Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Last week we noted some deterioration in market dynamics, all while reiterating our overall constructive outlook looking weeks and months ahead. The fact is, “perfectly bullish” conditions rarely exist, and a weight of the evidence approach is necessary. To that end, the positives continue to outweigh the negatives and our outlook remains constructive.

Last week we noted some deterioration in market dynamics, all while reiterating our overall constructive outlook looking weeks and months ahead. The fact is, “perfectly bullish” conditions rarely exist, and a weight of the evidence approach is necessary. To that end, the positives continue to outweigh the negatives and our outlook remains constructive.

As the S&amp;P 500 pulls back to logical support at 3870, our weight-of-the-evidence approach continues to support our overall bullish outlook. While the positives heavily outweigh the negatives, the rising 10-year Treasury yield is threatening to become a headwind. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Materials and Transportation.

As the S&amp;P 500 pulls back to logical support at 3870, our weight-of-the-evidence approach continues to support our overall bullish outlook. While the positives heavily outweigh the negatives, the rising 10-year Treasury yield is threatening to become a headwind. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Materials and Transportation.

S&P 500 Testing 3870 Support; 10-Year Yield In Focus

Market dynamics remain positive and there continues to be an absence of breakdowns across the broad indexes and Sectors. As a result we remain bullish and we view any weakness as a buying opportunity. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Materials and Technology.

Market dynamics remain positive and there continues to be an absence of breakdowns across the broad indexes and Sectors. As a result we remain bullish and we view any weakness as a buying opportunity. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Materials and Technology.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Bullish Outlook Intact; Growth Vs. Value Stalemate Continues

Both Energy and Materials have hurriedly advanced within our relative strength rankings over the past several weeks--now ranking #2 and #4, respectively--confirming the widespread patterns visible in the charts of each Sector’s constituents: bottoms and bases.We have highlighted these evolving set-ups over the past year, identifying: improving internals in energy (Aug. 12), then labeling it as a bottom the following week; also, reiterating copper nearly twelve months ago from today, recommending fertilizers (Dec. 13), and reiterating metals &amp; mining stocks (Dec. 18).Given the improving relative strength trends coupled with constructive patterns, we are upgrading both sectors to overweight from market weight.

Both Energy and Materials have hurriedly advanced within our relative strength rankings over the past several weeks--now ranking #2 and #4, respectively--confirming the widespread patterns visible in the charts of each Sector’s constituents: bottoms and bases.We have highlighted these evolving set-ups over the past year, identifying: improving internals in energy (Aug. 12), then labeling it as a bottom the following week; also, reiterating copper nearly twelve months ago from today, recommending fertilizers (Dec. 13), and reiterating metals &amp; mining stocks (Dec. 18).Given the improving relative strength trends coupled with constructive patterns, we are upgrading both sectors to overweight from market weight.

Upgrading U.S. Energy & Materials Sectors to Overweight

Potash Corp Of Saskatchewan / Technical Analysis

Breakouts in global fertilizer/potash stocks -- buy<ul><li>Breakouts from multi-year base and bottom patterns are the norm in North American names, including: AGU, CF, IPI, and POT. All four are buys.</li><li>Abroad, in Europe and EM, pullback opportunities are visible in OCI NV (OCI-NL), Incitec Pivot Ltd (IPL-AU), Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile (SQM), and Yara Int’l (YAR-NO), Here, too, all four are buys.</li><li>For ETF investors, the Global X Fertilizers/Potash ETF (SOIL) is this theme’s closest pure-play. The names highlighted above account for a 35.8% weighting.</li></ul>

Breakouts in global fertilizer/potash stocks -- buyBreakouts from multi-year base and bottom patterns are the norm in North American names, including: AGU, CF, IPI, and POT. All four are buys.Abroad, in Europe and EM, pullback opportunities are visible in OCI NV (OCI-NL), Incitec Pivot Ltd (IPL-AU), Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile (SQM), and Yara Int’l (YAR-NO), Here, too, all four are buys.For ETF investors, the Global X Fertilizers/Potash ETF (SOIL) is this theme’s closest pure-play. The names highlighted above account for a 35.8% weighting.

Global Fertilizer/Potash Stocks Are Breaking Out. Buy.

United States

Intrepid Potash, Inc. mines and markets potash for use as a fertilizer. The Company also markets langbeinite.

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Intrepid Potash (IPI US)

Breakaway Gaps In Place

Market dynamics are not perfect, but the fact is that “perfectly bullish” conditions rarely exist. The positives continue to outweigh the negatives...

Vermilion Research

S&P 500 Testing 3870 Support; 10-Year Yield In Focus

As the S&P 500 pulls back to logical support at 3870. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Materials and Transportation.

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Bullish Outlook Intact; Growth Vs. Value Stalemate Continues

Market dynamics remain positive and there continues to be an absence of breakdowns across the broad indexes and Sectors. As a result we remain...

Vermilion Research

Upgrading U.S. Energy & Materials Sectors to Overweight

Both Energy and Materials have hurriedly advanced within our relative strength rankings over the past several weeks--now ranking #2 and #4,...

Vermilion Research

Global Fertilizer/Potash Stocks Are Breaking Out. Buy.

Breakouts in global fertilizer/potash stocks -- buy Breakouts from multi-year base and bottom patterns are the norm in North American names,...

Vermilion Research

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