Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<p>Investment administrator <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/praemium-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9360:1" rel="noopener">Praemium Ltd (PPS AU)</a> has rejected a <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02446233-3A580069?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">non-binding proposal</a> from key competitor <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netwealth-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25951:1" rel="noopener">Netwealth (NWL AU)</a>.</p>
<p>By way of a Scheme, Netwealth was offering 1 new NWL share for every 11.96 PPS shares, or an indicative Offer consideration of A$1.50, a 29% premium to last close, and a lifetime high.</p>
<p>PPS' board said the Proposal did not appropriately value Praemium’s current performance, near-term trajectory, growth momentum, and was not representative of recent transaction premia in the Australian platform and funds administration space.</p>
<p>This space is indeed hot. When PPS peer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/onevue-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24327:1" rel="noopener">Onevue Holdings (OVH AU)</a> was taken private in the middle of last year (as discussed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/janaghan-jeyakumar-cfa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:3173" rel="noopener">Janaghan Jeyakumar</a> in<em><a href="https://skr.ma/rGK8k" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> OneVue-Iress: Australian Deal Trading Wide</a></em>), the independent expert flagged (<a href="https://onevue.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/Scheme-Booklet_final.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">page 132</a>) 12 peers (including PPS and NWL). Of the remaining 10:</p>
<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/powerwrap-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30664:1" rel="noopener">Powerwrap Ltd (PWL AU)</a> was taken private (by PPS) last October;</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xplore-wealth-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12161:1" rel="noopener">xplore (XPL AU)</a> was taken private by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hub24-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12336:1" rel="noopener">Hub24 Ltd (HUB AU)</a> in <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02349028-2A1284538?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">March</a>;</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration Holdings (LNK AU)</a> was subject to Offers from SS&amp;C and Carlyle, but in May this year opted to go the IPO route for PEXA, the digital property settlement platform - <em><a href="https://skr.ma/CrBHo" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Link Admin (LNK AU) Goes IPO Route For PEXA Afterall</a>;</em>
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/iress-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15342:1" rel="noopener">Iress Ltd (IRE AU)</a> backed an Offer from EQT but the two were <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02422609-3A576043?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">unable to agree</a> to a transaction in September - <em><a href="https://skr.ma/Rm5oC" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Iress (IRE AU) Accepts EQT's Latest Proposal</a></em>;</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mainstream-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30611:1" rel="noopener">Mainstream Group Holdings Ltd (MAI AU)</a> was taken private by Apex last month  - <em><a href="https://skr.ma/fu9ej" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Mainstream (MAI AU): Apex on Top Again as Bidding War Continues....</a></em>; and</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hub24-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12336:1" rel="noopener">Hub24 Ltd (HUB AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/class-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24287:1" rel="noopener">Class Ltd (CL1 AU)</a> entered into a Scheme Implementation Deed last month - <em><a href="https://skr.ma/odCXE" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Class - Hub24: Scheme Trading Wide</a></em>.</li>
</ul>
<p>Given the above, you can build an understanding why PPS would hold out for a superior Offer.</p>
<p>More below the fold.</p>

Investment administrator Praemium Ltd (PPS AU) has rejected a non-binding proposal from key competitor Netwealth (NWL AU).
By way of a Scheme, Netwealth was offering 1 new NWL share for every 11.96 PPS shares, or an indicative Offer consideration of A$1.50, a 29% premium to last close, and a lifetime high.
PPS' board said the Proposal did not appropriately value Praemium’s current performance, near-term trajectory, growth momentum, and was not representative of recent transaction premia in the Australian platform and funds administration space.
This space is indeed hot. When PPS peer Onevue Holdings (OVH AU) was taken private in the middle of last year (as discussed by Janaghan Jeyakumar in OneVue-Iress: Australian Deal Trading Wide), the independent expert flagged (page 132) 12 peers (including PPS and NWL). Of the remaining 10:


Powerwrap Ltd (PWL AU) was taken private (by PPS) last October;

xplore (XPL AU) was taken private by Hub24 Ltd (HUB AU) in March;

Link Administration Holdings (LNK AU) was subject to Offers from SS&amp;C and Carlyle, but in May this year opted to go the IPO route for PEXA, the digital property settlement platform - Link Admin (LNK AU) Goes IPO Route For PEXA Afterall;


Iress Ltd (IRE AU) backed an Offer from EQT but the two were unable to agree to a transaction in September - Iress (IRE AU) Accepts EQT's Latest Proposal;

Mainstream Group Holdings Ltd (MAI AU) was taken private by Apex last month  - Mainstream (MAI AU): Apex on Top Again as Bidding War Continues....; and

Hub24 Ltd (HUB AU) and Class Ltd (CL1 AU) entered into a Scheme Implementation Deed last month - Class - Hub24: Scheme Trading Wide.

Given the above, you can build an understanding why PPS would hold out for a superior Offer.
More below the fold.

Praemium (PPS AU) Spurns Netwealth's (NWL AU) Proposal

Over the Wire Holdings Ltd / Event-Driven

<div>
<p>There have been numerous take-private transactions for listed-Aussie IT service companies in recent years, some of which have been discussed on Smartkarma. These include...</p>
<ul>
<li>the November 2015 <a href="https://www.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20151125/pdf/4338cczfxtqgs3.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Scheme</a> for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uxc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:965:1" rel="noopener">UXC Ltd (UXC AU)</a>;</li>
<li>the September 2016 <a href="https://www.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20161102/pdf/43clwcp6rxzv35.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Scheme</a> for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asg-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7590:1" rel="noopener">ASG Group Ltd (ASZ AU)</a>;</li>
<li>the October 2019 <a href="https://www.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20191218/pdf/44cpl5rwnq34zq.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Scheme</a> for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csg-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12317:1" rel="noopener">CSG Ltd (CSV AU)</a>;</li>
<li>the <a href="https://www.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20201030/pdf/44pcdfqrs4wzm0.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">September 2020</a> Scheme for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dws-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10622:1" rel="noopener">DWS Ltd (DWS AU)</a>, discussed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/janaghan-jeyakumar-cfa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:3173" rel="noopener">Janaghan Jeyakumar</a> in <a href="https://skr.ma/kJomK" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> <em>HCL-DWS(DWS AU): Cash Deal Trading Wide</em></a>;</li>
<li>the September 2020 <a href="https://www.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20201030/pdf/44pc22zh1mh1f4.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Scheme</a> for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/citadel-group-ltd-the" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14087:1" rel="noopener">Citadel Group (CGL AU)</a>, discussed in <em><a href="https://skr.ma/i6V5x" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Citadel Group: Private Equity Partners' Offer</a></em>;</li>
<li>Capgemini's November 2020 <a href="https://assets-global.website-files.com/5eb3a33204ebab1ecd0b72c9/60176e3f9a311b7f4cb909f6_Scheme%20Booklet%20-%20RXP%20Group%20ASX.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Scheme</a> for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rxp-services-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15047:1" rel="noopener">RXP Services (RXP AU)</a>, and its follow up Scheme in July this year for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/empired-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9406:1" rel="noopener">Empired Ltd (EPD AU)</a> (<em><a href="https://skr.ma/YWsn3" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Empired (EPD AU): Capgemini's Full Offer</a></em>)); and</li>
<li>Norway's Crayon Group Holdings' July 2021 <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02418756-3A575319?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Scheme</a> for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rhipe-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19128:1" rel="noopener">rhipe Ltd (RHP AU)</a> - see <em><a href="https://skr.ma/9ysNF" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Rhipe (RHP AU): Done Deal As Scheme Booklet Dispatched</a></em>.    </li>
</ul>
<div class="content-highlight">
<p>When <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bulletproof-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3324:1" rel="noopener">Bulletproof (BPF AU)</a>, an IT play, was taken private in 2018, the independent expert cited <a href="https://www.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20180410/pdf/43t32h54tfrk38.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">10 peers</a> (page 28). Five of those peers have been taken private.</p>
<p>Now we have a proposal for the sixth. </p>
</div>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aussie-broadband-pty-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30812:1" rel="noopener">Aussie Broadband Pty Ltd (ABB AU)</a> has <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02439848-2A1332945?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">offered</a> to acquire Brisbane-based telecommunications and IT solutions provider <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/over-the-wire-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30653:1" rel="noopener">Over the Wire Holdings Ltd (OTW AU)</a> by way of a Scheme at $5.75/share.</p>
<p>This is an unsolicited and non-binding proposal. Via a process deed filed on 16 October, OTW said it has granted Aussie Broadband to undertake due diligence and negotiate transaction documentation. That process period ends on the 30 November.</p>
<p>More below the fold.</p>
</div>
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There have been numerous take-private transactions for listed-Aussie IT service companies in recent years, some of which have been discussed on Smartkarma. These include...

the November 2015 Scheme for UXC Ltd (UXC AU);
the September 2016 Scheme for ASG Group Ltd (ASZ AU);
the October 2019 Scheme for CSG Ltd (CSV AU);
the September 2020 Scheme for DWS Ltd (DWS AU), discussed by Janaghan Jeyakumar in  HCL-DWS(DWS AU): Cash Deal Trading Wide;
the September 2020 Scheme for Citadel Group (CGL AU), discussed in Citadel Group: Private Equity Partners' Offer;
Capgemini's November 2020 Scheme for RXP Services (RXP AU), and its follow up Scheme in July this year for Empired Ltd (EPD AU) (Empired (EPD AU): Capgemini's Full Offer)); and
Norway's Crayon Group Holdings' July 2021 Scheme for rhipe Ltd (RHP AU) - see Rhipe (RHP AU): Done Deal As Scheme Booklet Dispatched.    


When Bulletproof (BPF AU), an IT play, was taken private in 2018, the independent expert cited 10 peers (page 28). Five of those peers have been taken private.
Now we have a proposal for the sixth. 

Aussie Broadband Pty Ltd (ABB AU) has offered to acquire Brisbane-based telecommunications and IT solutions provider Over the Wire Holdings Ltd (OTW AU) by way of a Scheme at $5.75/share.
This is an unsolicited and non-binding proposal. Via a process deed filed on 16 October, OTW said it has granted Aussie Broadband to undertake due diligence and negotiate transaction documentation. That process period ends on the 30 November.
More below the fold.










Over The Wire (OTW AU): The Latest Aussie IT Play

<p>M&amp;A deals in the Aussie energy space continue.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-international-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5954:1" rel="noopener">Posco International Corporation (047050 KS)</a>, the trading arm of South Korea's mega-steel play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:208:1" rel="noopener">Posco (005490 KS)</a>, has been granted exclusive due diligence through to 5 November to bump its indicative Offer of A$4.40/share for natural gas producer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/senex-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18390:1" rel="noopener">Senex Energy (SXY AU)</a>. </p>
<p>PIC first approached Senex on the 2 September with a A$4.00/share Offer, then A$4.20 on the 27 August, before submitting an indicative proposal of A$4.40/share on the 2 September, which is a 40% premium to the 30-day VWAP on that day. </p>
<p>PIC was granted due diligence on the 15 September. The DD extension is to provide PIC with additional time to assess a further revised proposal at a higher price.</p>
<p>Should a firm Offer transpire, it will be done via an off-market takeover with a 50.1% minimum acceptance condition. FIRB approval would also be a condition. </p>
<p>Senex is open to other offers:</p>
<blockquote>
<p>The Senex Board believes it is in the best interests of its shareholders to continue to engage with POSCO International and will assess any proposal received on its merits</p>
</blockquote>
<p>The proposal follows ongoing deals for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oil-search-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:773:1" rel="noopener">Oil Search Ltd (OSH AU)</a> (<em><a href="https://skr.ma/jxkVJ" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Oil Search/Santos: PNG a Potential Party Pooper</a></em> ) and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/woodside-petroleum-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:177:1" rel="noopener">Woodside Petroleum (WPL AU)</a> tilt for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP Group (BHP AU)</a> O&amp;G ops (<em><a href="https://skr.ma/wsrxa" target="_blank" rel="noopener">If Woodside Buys BHP Petroleum for Scrip, There Will Be Flowback</a></em>). </p>
<p>More below the fold.</p>

M&amp;A deals in the Aussie energy space continue.
Posco International Corporation (047050 KS), the trading arm of South Korea's mega-steel play Posco (005490 KS), has been granted exclusive due diligence through to 5 November to bump its indicative Offer of A$4.40/share for natural gas producer Senex Energy (SXY AU). 
PIC first approached Senex on the 2 September with a A$4.00/share Offer, then A$4.20 on the 27 August, before submitting an indicative proposal of A$4.40/share on the 2 September, which is a 40% premium to the 30-day VWAP on that day. 
PIC was granted due diligence on the 15 September. The DD extension is to provide PIC with additional time to assess a further revised proposal at a higher price.
Should a firm Offer transpire, it will be done via an off-market takeover with a 50.1% minimum acceptance condition. FIRB approval would also be a condition. 
Senex is open to other offers:

The Senex Board believes it is in the best interests of its shareholders to continue to engage with POSCO International and will assess any proposal received on its merits

The proposal follows ongoing deals for Oil Search Ltd (OSH AU) (Oil Search/Santos: PNG a Potential Party Pooper ) and Woodside Petroleum (WPL AU) tilt for BHP Group (BHP AU) O&amp;G ops (If Woodside Buys BHP Petroleum for Scrip, There Will Be Flowback). 
More below the fold.

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smartgroup-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19954:1" rel="noopener">Smartgroup Corp (SIQ AU)</a>, a provider of employee management services, has <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02427457-2A1326453?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> an Indicative Offer by way of a Scheme from TPG Global and Australia-based Potential Capital, with superannuation fund Aware Super joining as a co-investor.</p>
<p>The consortium is Offering A$10.35/share, a 31.7% premium to the undisturbed price. </p>
<p>SIQ's board has backed the proposal and granted the consortium four weeks of exclusive due diligence.</p>
<p>This appears a full Offer. But as it remains non-binding, expect shares to trade wide to terms in the absence of a competing proposal.</p>
<p>More below the fold. </p>

Smartgroup Corp (SIQ AU), a provider of employee management services, has announced an Indicative Offer by way of a Scheme from TPG Global and Australia-based Potential Capital, with superannuation fund Aware Super joining as a co-investor.
The consortium is Offering A$10.35/share, a 31.7% premium to the undisturbed price. 
SIQ's board has backed the proposal and granted the consortium four weeks of exclusive due diligence.
This appears a full Offer. But as it remains non-binding, expect shares to trade wide to terms in the absence of a competing proposal.
More below the fold. 

Smartgroup (SIQ AU): Indicative Offer From TPG/Potential Capital/Aware Super

Nature Home Holding Company / Event-Driven

<div>
<p>Back on the 27 July, wood flooring manufacturer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nature-home-holding-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20543:1" rel="noopener">Nature Home Holding Company (2083 HK)</a> <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2021/0727/2021072701813.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> an Offer from its founding shareholders, by way of a Scheme, at HK$1.70/share. The Offer Price will not be increased. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dehua-tb-new-decoration-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4444:1" rel="noopener">Dehua Tb New Decoration A (002043 CH)</a> has given an irrevocable rollover undertaking for its 19.6% stake. </p>
</div>
<div>
<p>The Scheme Document was <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2021/0913/2021091301428.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">despatched</a> on the 14 September with the Court Meeting scheduled for the 6 October. Provided all resolutions pass, cheques are expected to be despatched on or before the 26 October.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p>The Offer looked done and the gross/annualised spread tightened into 2%/26.5% on the 19 September.</p>
<p>Then the wheels fell off, with the gross spread widening out to 38% as I type, and trading well below the undisturbed price.</p>
<p>Nature Homes had previously flagged concerns with outstanding trade receivables with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-evergrande-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:479:1" rel="noopener">Evergrande Real Estate Group (3333 HK)</a>, and potentially the ubiquitous negative news surrounding China's second-largest developer is having a knock-on-affect. Plus there are a number of other factors at work that <em>could</em> be bucketed under buyer's remorse.</p>
<p>But the Offeror &amp; concert parties cannot simply walk away from this deal. Not without breaching the Takeover's Code. And which shareholder will <em>not</em> vote this through given where it is trading? </p>
</div>
<div>
<p>More below the fold.</p>
</div>


Back on the 27 July, wood flooring manufacturer Nature Home Holding Company (2083 HK) announced an Offer from its founding shareholders, by way of a Scheme, at HK$1.70/share. The Offer Price will not be increased. Dehua Tb New Decoration A (002043 CH) has given an irrevocable rollover undertaking for its 19.6% stake. 


The Scheme Document was despatched on the 14 September with the Court Meeting scheduled for the 6 October. Provided all resolutions pass, cheques are expected to be despatched on or before the 26 October.


The Offer looked done and the gross/annualised spread tightened into 2%/26.5% on the 19 September.
Then the wheels fell off, with the gross spread widening out to 38% as I type, and trading well below the undisturbed price.
Nature Homes had previously flagged concerns with outstanding trade receivables with Evergrande Real Estate Group (3333 HK), and potentially the ubiquitous negative news surrounding China's second-largest developer is having a knock-on-affect. Plus there are a number of other factors at work that could be bucketed under buyer's remorse.
But the Offeror &amp; concert parties cannot simply walk away from this deal. Not without breaching the Takeover's Code. And which shareholder will not vote this through given where it is trading? 


More below the fold.


Nature Home (2083 HK): Risk Aversity Sees Spread Blow Out

Australia

Iress Limited provides real-time information services to businesses that specialize in the equity, equity options and future information markets in Australia and New Zealand. The Group supplies a range of pricing data, charting, news and equity and equity derivatives and also offers real-time trading tools, including a domestic order routing product and financial

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Iress Ltd (IRE AU)

Praemium (PPS AU) Spurns Netwealth's (NWL AU) Proposal

Currently trading 2.8% through terms. Apart from the premium to last close, the proposal for Praemium appears full. Yet this sector is very much...

David Blennerhassett

Over The Wire (OTW AU): The Latest Aussie IT Play

Given DD has been afforded, $5.75/share is probably approaching full value Currently trading at a gross spread of 4.5%. That looks a tad tight,...

David Blennerhassett

Senex (SXY AU): Posco's Looming Offer

Given DD has been afforded, $4.40/share is approaching full value Currently trading just below terms. I think $4.60/share will garner board...

David Blennerhassett

Smartgroup (SIQ AU): Indicative Offer From TPG/Potential Capital/Aware Super

Trading at 10.8%/28.4% gross/annualised spread, assuming five months to complete. That appears attractive. A competing bidder cannot be ruled out,...

David Blennerhassett

Nature Home (2083 HK): Risk Aversity Sees Spread Blow Out

Given HK events have been a bloodbath this year, I thought this may trade wide. But not this wide. If you have the risk appetite, then get involved...

David Blennerhassett

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