Are Oversold

India: Industrial production in April rose 4.9% y/y but inflation also accelerated to nearly 5%. Recent trends in economic growth have been strong...

David Riedel

Chart of the Day: Living In Lula Land

Hot money is gushing into Brazilian equities at a torrid pace: well over a $1 billion already this year. The stock market is predictably soaring...

Richard Iley

Week Ahead in Global Macro: US Shutdown, Germany SPD, BOJ, ECB, Malaysia BNM, Brazil Lula in Court

Executive summary: Our guide to this week’s global macro risk events and trading opportunities. This week in trade ideas, we are tactically...

Virgil Fernandez Esguerra

BRICS Summit in China Promotes an Irrelevant and Ineffective Global Grouping - Riedel on CNBC

The concept of Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa have enough in common to justify a grouping of such disparate countries, economies and...

David Riedel

Shorting the EEM Peak

Increasing evidence of an EM top is mounting as we tie in seasonality, our cycle timeline work, overhead physical barriers, the dollar and our...

Thomas Schroeder