Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Independent Insight Provider

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Aggressive foreclosure of Evergrande assets suggests a sea change in how mainland China is handling real estate company defaults – especially with foreign creditors; </li>
<li>Creditor China Cinda’s involvement on the seven-member risk management committee and the appointment of a Cinda senior executive is an alarming conflict of interest; and </li>
<li>4Q21 earnings season will be huge tell for mainland Chinese NPLs which likely peak at 20% of total loans.   </li>
</ul>


Aggressive foreclosure of Evergrande assets suggests a sea change in how mainland China is handling real estate company defaults – especially with foreign creditors; 
Creditor China Cinda’s involvement on the seven-member risk management committee and the appointment of a Cinda senior executive is an alarming conflict of interest; and 
4Q21 earnings season will be huge tell for mainland Chinese NPLs which likely peak at 20% of total loans.   


<ul>
<li>Evergrande’s seven-member risk management committee includes China Cinda, a major Evergrande creditor;    </li>
<li>Adding insult to injury, a China Cinda senior executive was appointed as an Evergrande director; and </li>
<li>This is massive conflict of interest coupled with the local municipality bonepickers give us little confidence that any creditor will be treated fairly. </li>
</ul>


Evergrande’s seven-member risk management committee includes China Cinda, a major Evergrande creditor;    
Adding insult to injury, a China Cinda senior executive was appointed as an Evergrande director; and 
This is massive conflict of interest coupled with the local municipality bonepickers give us little confidence that any creditor will be treated fairly. 


China Evergrande Group – Fox in Henhouse

<ul>
<li>Substantial disagreements over the video streamer DouYu International’s strategic direction, prompts ownership re-think at Tencent; </li>
<li>Tencent is allegedly privatizing Douyu near the bottom of the market; and </li>
<li>Unlike the JD.com move, this transaction maximizes shareholder value while getting into regulatory compliance. </li>
</ul>


Substantial disagreements over the video streamer DouYu International’s strategic direction, prompts ownership re-think at Tencent; 
Tencent is allegedly privatizing Douyu near the bottom of the market; and 
Unlike the JD.com move, this transaction maximizes shareholder value while getting into regulatory compliance. 


Tencent Holdings – Getting Its House In Order

<ul>
<li>Mainland Chinese municipalities and authorities continue to find numerous ways to bone pick the Evergrande carcass without compensation; </li>
<li>Evergrande’s offshore bondholders are now threatening legal enforcement of collateral over the company’s “opaque” debt restructuring process; and </li>
<li>Guangdong province is seeking to segregate Evergrande’s offshore assets in a fire sale to cover what they can of the company’s offshore debt. </li>
</ul>


Mainland Chinese municipalities and authorities continue to find numerous ways to bone pick the Evergrande carcass without compensation; 
Evergrande’s offshore bondholders are now threatening legal enforcement of collateral over the company’s “opaque” debt restructuring process; and 
Guangdong province is seeking to segregate Evergrande’s offshore assets in a fire sale to cover what they can of the company’s offshore debt. 


China Evergrande Group – Vultures Circling

<ul>
<li>
Axis Bank (AXSB.IN) [Axis] has become the frontrunner to purchase Citigroup’s (C.US) India [Citi India] consumer business; </li>
<li>The Citi India transaction would represent a negative adjusted net spread of 41 bp for Axis – intimating a negative return on investment of 1.0%; and </li>
<li>As many customers have hit the exit button, we have already witnessed Citi India's retail loan portfolio decline 6.7% YOY prior to FY 2022 COVID-19 protocols. </li>
</ul>



Axis Bank (AXSB.IN) [Axis] has become the frontrunner to purchase Citigroup’s (C.US) India [Citi India] consumer business; 
The Citi India transaction would represent a negative adjusted net spread of 41 bp for Axis – intimating a negative return on investment of 1.0%; and 
As many customers have hit the exit button, we have already witnessed Citi India's retail loan portfolio decline 6.7% YOY prior to FY 2022 COVID-19 protocols. 


China

iShares FTSE A50 China Index ETF is an exchanged-traded fund established in Hong Kong. The investment objective of the iShares FTSE A50 China Index ETF is to provide investment results that, before fees and expenses, closely correspond to the performance of A50 Index.

iShares FTSE/Xinhua A50 China (2823 HK)

China Evergrande Group – Tug of War

EVERGRANDE: Aggressive foreclosure of assets is a sea change in mainland China. 4Q21 earnings season will be huge tell for mainland Chinese NPLs...

Thomas J. Monaco

China Evergrande Group – Fox in Henhouse

EVERGRANDE: Evergrande’s risk management committee includes China Cinda, a major Evergrande creditor. This is massive conflict provides little...

Thomas J. Monaco

Tencent Holdings – Getting Its House In Order

TENCENT: Substantial disagreements over DouYu’s strategic direction, has caused a re-think at Tencent. Unlike the JD.com move, the Douyu move makes...

Thomas J. Monaco

China Evergrande Group – Vultures Circling

EVERGRANDE: Offshore bondholders are now threatening legal enforcement of collateral over the company’s “opaque” debt restructuring process, with...

Thomas J. Monaco

Axis Bank – Lost In The Citi

AXIS: Axis has become the frontrunner to purchase Citi India's consumer business. This deal would result in a negative ROI of 1.0% to Axis.

Thomas J. Monaco