Indian Accounting Research Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Indian Accounting Research Analyst

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Capital Markets

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-media-pvt" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOM IN)</a> , a Gurgaon based start-up, is launching its IPO, which is perceived to be one of the most excited events in 2021. Such is the familiarity of this company, which is one of the pioneers in food-delivery cum restaurant aggregator tech platform in India. 
Zomato has increased multifold in the last decade. Backed by some of the headline investors which include but not limited to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/info-edge-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14461:1" rel="noopener">Info Edge India (INFOE IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uber-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:430:1" rel="noopener">Uber (UBER US)</a>, Ant Financial, Sequoia, Tiger Global, Fidelity etc., the company has reached a valuation of $5.9 bn in Feb'21. As the company becomes the ray of hope for several promising consumer tech and internet companies in India, the IPO is expected to be the one that receives great attention.
Zomato's revenues may have grown at the rate of knots since F18, it is imperative to know that the company is still at a cash burn stage, delivering negative EBITDA. But there are many more cautions one should be aware of, ranging from accounting changes to volatile balance sheet to poor investments. Like always, we do not comment on the valuation of IPO.

Zomato (ZOM IN) , a Gurgaon based start-up, is launching its IPO, which is perceived to be one of the most excited events in 2021. Such is the familiarity of this company, which is one of the pioneers in food-delivery cum restaurant aggregator tech platform in India. 
Zomato has increased multifold in the last decade. Backed by some of the headline investors which include but not limited to Info Edge India (INFOE IN) , Alibaba Group (9988 HK) , Uber (UBER US), Ant Financial, Sequoia, Tiger Global, Fidelity etc., the company has reached a valuation of $5.9 bn in Feb'21. As the company becomes the ray of hope for several promising consumer tech and internet companies in India, the IPO is expected to be the one that receives great attention.
Zomato's revenues may have grown at the rate of knots since F18, it is imperative to know that the company is still at a cash burn stage, delivering negative EBITDA. But there are many more cautions one should be aware of, ranging from accounting changes to volatile balance sheet to poor investments. Like always, we do not comment on the valuation of IPO.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> is the flagship index of the National Stock Exchange of India (NSE). The index has 50 stocks and is a free float weighted market cap index. The next rebalance will be effective after the close of trading on 29 September 2021 and the announcement of the changes will be made four weeks prior to the effective date.More than a third of the way through the review period that runs from February to July, we see one possible change to the index with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/info-edge-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14461:1" rel="noopener">Info Edge India (INFOE IN)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indian-oil-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7781:1" rel="noopener">Indian Oil Corp (IOCL IN)</a>. There could be more changes if some large stocks like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-green-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29012:1" rel="noopener">Adani Green Energy Ltd (ADANIGR IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dmart" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23656:1" rel="noopener">Avenue Supermarts Ltd (DMART IN)</a> are included in the Futures &amp; Options (F&amp;O) segment of the market.<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd (VEDL IN)</a> does not make the cut for index inclusion following the 10% reduction in its free float following the open offer.Passive funds benchmarked to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> will need to trade around 3 days of ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/info-edge-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14461:1" rel="noopener">Info Edge India (INFOE IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indian-oil-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7781:1" rel="noopener">Indian Oil Corp (IOCL IN)</a>. Plus there will be flow from active funds and from cash and carry baskets on the index.<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/info-edge-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14461:1" rel="noopener">Info Edge India (INFOE IN)</a> trades at a valuation premium to its regional peers, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indian-oil-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7781:1" rel="noopener">Indian Oil Corp (IOCL IN)</a> trades at a discount to its domestic peers.The big event to watch for is the potential inclusion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-green-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29012:1" rel="noopener">Adani Green Energy Ltd (ADANIGR IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dmart" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23656:1" rel="noopener">Avenue Supermarts Ltd (DMART IN)</a> in the F&amp;O segment that will open the door for index inclusion.

The NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) is the flagship index of the National Stock Exchange of India (NSE). The index has 50 stocks and is a free float weighted market cap index. The next rebalance will be effective after the close of trading on 29 September 2021 and the announcement of the changes will be made four weeks prior to the effective date.More than a third of the way through the review period that runs from February to July, we see one possible change to the index with Info Edge India (INFOE IN) replacing Indian Oil Corp (IOCL IN). There could be more changes if some large stocks like Adani Green Energy Ltd (ADANIGR IN) and Avenue Supermarts Ltd (DMART IN) are included in the Futures &amp; Options (F&amp;O) segment of the market.Vedanta Ltd (VEDL IN) does not make the cut for index inclusion following the 10% reduction in its free float following the open offer.Passive funds benchmarked to the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) will need to trade around 3 days of ADV on Info Edge India (INFOE IN) and Indian Oil Corp (IOCL IN). Plus there will be flow from active funds and from cash and carry baskets on the index.Info Edge India (INFOE IN) trades at a valuation premium to its regional peers, while Indian Oil Corp (IOCL IN) trades at a discount to its domestic peers.The big event to watch for is the potential inclusion of Adani Green Energy Ltd (ADANIGR IN) and Avenue Supermarts Ltd (DMART IN) in the F&amp;O segment that will open the door for index inclusion.

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Info Edge Could Replace IOC

The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> is the flagship index of the National Stock Exchange of India (NSE). The index has 50 stocks and is a free float weighted market cap index. The next rebalance will be effective after the close of trading on 25 March and the announcement of the changes will be done four weeks prior to the effective date.We are now almost at the end of the review period. There are 3 stocks that meet the criteria for inclusion in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a>: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-consumer-products" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:258:1" rel="noopener">Tata Consumer Products (TATACONS IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/icici-lombard-general-insura" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25882:1" rel="noopener">Icici Lombard General Insurance Company (ICICIGI IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/info-edge-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14461:1" rel="noopener">Info Edge India (INFOE IN)</a>. The three lowest ranked stocks in the index are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gail-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15263:1" rel="noopener">Gail India Ltd (GAIL IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indian-oil-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7781:1" rel="noopener">Indian Oil Corp (IOCL IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/upl-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20776:1" rel="noopener">UPL Ltd (UPLL IN)</a>.We see a high probability of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-consumer-products" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:258:1" rel="noopener">Tata Consumer Products (TATACONS IN)</a> being included and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gail-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15263:1" rel="noopener">Gail India Ltd (GAIL IN)</a> being excluded, and a lower probability of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/icici-lombard-general-insura" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25882:1" rel="noopener">Icici Lombard General Insurance Company (ICICIGI IN)</a> being included and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indian-oil-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7781:1" rel="noopener">Indian Oil Corp (IOCL IN)</a> being excluded.<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/info-edge-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14461:1" rel="noopener">Info Edge India (INFOE IN)</a>'s average free float market cap is less than 1% lower than <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/icici-lombard-general-insura" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25882:1" rel="noopener">Icici Lombard General Insurance Company (ICICIGI IN)</a> - can get close going into the tail end of the review period.The index committee has a wide berth when choosing the number of changes to be made and it is highly unlikely that there will be more than 2 changes, especially since a maximum of 5 changes can be made in a year.<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dmart" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23656:1" rel="noopener">Avenue Supermarts (DMART IN)</a> has the highest market cap among non index constituents but is not eligible for index inclusion since there are no listed Futures and Options on the stock, a prerequisite for index inclusion.

The NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) is the flagship index of the National Stock Exchange of India (NSE). The index has 50 stocks and is a free float weighted market cap index. The next rebalance will be effective after the close of trading on 25 March and the announcement of the changes will be done four weeks prior to the effective date.We are now almost at the end of the review period. There are 3 stocks that meet the criteria for inclusion in the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX): Tata Consumer Products (TATACONS IN), Icici Lombard General Insurance Company (ICICIGI IN) and Info Edge India (INFOE IN). The three lowest ranked stocks in the index are Gail India Ltd (GAIL IN), Indian Oil Corp (IOCL IN) and UPL Ltd (UPLL IN).We see a high probability of Tata Consumer Products (TATACONS IN) being included and Gail India Ltd (GAIL IN) being excluded, and a lower probability of Icici Lombard General Insurance Company (ICICIGI IN) being included and Indian Oil Corp (IOCL IN) being excluded.Info Edge India (INFOE IN)'s average free float market cap is less than 1% lower than Icici Lombard General Insurance Company (ICICIGI IN) - can get close going into the tail end of the review period.The index committee has a wide berth when choosing the number of changes to be made and it is highly unlikely that there will be more than 2 changes, especially since a maximum of 5 changes can be made in a year.Avenue Supermarts (DMART IN) has the highest market cap among non index constituents but is not eligible for index inclusion since there are no listed Futures and Options on the stock, a prerequisite for index inclusion.

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview - Nearing The End of the Review Period

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

ASA Capital Management

ASA Capital Management is a boutique Research and Investment Advisory firm focusing on primary research in India. ASA provides bespoke research services to Institutional Clients with a focus on due diligence backed with primary research, Field Trips & Channel Checks.

Equity Bottom-Up

This insight aims to dwell into the operations of the leading matchmaking platform in India - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/matrimony-com" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22922:1" rel="noopener">Matrimony.com (MATRIM IN)</a> .
Having gained the first-mover advantage in the matchmaking market in India, Matrimony.com holds its ground as the market leader by a huge margin. With the global pandemic pushing more and more people to turn to the internet for all their needs, the company is attractively placed with structural tailwinds for the business. 
However, hardly any growth in paid subscribers, poor capital allocation primarily on account of lower margins and concentrated holders with little float keeps us at bay but we believe that this script is a one to keep a close watch on.

This insight aims to dwell into the operations of the leading matchmaking platform in India - Matrimony.com (MATRIM IN) .
Having gained the first-mover advantage in the matchmaking market in India, Matrimony.com holds its ground as the market leader by a huge margin. With the global pandemic pushing more and more people to turn to the internet for all their needs, the company is attractively placed with structural tailwinds for the business. 
However, hardly any growth in paid subscribers, poor capital allocation primarily on account of lower margins and concentrated holders with little float keeps us at bay but we believe that this script is a one to keep a close watch on. 

Matrimony.com (MATRIM IN) | Not yet a Perfect Match

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

Emerging markets (EEM-US) are breaking above major $46.30 resistance to hit highs not seen since June 2018. Additionally, RS on EEM-US is near 1-year highs -- a positive risk-on signal. Stocks doing business in China, India, Taiwan, and South Korea continue to be a major focus when it comes to individual stock recommendations.

Emerging markets (EEM-US) are breaking above major $46.30 resistance to hit highs not seen since June 2018. Additionally, RS on EEM-US is near 1-year highs -- a positive risk-on signal. Stocks doing business in China, India, Taiwan, and South Korea continue to be a major focus when it comes to individual stock recommendations.

India

Info Edge (India) Limited operates an online job posting website. The website offers services for recruiters, job seekers, and employers. The Company also operates  an online matrimonial website for prospective brides, grooms, and relatives.

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Info Edge India (INFOE IN)

Zomato IPO: Caution Before Frenzy

Zomato's revenues may have grown at the rate of knots since F18. But there are many more cautions one should be aware of, ranging from accounting...

Nitin Mangal

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Info Edge Could Replace IOC

We see one potential changes to the NIFTY50 index at the September review. Adani Green and Avenue Supermarts could join the index if listed F&O are...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview - Nearing The End of the Review Period

There is just over a week remaining in the review period. We expect TATACONS to replace GAIL, and see a low probability of ICICIGI replacing IOCL....

Brian Freitas

Matrimony.com (MATRIM IN) | Not yet a Perfect Match

With structural tailwinds in place, the Indian matchmaking space is interesting, however, multiple issues with the market leader Matrimony.com...

Pranav Bhavsar

Emerging Markets Breaking Out

Emerging markets (EEM-US) are breaking above major $46.30 resistance to hit highs not seen since June 2018. Additionally, RS on EEM-US is near 1...

Vermilion Research

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