Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>If you are still long the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hokuhoku-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19006:1" rel="noopener">Financial Group (8377 JP)</a> from before, stay long.If you sold Hokuhoku from before, be long again, and buy on weakness</li>
<li>Disaster for arb players as AusSuper rewrites the record books as an investor class and shoots down Brookfield's sweetened Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/origin-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:797:1" rel="noopener">Origin Energy (ORG AU)</a>.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kyocera-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:753:1" rel="noopener">Kyocera (6971 JP)</a> announced Q2 results and lowered its full-year forecast. Then the CEO said it was "reconsidering" what to do with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kddi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:639:1" rel="noopener">KDDI (9433 JP)</a> shares (after an AGM disaster).</li>
</ul>


If you are still long the Financial Group (8377 JP) from before, stay long.If you sold Hokuhoku from before, be long again, and buy on weakness
Disaster for arb players as AusSuper rewrites the record books as an investor class and shoots down Brookfield's sweetened Offer for Origin Energy (ORG AU).

Kyocera (6971 JP) announced Q2 results and lowered its full-year forecast. Then the CEO said it was "reconsidering" what to do with KDDI (9433 JP) shares (after an AGM disaster).


Last Week in Event SPACE: Hokuhoku, Origin Energy, KDDI, BoJ

European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Intervest Offices & Warehouses / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>TPG will launch an agreed offer for turnaround-play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intervest-offices-warehouses" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40293:1" rel="noopener">Intervest Offices &amp; Warehouses (INTO BB)</a> at €21/share, 52% premium, with minimum acceptance condition of 50%+1 share. It has already secured 10.09% acceptances.</li>
<li>At 6.7% discount to last reported EPRA NTA, 5.5% discount to pro forma EPRA NTA, and 14.3x P/FFO 2023e, the offer price seems good exit value for shareholders.</li>
<li>Listed logistics European compas trade at c.11% premium EPRA NTA 2023e and 17x-18x P/FFO 2023e. Spread is 4.52%/16.04% (gross/annualised assuming settlement on 21 February). Risk/return looks interesting. Long.
</li>
</ul>


TPG will launch an agreed offer for turnaround-play Intervest Offices &amp; Warehouses (INTO BB) at €21/share, 52% premium, with minimum acceptance condition of 50%+1 share. It has already secured 10.09% acceptances.
At 6.7% discount to last reported EPRA NTA, 5.5% discount to pro forma EPRA NTA, and 14.3x P/FFO 2023e, the offer price seems good exit value for shareholders.
Listed logistics European compas trade at c.11% premium EPRA NTA 2023e and 17x-18x P/FFO 2023e. Spread is 4.52%/16.04% (gross/annualised assuming settlement on 21 February). Risk/return looks interesting. Long.



Belgium

Intervest Offices & Warehouses NV operates as a real estate investment trust. The Company invests in offices buildings and the logistics portfolio partly driven by asset rotation. Intervest Offices & Warehouses serves customers in Belgium and the Netherlands.

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Intervest Offices & Warehouses (INTO BB)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Hokuhoku, Origin Energy, KDDI, BoJ

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

TPG/Intervest: Agreed Offer, Spread

TPG plans to launch a takeover bid for Intervest Offices & Warehouses at a 52% premium, offering a good exit value for shareholders. The risk...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Hokuhoku, Origin Energy, KDDI, BoJ

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

TPG/Intervest: Agreed Offer, Spread

​TPG plans to launch a takeover bid for Intervest Offices & Warehouses at a 52% premium, offering a good exit value for shareholders. The risk...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

TPG plans to launch a takeover bid for Intervest Offices & Warehouses at a 52% premium, offering a good exit value for shareholders. The risk...