Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 9 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 9 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 10 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>Following a strong listing, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mankind-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36389:1" rel="noopener">Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN)</a> should be added to the Large Cap segment of the market in July.</li>
<li>The expected migrations from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed the other migrations by a huge margin over the last couple of months and there could be profit taking ahead.</li>
</ul>


We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 9 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 9 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 10 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
Following a strong listing, Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN) should be added to the Large Cap segment of the market in July.
The expected migrations from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed the other migrations by a huge margin over the last couple of months and there could be profit taking ahead.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2023): Significant Outperformance

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Mahindra &amp; Mahindra: M&amp;M Q4 adjusted PAT at INR 19.3bn came in above our estimate of INR 16.2bn due to higher-than-expected revenue and lower tax rate, even as its operational performance was in line with our estimates</li><li>M&amp;M’s performance highlights for FY23 are: (1) No1 in SUVs revenue market share at 19.1% (+370bps YoY) (2) market leader in LCVs (&lt;3.5T) with 520bps improvement to 45.5% (3) FES market share up 120bps YoY to 41.2% (4) market leader in EV 3Ws with 67.6% share</li><li>Also, it is commendable that M&amp;M has already achieved most of the targets it earmarked a couple of years back, including improvement in auto margins, EPS CAGR, RoE at 18% (stands at 19.9% for FY23), calibrated asset allocation, etc</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Mahindra &amp; Mahindra: M&amp;M Q4 adjusted PAT at INR 19.3bn came in above our estimate of INR 16.2bn due to higher-than-expected revenue and lower tax rate, even as its operational performance was in line with our estimatesM&amp;M’s performance highlights for FY23 are: (1) No1 in SUVs revenue market share at 19.1% (+370bps YoY) (2) market leader in LCVs (&lt;3.5T) with 520bps improvement to 45.5% (3) FES market share up 120bps YoY to 41.2% (4) market leader in EV 3Ws with 67.6% shareAlso, it is commendable that M&amp;M has already achieved most of the targets it earmarked a couple of years back, including improvement in auto margins, EPS CAGR, RoE at 18% (stands at 19.9% for FY23), calibrated asset allocation, etcContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Mahindra & Mahindra, Infoedge, Sundaram Finance

<ul><li>Exchanges: MCX revenue is expected to decline by 6.8% QoQ, mainly due to a decline in futures volume and flat options revenue (a drop in effective realisation due to lower premium collection)</li><li>Higher payout to tech vendor will impact EBITDA margin (~9.4%, down 1,345bps QoQ)</li><li>The tech transition remains the key overhang, MCX has been conducting mock trading sessions and the current transition timeline stands at 30 June 2023</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Exchanges: MCX revenue is expected to decline by 6.8% QoQ, mainly due to a decline in futures volume and flat options revenue (a drop in effective realisation due to lower premium collection)Higher payout to tech vendor will impact EBITDA margin (~9.4%, down 1,345bps QoQ)The tech transition remains the key overhang, MCX has been conducting mock trading sessions and the current transition timeline stands at 30 June 2023Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Exchanges, Staffing and Internet - Soft Landing

<ul>
<li>Nearly halfway through the review period, we see 10 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and vice versa, and 9 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and vice versa.</li>
<li>Financials are poised to be the biggest gainers in the reshuffle with 6 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and 5 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap.</li>
<li>Over the last 6 months, stocks expected to migrate upward have outperformed stocks that are expected to migrate downward., though there has been a downward drift this year.</li>
</ul>


Nearly halfway through the review period, we see 10 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and vice versa, and 9 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and vice versa.
Financials are poised to be the biggest gainers in the reshuffle with 6 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and 5 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap.
Over the last 6 months, stocks expected to migrate upward have outperformed stocks that are expected to migrate downward., though there has been a downward drift this year.


India: AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2023)

<ul><li>Mahindra &amp; Mahindra: M&amp;M Q3 adjusted PAT at INR 20bn came in above our estimate of INR 18.7bn, primarily due to higher-than-expected other income, even as its operational performance was in line with our estimates</li><li>M&amp;M’s performance highlights for YTDFY23 are: (1) steady market share revival in the UV segment every quarter on the back of its new launches (2) 90bps market share improvement in tractors to 41.4%, without compromising on margins (3) revival in market share in &lt;3.5T segment (4) continued leadership in e-3Ws with 65% market share in Q3</li><li>Also, it is commendable that M&amp;M has already achieved most of the targets it earmarked a couple of years back (including EPS CAGR, improvement in auto margins, RoE at 18%, calibrated asset allocation etc.) and management has indicated that it is now time to raise its targets from here on</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Mahindra &amp; Mahindra: M&amp;M Q3 adjusted PAT at INR 20bn came in above our estimate of INR 18.7bn, primarily due to higher-than-expected other income, even as its operational performance was in line with our estimatesM&amp;M’s performance highlights for YTDFY23 are: (1) steady market share revival in the UV segment every quarter on the back of its new launches (2) 90bps market share improvement in tractors to 41.4%, without compromising on margins (3) revival in market share in &lt;3.5T segment (4) continued leadership in e-3Ws with 65% market share in Q3Also, it is commendable that M&amp;M has already achieved most of the targets it earmarked a couple of years back (including EPS CAGR, improvement in auto margins, RoE at 18%, calibrated asset allocation etc.) and management has indicated that it is now time to raise its targets from here onContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Mahindra & Mahindra, Infoedge, City Union Bank, NOCIL

India

Info Edge (India) Limited operates an online job posting website. The website offers services for recruiters, job seekers, and employers. The Company also operates  an online matrimonial website for prospective brides, grooms, and relatives.

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Info Edge India (INFOE IN)

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2023): Significant Outperformance

With the review period nearing completion, there are a lot of migrations between size segments. SmallCap to MidCap migrations have outperformed....

Brian Freitas

HSIE Results Daily: Mahindra & Mahindra, Infoedge, Sundaram Finance

M&M Q4 adjusted PAT at INR 19.3bn came in above our estimate of INR 16.2bn due to higher-than-expected revenue and lower tax rate

HDFC Securities

Exchanges, Staffing and Internet - Soft Landing

MCX revenue is expected to decline by 6.8% QoQ, mainly due to a decline in futures volume and flat options revenue (a drop in effective realisation...

HDFC Securities

India: AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2023)

Nearly halfway through the review period, we see 10 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and vice versa, 9 from SmallCap to MidCap and vice versa....

Brian Freitas

HSIE Results Daily: Mahindra & Mahindra, Infoedge, City Union Bank, NOCIL

M&M Q3 adjusted PAT at INR 20bn came in above our estimate of INR 18.7bn, primarily due to higher-than-expected other income, even as its...

HDFC Securities

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