Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Bursa stocks as of Jun 20th. The aggregated short interest is USD362m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Sime Darby, Dialog, Top Glove, Ytl.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Bursa stocks as of Jun 20th. The aggregated short interest is USD362m.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Sime Darby, Dialog, Top Glove, Ytl.


Bursa Short Interest Weekly (Jun 20th): Sime Darby, Dialog, Top Glove, Ytl

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Public Investment Bank Bhd

Public Investment Bank Bhd

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Public Investment Bank Berhad provides investment banking services. The Company offers corporate finance, banking, securities financing, capital market, treasury, and advisory services.

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Malaysia’s palm oil inventory ended 2024 with a low inventory level at 1.7m mt as exports recorded robust growth while production growth moderated.</li><li>It is also the lowest level since 2021. The full-year CPO price averaged at RM4,250/mt compared to 2023’s RM3,832/mt and it was also slightly higher than our forecast of RM4,100/mt.</li><li>Meanwhile, the CPO price had a short-lived run-up in recent months as it reached a high of RM5,181/mt before retreating to the current level of RM4,632/mt. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Malaysia’s palm oil inventory ended 2024 with a low inventory level at 1.7m mt as exports recorded robust growth while production growth moderated.It is also the lowest level since 2021. The full-year CPO price averaged at RM4,250/mt compared to 2023’s RM3,832/mt and it was also slightly higher than our forecast of RM4,100/mt.Meanwhile, the CPO price had a short-lived run-up in recent months as it reached a high of RM5,181/mt before retreating to the current level of RM4,632/mt. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

PLANTATIONS - Ending the Year at Low Inventory Level

Independent Analyst

Niklas Olausson

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The El Nino is progressing, albeit slowly, in a volatile fashion. There is no significant impact yet on Southeast Asia's oil palm areas although YTD, rainfall is already lower YoY. </li>
<li>For edible oils, heat waves and drought continue to underpin elevated yield risks, with current focus on soybeans (U.S. and China), rapeseed (Canada) and olive oil (the Mediterranean.) </li>
<li>The Plantation sector and CPO price have gained some traction, but it is early days. Maintain a bullish stance. Report contains new data on earnings mixes, maturity profiles and yields.   </li>
</ul>


The El Nino is progressing, albeit slowly, in a volatile fashion. There is no significant impact yet on Southeast Asia's oil palm areas although YTD, rainfall is already lower YoY. 
For edible oils, heat waves and drought continue to underpin elevated yield risks, with current focus on soybeans (U.S. and China), rapeseed (Canada) and olive oil (the Mediterranean.) 
The Plantation sector and CPO price have gained some traction, but it is early days. Maintain a bullish stance. Report contains new data on earnings mixes, maturity profiles and yields.   


Southeast Asia Plantations: Where Things Stand with the Weather, Still Bullish

Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bumitama-agri-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7757:1" rel="noopener">Bumitama Agri (BAL SP)</a> is a pure-play CPO play on SGX which like the rest of its peers has lagged the price of CPO by a mile.</li>
<li>What could be the catalyst to change this? We preview FY21 results which will be announced on 28th February and its dividend outlook going into FY22.</li>
<li>BAL should take a page from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geo-energy-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8717:1" rel="noopener">Geo Energy Resources (GERL SP)</a> playbook and start to pay out aggressive bi-annual dividends to get Mr. Market's attention.</li>
</ul>



Bumitama Agri (BAL SP) is a pure-play CPO play on SGX which like the rest of its peers has lagged the price of CPO by a mile.
What could be the catalyst to change this? We preview FY21 results which will be announced on 28th February and its dividend outlook going into FY22.
BAL should take a page from the Geo Energy Resources (GERL SP) playbook and start to pay out aggressive bi-annual dividends to get Mr. Market's attention.


Bumitama Agri: Lagging CPO Price Action; Large Special Dividend Possible at FY21 Results Briefing

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), TA Securities Holdings Berhad

TA Securities Holdings Bhd

<div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Malaysia

IOI Corporation Berhad cultivates and processes oil palm and rubber.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, operates in property development and investment, provides landscape services, and sells ornamental plants and turfing grass. IOI Corporation also manufactures industrial and medical gases, and provides building, engineering, and construction services.

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IOI Corp Bhd (IOI MK)

Bursa Short Interest Weekly (Jun 20th): Sime Darby, Dialog, Top Glove, Ytl

We analyzed Bursa Malaysia short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Sime Darby, Dialog, Top Glove, Ytl.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

PLANTATIONS - Ending the Year at Low Inventory Level

Malaysia’s palm oil inventory ended 2024 with a low inventory level at 1.7m mt as exports recorded robust growth while production growth moderated.

Public Investment Bank Bhd

Southeast Asia Plantations: Where Things Stand with the Weather, Still Bullish

The El Nino is progressing slowly, but for edible oils, heat waves around the world continue to elevate near-term yield risks. Maintain bullish...

Niklas Olausson

Bumitama Agri: Lagging CPO Price Action; Large Special Dividend Possible at FY21 Results Briefing

Bumitama Agri will celebrate its 10 year listing anniversary in 2022. This opens the door for special dividends as high CPO prices and unhedged...

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Strong CPO price Offset Weakness in FFB

Buy Ioi Corporation Berhad: Strong CPO price Offset Weakness in FFB. - By: TA Securities Holdings Bhd

TA Securities Holdings Bhd

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