Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>We highlighted, analyzed and traded the Manufacturing bottom during the early parts of July during our Business Cycle Week, which proved to be a very well-timed rotational call.</li>
<li>The spread between Manufacturing and Services is highly cyclical and driven largely by relative changes in the cost and input structure of companies.</li>
<li>Our thesis is currently that the shift in input cost structures will start to favour Manufacturing over Services in coming quarters, also as goods prices have started to come down, making them relatively cheaper to services from a consumption standpoint.</li>
</ul>


We highlighted, analyzed and traded the Manufacturing bottom during the early parts of July during our Business Cycle Week, which proved to be a very well-timed rotational call.
The spread between Manufacturing and Services is highly cyclical and driven largely by relative changes in the cost and input structure of companies.
Our thesis is currently that the shift in input cost structures will start to favour Manufacturing over Services in coming quarters, also as goods prices have started to come down, making them relatively cheaper to services from a consumption standpoint.


Services Week: Will Services Now Turn into the Weakest Link of the Economy?

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Financial Select Sector SPDR F / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Fitch's U.S. credit downgrade has done little to change the intermediate-term trend; we continue to believe the path of least resistance is higher for the major equity indexes.</li>
<li>We remain bullish on the S&amp;P 500, and we expect to see support at its 50-day MA moving forward (currently 4415).</li>
<li>Short term supports we are watching include 4460-4475 on the S&amp;P 500, $371.50 on the $QQQ, and $190-193 on the $IWM.</li>
</ul>


Fitch's U.S. credit downgrade has done little to change the intermediate-term trend; we continue to believe the path of least resistance is higher for the major equity indexes.
We remain bullish on the S&amp;P 500, and we expect to see support at its 50-day MA moving forward (currently 4415).
Short term supports we are watching include 4460-4475 on the S&amp;P 500, $371.50 on the $QQQ, and $190-193 on the $IWM.


Upgrading Financials to Market Weight; Shift to Value Continues. Buys in Energy, Financials, Mfg.

Head of Research, Steno Research

Emil Moller

Head of Research

<ul><li>As always, we are here to take you through the relevant positioning data that we have gathered throughout the week.</li><li>This week marked the first brutal decline in markets after a prolonged period of continuous rally, triggered by the BoJ decision.</li><li>The sudden pullback in UST duration has had a spill-over effect on all markets.</li></ul>

As always, we are here to take you through the relevant positioning data that we have gathered throughout the week.This week marked the first brutal decline in markets after a prolonged period of continuous rally, triggered by the BoJ decision.The sudden pullback in UST duration has had a spill-over effect on all markets.

Research Firm with a Qualitative Overlay, Pearl Gray Equity and Research

Pearl Gray Equity and Research

Research Firm with a Qualitative Overlay

Quantitative fund & research firm with a qualitative overlay. 

Our coverage: General U.S. with a skew towards the primary sector. 

Methods: Smart Beta/Factor Pricing, Neural Networks, Street Gossip, and Common Sense.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The SPDR® S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust is primed to receive support from lower implied risk premiums amid an interest rate slowdown from the Federal Reserve.</li>
<li>However, a broad-based analysis suggests that the S&amp;R 500 and the SPDR S &amp;P 500ETF Trust are potentially undervalued.</li>
<li>The S&amp;P 500's (SP500) year-to-date surge might have surprised many, as the talk of the town at the turn of the year was geared toward a sustained market drawdown until an interest rate pivot occurred.</li>
</ul>


The SPDR® S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust is primed to receive support from lower implied risk premiums amid an interest rate slowdown from the Federal Reserve.
However, a broad-based analysis suggests that the S&amp;R 500 and the SPDR S &amp;P 500ETF Trust are potentially undervalued.
The S&amp;P 500's (SP500) year-to-date surge might have surprised many, as the talk of the town at the turn of the year was geared toward a sustained market drawdown until an interest rate pivot occurred.


Independent Investment Research & Investor, Maverick Equity Research

Maverick Equity Research

Independent Investment Research & Investor

Independent Investment Research & Investor: value, dividend and growth stocks. Risk management & hedging for an all weather portfolio.

Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>First of all, let’s see how the Nasdaq-100 (QQQ) did in 2023 along with the S&amp;P 500 (SPY) and the Dow Jones (DIA): QQQ with a big 21.64% return in 2023 &amp; outperforming by a big margin the other 2 main indices.</li><li>For an even broader perspective, US indices 2023 performance shown in this order: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) &gt; S&amp;P 500 (SPX) &gt; S&amp;P Midcap 400 MID &gt; Russel 2000 (RTY) &gt; Russell Microcap (RMICRO).</li><li><p>In short, from Megacaps &gt; to Microcaps: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) leading by a big margin.</p></li></ul>

First of all, let’s see how the Nasdaq-100 (QQQ) did in 2023 along with the S&amp;P 500 (SPY) and the Dow Jones (DIA): QQQ with a big 21.64% return in 2023 &amp; outperforming by a big margin the other 2 main indices.For an even broader perspective, US indices 2023 performance shown in this order: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) &gt; S&amp;P 500 (SPX) &gt; S&amp;P Midcap 400 MID &gt; Russel 2000 (RTY) &gt; Russell Microcap (RMICRO).In short, from Megacaps &gt; to Microcaps: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) leading by a big margin.

Getting Tactical with Nasdaq-100 NDX ($QQQ): Valuation Disconnected Via Its Cost of Capital

United States

Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in the USA. The ETF tracks the Nasdaq 100 Index includes 100 of the largest non-financial companies by market cap listed on Nasdaq. The Index reflects companies across major industry groups including computer hardware and software, telecommunications, retail/wholesale trade and biotechnology.

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Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (QQQ US)

Services Week: Will Services Now Turn into the Weakest Link of the Economy?

We highlighted, analyzed and traded the Manufacturing bottom during the early parts of July during our Business Cycle Week, which proved to be a...

Steno Research

Upgrading Financials to Market Weight; Shift to Value Continues. Buys in Energy, Financials, Mfg.

Upgrading Financials $XLF to Market Weight; The Shift to Value Continues. Short term supports we are watching include 4460-4475 on the $SPX,...

Vermilion Research

Positioning Watch: From Japan with Love

As always, we are here to take you through the relevant positioning data that we have gathered throughout the week. This week marked the first...

Steno Research

SPY: Moderate Gains In Store?

The SPDR® S&P 500 ETF Trust is primed to receive support from lower implied risk premiums amid an interest rate slowdown from the Federal Reserve.

Pearl Gray Equity and Research

Getting Tactical with Nasdaq-100 NDX ($QQQ): Valuation Disconnected Via Its Cost of Capital

Gap opened up possibilities: Hedge, Sell, Trim, Short Sell, Collar. First of all, let’s see how the Nasdaq-100 (QQQ) did in 2023 along with the S&P...

Maverick Equity Research

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