Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 9 August, PE outfit TPG and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/invocare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9044:1" rel="noopener">InvoCare (IVC AU)</a>, Australia's leading funeral services provider, entered into a Scheme Implementation Agreement at A$12.70/share, inclusive of a A$0.60/share fully franked dividend.</li>
<li>TPG's had previously tabled A$12.65/share on the 7 March, which  InvoCare summarily rejected.</li>
<li>
The Scheme Booklet is now out. InvoCare shareholders vote on the transaction on the 31 October, with implementation on the 24 November. The IE says terms are "fair and reasonable".</li>
</ul>


On 9 August, PE outfit TPG and InvoCare (IVC AU), Australia's leading funeral services provider, entered into a Scheme Implementation Agreement at A$12.70/share, inclusive of a A$0.60/share fully franked dividend.
TPG's had previously tabled A$12.65/share on the 7 March, which  InvoCare summarily rejected.

The Scheme Booklet is now out. InvoCare shareholders vote on the transaction on the 31 October, with implementation on the 24 November. The IE says terms are "fair and reasonable".


InvoCare: Shareholder Vote On 31st Oct. IE Says Fair

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Nov 3rd (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD18.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Wisetech Global, BHP, Rio Tinto, Wesfarmers, Whitehaven Coal, Northern Star Re, Invocare.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Nov 3rd (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD18.5bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Wisetech Global, BHP, Rio Tinto, Wesfarmers, Whitehaven Coal, Northern Star Re, Invocare.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 3rd): Wisetech Global, BHP, Rio Tinto, Wesfarmers, Whitehaven Coal

<ul>
<li>If you are still long the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hokuhoku-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19006:1" rel="noopener">Financial Group (8377 JP)</a> from before, stay long.If you sold Hokuhoku from before, be long again, and buy on weakness</li>
<li>Disaster for arb players as AusSuper rewrites the record books as an investor class and shoots down Brookfield's sweetened Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/origin-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:797:1" rel="noopener">Origin Energy (ORG AU)</a>.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kyocera-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:753:1" rel="noopener">Kyocera (6971 JP)</a> announced Q2 results and lowered its full-year forecast. Then the CEO said it was "reconsidering" what to do with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kddi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:639:1" rel="noopener">KDDI (9433 JP)</a> shares (after an AGM disaster).</li>
</ul>


If you are still long the Financial Group (8377 JP) from before, stay long.If you sold Hokuhoku from before, be long again, and buy on weakness
Disaster for arb players as AusSuper rewrites the record books as an investor class and shoots down Brookfield's sweetened Offer for Origin Energy (ORG AU).

Kyocera (6971 JP) announced Q2 results and lowered its full-year forecast. Then the CEO said it was "reconsidering" what to do with KDDI (9433 JP) shares (after an AGM disaster).


Last Week in Event SPACE: Hokuhoku, Origin Energy, KDDI, BoJ

<ul>
<li>I tally 40 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Two new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhaojin-mining-industry-company-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4626:1" rel="noopener">Zhaojin Mining Industry H (1818 HK)</a>'s tilt for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tietto-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28006:1" rel="noopener">Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU)</a>; and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/teraoka-seisakusho-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18180:1" rel="noopener">Teraoka Seisakusho (4987 JP)</a>'s MBO.</li>
<li>Key updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/symbio-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20292:1" rel="noopener">Symbio Holdings (SYM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lansen-pharmaceutical-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10835:1" rel="noopener">Lansen Pharmaceutical Holdings Co, Ltd. (503 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-healthcare-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23641:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Healthcare (091990 KS)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">EOFlow (294090 KS)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 40 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Two new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week: Zhaojin Mining Industry H (1818 HK)'s tilt for Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU); and Teraoka Seisakusho (4987 JP)'s MBO.
Key updates took place for: Symbio Holdings (SYM AU), Lansen Pharmaceutical Holdings Co, Ltd. (503 HK), Celltrion Healthcare (091990 KS), and EOFlow (294090 KS).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Tietto Teraoka Seisakusho, Symbio, Celltrion Health, EOFlow

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There were a bunch of indices where the review period ended last week. The changes will be announced this month and implemented in December.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emerald-resources-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17495:1" rel="noopener">Emerald Resources Nl (EMR AU)</a> replaced <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/invocare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9044:1" rel="noopener">Invocare Ltd (IVC AU)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> at the close on Friday.</li>
<li>There were large outflows from mainland China listed ETFs during the week. Outflows from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-emerging-markets" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:438:1" rel="noopener">iShares Emerging Markets (EEM US)</a> continued for another week.</li>
</ul>


There were a bunch of indices where the review period ended last week. The changes will be announced this month and implemented in December.

Emerald Resources Nl (EMR AU) replaced Invocare Ltd (IVC AU) in the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) at the close on Friday.
There were large outflows from mainland China listed ETFs during the week. Outflows from iShares Emerging Markets (EEM US) continued for another week.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NEXT50, SET50, L&F, Onewo, Celltrion, AMFI

Australia

InvoCare Limited owns and operates funeral homes, cemeteries and crematoriums in Australia. The Company's activities include the provision of funerals, burials and cremations through it's funeral home brands including Blackwell, Guardian, George Hartnett, Le Pine, Purslowe, Simplicity Funerals and White Lady Funerals.

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Invocare Ltd (IVC AU)

InvoCare: Shareholder Vote On 31st Oct. IE Says Fair

Trading tight at a 1%/5.9% gross/annualised spread. Or 2.9%/19.3% for those who can take full advantage of the franking credits. Stay in for those...

David Blennerhassett

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 3rd): Wisetech Global, BHP, Rio Tinto, Wesfarmers, Whitehaven Coal

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Wisetech Global, BHP, Rio Tinto, Wesfarmers,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Last Week in Event SPACE: Hokuhoku, Origin Energy, KDDI, BoJ

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Tietto Teraoka Seisakusho, Symbio, Celltrion Health, EOFlow

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NEXT50, SET50, L&F, Onewo, Celltrion, AMFI

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

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