Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Inpex reported strong Q2 financial results with operating income rising 161% to ¥584 billion </li>
<li>The company revised its full-year OP guidance by 23% to ¥1,133 billion. It is still conservative </li>
<li>Inpex also announced a blockbuster buyback of 120 million shares, or 8.65% of its outstanding capital </li>
</ul>


Inpex reported strong Q2 financial results with operating income rising 161% to ¥584 billion 
The company revised its full-year OP guidance by 23% to ¥1,133 billion. It is still conservative 
Inpex also announced a blockbuster buyback of 120 million shares, or 8.65% of its outstanding capital 


Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Japan Petroleum Exploration / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Japanese companies are buying back more stock than ever before, and recent moves by the TSE and METI are effectively pushing for more.</li>
<li>The new goal is to lift PBR and ROE. The easiest way to lift ROE is reduce E. Low-PBR Cos with excess assets and cross-holdings (outbound and inbound) are targets.</li>
<li>In this insight I look at several possible rankings for potential large buyback targets.</li>
</ul>


Japanese companies are buying back more stock than ever before, and recent moves by the TSE and METI are effectively pushing for more.
The new goal is to lift PBR and ROE. The easiest way to lift ROE is reduce E. Low-PBR Cos with excess assets and cross-holdings (outbound and inbound) are targets.
In this insight I look at several possible rankings for potential large buyback targets.


JAPAN GOVERNANCE CHANGES II - Who Could Surprise on Buybacks? Quant Rankings

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
Market: The broader Topix Index ended the week 59 points, or -2.6%,</li>
<li>
Movers: Kusuri No Aoki Holdings shares rose sharply this week after the Japanese drugstore operator's first-quarter profit climbed (+49% yoy)</li>
<li>
Activist Watch: Dalton have also taken significant positions in Rinnai and Nitta</li>
</ul>



Market: The broader Topix Index ended the week 59 points, or -2.6%,

Movers: Kusuri No Aoki Holdings shares rose sharply this week after the Japanese drugstore operator's first-quarter profit climbed (+49% yoy)

Activist Watch: Dalton have also taken significant positions in Rinnai and Nitta


Japan Weekly | Kusuri No Aoki, Inpex, Mit Motors, Rinnai

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS: SPX Rallies supported by Bullish ARM (+25%) trading;  Markets ignore implications Producer prices; Retail sales strong;   UAW Strike Looms - GM Sweetens offer; China cuts RRR. </li>
<li>JAPAN: NKY Futs 0.1% vs Cash; USDJPY 147.5; Japan Corp profits not trickling down; No boost for Kishida post reshuffle; More JP firms lifting shareholder returns; Bullish Aisin MTP </li>
<li>JAPAN X: Sparx Group's Billion-Dollar Bet on Japan's Future. CEO Abe goes all in with a view of catching the start of the wave of resurgence of Japanese equities.</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS: SPX Rallies supported by Bullish ARM (+25%) trading;  Markets ignore implications Producer prices; Retail sales strong;   UAW Strike Looms - GM Sweetens offer; China cuts RRR. 
JAPAN: NKY Futs 0.1% vs Cash; USDJPY 147.5; Japan Corp profits not trickling down; No boost for Kishida post reshuffle; More JP firms lifting shareholder returns; Bullish Aisin MTP 
JAPAN X: Sparx Group's Billion-Dollar Bet on Japan's Future. CEO Abe goes all in with a view of catching the start of the wave of resurgence of Japanese equities.


Ohayo Japan: SPX Rallies on Bullish ARM Debut; JAPAN X: Sparx Founder Retirement Trade - $2bn Fund

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain bullish global equities if the major $93 support level on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) continues to hold (1+ year base support and the 10.5-month uptrend)</li>
<li>The 10-year Treasury yield remains below 4.35% resistance (a positive), but the DXY is climbing above $103.70-$104.70 resistance, and $105.70 is the last line of defense (9-month resistance).</li>
<li>Japan and India remain top overweights, with many of today's buy recommendations from these countries (Real Estate, Energy, Tech/Services, Discretionary). Also downgrading Taiwan and Greece to market weight.</li>
</ul>


We remain bullish global equities if the major $93 support level on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) continues to hold (1+ year base support and the 10.5-month uptrend)
The 10-year Treasury yield remains below 4.35% resistance (a positive), but the DXY is climbing above $103.70-$104.70 resistance, and $105.70 is the last line of defense (9-month resistance).
Japan and India remain top overweights, with many of today's buy recommendations from these countries (Real Estate, Energy, Tech/Services, Discretionary). Also downgrading Taiwan and Greece to market weight.


Remain Overweight Japan and India; Key Supports Holding; Buys in Energy, Tech/Services (India)

Japan

INPEX CORPORATION is a holding company established through the reorganization of INPEX Corp and Teikoku Oil.  The Company manages subsidiaries that explores, produces, and sells oil and natural gas.

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Inpex Corp (1605 JP)

Inpex (1605) | Blockbuster Buyback

[EARNINGS] INPEX CORP(1605) Q2 FY12/2023 Net Profit 102.78 billion yen,13.7%YoY above Consensus 72.8 billion yen. Company Full Year Net Profit...

Mark Chadwick

JAPAN GOVERNANCE CHANGES II - Who Could Surprise on Buybacks? Quant Rankings

JAPAN GOVERNANCE: There is a buyback story coming. It will be big. Bigger than the past year or two, and it will continue. What to buy?

Travis Lundy

Japan Weekly | Kusuri No Aoki, Inpex, Mit Motors, Rinnai

Japanese market declines as Topix Index falls 2.6%, while Kusuri No Aoki Holdings sees profit rise and Dalton takes positions in Rinnai and Nitta.

Mark Chadwick

Ohayo Japan: SPX Rallies on Bullish ARM Debut; JAPAN X: Sparx Founder Retirement Trade - $2bn Fund

US equities rally supported buy bullish ARM debut; NKY Futs 0.1% vs Cash; USDJPY 147.5; Japan Corp profits not trickling down; More JP firms...

Mark Chadwick

Remain Overweight Japan and India; Key Supports Holding; Buys in Energy, Tech/Services (India)

We remain bullish on global equities as long as major $93 support on $ACWI continues to hold (1+ year base support and the 10.5-month uptrend)....

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Inpex (1605) | Blockbuster Buyback

[EARNINGS] INPEX CORP(1605) Q2 FY12/2023 Net Profit 102.78 billion yen,13.7%YoY above Consensus 72.8 billion yen. Company Full Year Net Profit...

Mark Chadwick

JAPAN GOVERNANCE CHANGES II - Who Could Surprise on Buybacks? Quant Rankings

JAPAN GOVERNANCE: There is a buyback story coming. It will be big. Bigger than the past year or two, and it will continue. What to buy?

Travis Lundy

Japan Weekly | Kusuri No Aoki, Inpex, Mit Motors, Rinnai

​Japanese market declines as Topix Index falls 2.6%, while Kusuri No Aoki Holdings sees profit rise and Dalton takes positions in Rinnai and Nitta.

Mark Chadwick

Ohayo Japan: SPX Rallies on Bullish ARM Debut; JAPAN X: Sparx Founder Retirement Trade - $2bn Fund

US equities rally supported buy bullish ARM debut; NKY Futs 0.1% vs Cash; USDJPY 147.5; Japan Corp profits not trickling down; More JP firms...

Mark Chadwick

Remain Overweight Japan and India; Key Supports Holding; Buys in Energy, Tech/Services (India)

We remain bullish on global equities as long as major $93 support on $ACWI continues to hold (1+ year base support and the 10.5-month uptrend)....

Vermilion Research

Japanese market declines as Topix Index falls 2.6%, while Kusuri No Aoki Holdings sees profit rise and Dalton takes positions in Rinnai and Nitta.