TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>In between earnings seasons, we are trying to catch up on the flurry of TMT IPOs over the past few months that have caught our eye. Why Digital Ocean? We're pretty big Amazon bulls cause of AWS, so when we heard there was this mini-AWS that the developer community swears by, had 30%+ EBITDA margins, was accelerating growth by growing dollar retention rates and ARPUs...we had to learn more. Strikes us at the type of business that could be a 5 to 10-bagger over the next year or two. </p><div class="content-highlight"><p>Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to differentiate between fundamental business analysis and security analysis. Before deciding if a security’s pricing and positioning merit a long or short position, we analyze the four pillars of business fundamentals (Secular Factors, TAM, Competitive Advantage, Business Model) in order to determine if this is a “good” or “not so good” opportunity.</p></div>

In between earnings seasons, we are trying to catch up on the flurry of TMT IPOs over the past few months that have caught our eye. Why Digital Ocean? We're pretty big Amazon bulls cause of AWS, so when we heard there was this mini-AWS that the developer community swears by, had 30%+ EBITDA margins, was accelerating growth by growing dollar retention rates and ARPUs...we had to learn more. Strikes us at the type of business that could be a 5 to 10-bagger over the next year or two. Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to differentiate between fundamental business analysis and security analysis. Before deciding if a security’s pricing and positioning merit a long or short position, we analyze the four pillars of business fundamentals (Secular Factors, TAM, Competitive Advantage, Business Model) in order to determine if this is a “good” or “not so good” opportunity.

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

<ul>
<li>AI technology is driving sustainability efforts while posing environmental risks, as discussed by Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang at London Tech Week 2024.</li>
<li>AI is revolutionizing computing and task optimization through advanced PCs and architectures, with AMD CEO predicting its dominance in the future and emphasizing Taiwan's crucial role in the tech industry.</li>
<li>Google is investing $5 billion in expanding its Singapore Data Center and Cloud Region campus, Apple is introducing VisionOS for spatial computing, and the UK is seeking Taiwanese partnerships for high-tech collaborations, while also focusing on privacy with Apple Intelligence at WWDC.</li>
</ul>


AI technology is driving sustainability efforts while posing environmental risks, as discussed by Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang at London Tech Week 2024.
AI is revolutionizing computing and task optimization through advanced PCs and architectures, with AMD CEO predicting its dominance in the future and emphasizing Taiwan's crucial role in the tech industry.
Google is investing $5 billion in expanding its Singapore Data Center and Cloud Region campus, Apple is introducing VisionOS for spatial computing, and the UK is seeking Taiwanese partnerships for high-tech collaborations, while also focusing on privacy with Apple Intelligence at WWDC.


Tech Supply Chain Tracker (12-Jun-2024): AI aids sustainability but poses environmental challenges.

<ul><li>Global EV charger market overview with key players highlighted in the industry, including a focus on technological advancements.</li><li>Ex-IBM Chief Accessibility Officer seeks to revolutionize digital inclusion in Taiwan's manufacturing sector through innovative strategies and initiatives.</li><li>Updates on notebook shipment for April 2024, global smartphone sales in the first quarter of 2024 as well as collaborations such as SDC &amp; Lenovo teaming up to launch slidable display devices by 2025.</li></ul>

Global EV charger market overview with key players highlighted in the industry, including a focus on technological advancements.Ex-IBM Chief Accessibility Officer seeks to revolutionize digital inclusion in Taiwan's manufacturing sector through innovative strategies and initiatives.Updates on notebook shipment for April 2024, global smartphone sales in the first quarter of 2024 as well as collaborations such as SDC &amp; Lenovo teaming up to launch slidable display devices by 2025.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (25-May-2024): Global EV charger market & key players

<ul>
<li>Tech titans foresee the obsolescence of AI PC by Computex 2024, sparking anticipation for new technological advancements.</li>
<li>Disney and Warner's collaboration in the streaming market introduces fresh competition, shaking up the industry landscape.</li>
<li>ASML's thriving in the Angstrom Era credits its success to relentless innovation and adaptability within the semiconductor sector.</li>
</ul>


Tech titans foresee the obsolescence of AI PC by Computex 2024, sparking anticipation for new technological advancements.
Disney and Warner's collaboration in the streaming market introduces fresh competition, shaking up the industry landscape.
ASML's thriving in the Angstrom Era credits its success to relentless innovation and adaptability within the semiconductor sector.


Tech Supply Chain Tracker (18-May-2024): AI PC term will be obsolete soon, tech titans predict at pre-Computex event.

Land Mark Optoelectronics / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Corporations need to adapt to smarter AI as 6G, the next evolution in mobile communication, is coming soon, bringing faster speeds and advanced technology.</li><li>Taiwan's AI startups showcase cutting-edge B2B solutions at 2024 AI Expo, while Microsoft's third-quarter revenue reaches a record high with the help of AI technology.</li><li>Despite record high SiPh shipments, LMOC had a net loss in 1Q24. Taiwan's biggest curved interactive MiniLED display, 'Wishing Tree,' steals the show at Touch Taiwan 2024.</li></ul>

Corporations need to adapt to smarter AI as 6G, the next evolution in mobile communication, is coming soon, bringing faster speeds and advanced technology.Taiwan's AI startups showcase cutting-edge B2B solutions at 2024 AI Expo, while Microsoft's third-quarter revenue reaches a record high with the help of AI technology.Despite record high SiPh shipments, LMOC had a net loss in 1Q24. Taiwan's biggest curved interactive MiniLED display, 'Wishing Tree,' steals the show at Touch Taiwan 2024.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (26-Apr-2024): Corporations must adapt to smarter AI.

United States

Paychex, Inc. provides comprehensive payroll and integrated human resource and employee benefits outsourcing solutions for small- to medium-sized businesses in the United States. The Company's services range from calculating payroll and filing tax payments to administering retirement plans and workers' compensation.

Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation provides custom Information Technology (IT) consulting and technology services as well as outsourcing services. The Company's core competencies include technology strategy consulting, complex systems development, enterprise software package implementation and maintenance, data warehousing and business intelligence.

PayPal Holdings, Inc. operates as a technology platform company that enables digital and mobile payments on behalf of consumers and merchants. The Company offers online payment solutions. PayPal Holdings serves customers worldwide.

Fiserv, Inc. provides integrated information management and electronic commerce systems and services. The Company's solutions include transaction processing, electronic bill payment and presentment, business process outsourcing, document distribution services, and software and systems solutions.

Global Payments Inc. provides electronic transaction processing, information systems, and services.  The Company serves the financial, corporate, government, and merchant communities on a worldwide basis.  Global Payments provides funds transfer, merchant services, merchant accounting, Internet services, and other services.

Gartner, Inc. provides research and analysis on the computer hardware, software, communications, and related information technology industries.  The Company's business segments include research, consulting, measurement, events and executive programs.

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corp. provides management and technology consulting services to the U.S. government in the defense, intelligence and civil markets. The Company offers economic and business analysis, information technology, intelligence and operations analysis, modeling and simulation, organization and other consulting services.

Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. is a payment services provider. The Company provides credit and debit card processing, electronic banking services, check risk management, check cashing, and merchant card processing services to financial institutions and merchants.

Corpay, Inc. operates as a business payments company. The Company offers global payment, currency risk management, and invoice automation solutions which help businesses to control, simplify, and secure payment for vehicle related expenses, general payables, tolls, insurance, and lodging expenses. Corpay serves customers worldwide.

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. is a global provider of business outsourcing solutions.  The Company's services include a wide range of human resource, payroll, tax and benefits administration solutions.  Automatic Data also provides solutions to auto, truck, motorcycle, marine and recreational vehicle dealers.

Infosys Limited provides IT consulting and software services, including e-business, program management and supply chain solutions. The Group's services include application development, product co-development, and system implementation and system engineering. Infosys targets businesses specializing in the insurance, banking, telecommunication and manufacturing sectors.

Tech Mahindra Ltd. develops and markets computer software.  The Company markets software for telecommunications equipment manufacturers, telecom service providers, software vendors, and systems integrators.

NTT Data Corporation mainly provides large scale system integration and networking system services. System integration involves data transmission system design, sales, leasing, and services.  Network System Services include internet related and linked computer networks, and data provision and management of data. The Company is a subsidiary of Nippon Telegraph & Telephone Corporation.

Accenture PLC provides management and technology consulting services and solutions.  The Company delivers a range of specialized capabilities and solutions to clients across all industries on a worldwide basis.  Accenture's network of businesses provides consulting, technology, outsourcing, and alliances.

Wipro Limited specializes in IT and computer related technologies. The Group's services encompass a number of areas, including software architecture, business intelligence systems, e-commerce, data warehousing, Internet access devices, network management, system administration, messaging systems, IT consulting and design. Wipro also has a presence in niche markets of consumer products.

Fujitsu Ltd manufactures semiconductor, computer, and communication equipment. The Company provides comprehensive information technology, network and telecommunication solutions, and Internet services.

Nomura Research Institute, Ltd. provides information technology, research, consulting, and analyzing for business strategy decision-making.  The Company also provides application software for system operation services.

Tata Consultancy Services, a division of Tata Sons Limited, is a global IT services organization that provides a comprehensive range of IT services to its clients in diverse industries. The Company, caters to finance and banking, insurance, telecommunication, transportation, retail, manufacturing, pharmaceutical, and utility industries.

HCL Technologies Limited provides software development and related engineering services.  The Group's technologies utilize a variety of technologies, including Internet and e-commerce, networking, internet telephony, embedded software, ASIC/VLSI design and testing, satellite and wireless communications, and component based object technologies, including COM, DCOM and COBRA.

Amadeus IT Holding SA processes transactions for the global travel and tourism industry.  The Company processes transactions for airlines, hotels, rail operators, cruise lines and ferry operators, car rental companies, and tour operators.

International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) provides computer solutions through the use of advanced information technology. The Company's solutions include technologies, systems, products, services, software, and financing. IBM offers its products through its global sales and distribution organization, as well as through a variety of third party distributors and resellers.

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International Business Machines (IBM US)

Recent IPO Insights: Digital Ocean

Why Digital Ocean? When we heard there was this mini-AWS that the developer community swears by, had 30%+ EBITDA margins, was accelerating net...

Aaron Gabin

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (12-Jun-2024): AI aids sustainability but poses environmental challenges.

AI is driving sustainability and innovation, but comes with environmental risks, while tech giants like Nvidia, AMD, Google, and Apple are making...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (25-May-2024): Global EV charger market & key players

Global EV charger market overview, Lenovo and SDC announce partnership for slidable display devices by 2025, Absolics receives US CHIPS Act subsidy...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (18-May-2024): AI PC term will be obsolete soon, tech titans predict at pre-Computex event.

Tech titans foresee AI PCs replacing current technology; Disney and Warner's streaming partnership shakes up the market; ASML's innovation drives...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (26-Apr-2024): Corporations must adapt to smarter AI.

Corporations face the challenge of adapting to smarter AI while preparing for the arrival of 6G technology, promising faster speeds and advanced...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

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