External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We expect our coverage universe EBITDA to increase by +2% YoY, +10% QoQ, owing to an improvement in profitability from the downstream segment due to higher demand for petroleum products, higher refining throughput and GRMs</li><li>Upstream segment earnings are impacted by ~18/8% YoY/QoQ decline in crude oil prices and lower production, despite a YoY increase in domestic APM gas realisations</li><li>We expect lower gas volumes for City Gas Distribution (CGD) companies, owing to high retail CNG prices and spot LNG prices.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We expect our coverage universe EBITDA to increase by +2% YoY, +10% QoQ, owing to an improvement in profitability from the downstream segment due to higher demand for petroleum products, higher refining throughput and GRMsUpstream segment earnings are impacted by ~18/8% YoY/QoQ decline in crude oil prices and lower production, despite a YoY increase in domestic APM gas realisationsWe expect lower gas volumes for City Gas Distribution (CGD) companies, owing to high retail CNG prices and spot LNG prices.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Oil and Gas: Improvement for downstream segment

<ul><li>NTPC: Generation/sales of the unit increased significantly by 10.4/12.2% YoY to 85.5/80.2bn units in Q2FY23, led by strong power demand</li><li>PAF also improved for both coal/gas in Q2 to 93.7/92.8%, vs 85.4/81.6% YoY, led by better fuel availability</li><li>Accordingly, under-recovery also declined to INR2.0bn for Q2FY23 vs INR5.0bn QoQ</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

NTPC: Generation/sales of the unit increased significantly by 10.4/12.2% YoY to 85.5/80.2bn units in Q2FY23, led by strong power demandPAF also improved for both coal/gas in Q2 to 93.7/92.8%, vs 85.4/81.6% YoY, led by better fuel availabilityAccordingly, under-recovery also declined to INR2.0bn for Q2FY23 vs INR5.0bn QoQContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: NTPC, Indian Oil Corporation, SBI Cards and Payment Services

CEO, Helixtap

Farah Miller

Global Commodities Alternative Data and Insights

Helixtap

Helixtap collects, processes and distributes proprietary data, analyses and forecasts for the rubber, latex and automotive markets

Commodities

<ul><li>Anti-dumping rates of $266/tonne on European companies</li><li>ADD of $243.60/tonne for Thai and $64.00/tonne for Korean suppliers</li><li>ADD recommended for the next three years</li></ul>

Anti-dumping rates of $266/tonne on European companiesADD of $243.60/tonne for Thai and $64.00/tonne for Korean suppliersADD recommended for the next three years

SBR ADD Extension Worries For Indian Importers

<ul><li>Indian Oil Corporation: Our ADD rating on Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL) with a target price of INR 82 is premised on (1) recovery in domestic demand for petroleum products, (2) improvement in refining margins for FY23/24, and (3) gradual improvement in marketing margins over FY23-24 vis-à-vis FY22 levels. </li><li>During the quarter, it launched 0.7msf, with 7.6msf in pipeline for FY23 (6msf launched in FY22)</li><li>In value terms, for Q2/Q3/Q4FY22, launches worth INR 20/25/20-25bn are in the pipeline</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Indian Oil Corporation: Our ADD rating on Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL) with a target price of INR 82 is premised on (1) recovery in domestic demand for petroleum products, (2) improvement in refining margins for FY23/24, and (3) gradual improvement in marketing margins over FY23-24 vis-à-vis FY22 levels. During the quarter, it launched 0.7msf, with 7.6msf in pipeline for FY23 (6msf launched in FY22)In value terms, for Q2/Q3/Q4FY22, launches worth INR 20/25/20-25bn are in the pipelineContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Indian Oil Corporation, DLF, DCB Bank

<div><div><div><ul><li>Imposition of a SAED of INR 6/ltr (USD 12/bbl) on exports of petrol and ATF <span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">and INR 13/ltr (USD 27/bbl) on exports of diesel.</span></li></ul></div></div><div><div><div><div><ul><li>Levy of a SAED of INR 23,250/mt (USD 40/bbl) on domestically produced <span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">crude oil. </span></li><li><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">However, no cess will be imposed on the quantity of crude that is </span><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">produced in excess of FY22 production.</span></li></ul></div></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Imposition of a SAED of INR 6/ltr (USD 12/bbl) on exports of petrol and ATF and INR 13/ltr (USD 27/bbl) on exports of diesel.Levy of a SAED of INR 23,250/mt (USD 40/bbl) on domestically produced crude oil. However, no cess will be imposed on the quantity of crude that is produced in excess of FY22 production.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Indian Oil and Gas Sector - Subsidy Overhang to Reduce

India

Indian Oil Corporation Limited explores for and refines crude oil, in addition to manufacturing petroleum & petroleum products. The Company's products include lubricating oils, liquid petroleum gas, aviation turbine fuels, greases, wax, bitumen and asphalt. Indian Oil Corporation has retail outlets throughout India. The greatest majority shareholding in the Company is held by Indian Government.

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Indian Oil Corp (IOCL IN)

Oil and Gas: Improvement for downstream segment

We expect our coverage universe EBITDA to increase by +2% YoY, +10% QoQ, owing to an improvement in profitability from the downstream segment due...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: NTPC, Indian Oil Corporation, SBI Cards and Payment Services

NTPC: Generation/sales of the unit increased significantly by 10.4/12.2% YoY to 85.5/80.2bn units in Q2FY23, led by strong power demand

HDFC Securities

SBR ADD Extension Worries For Indian Importers

Both tire and non-tire sectors in India are peeved over the new recommendation of the Director General of Trade Remedies (DGTR)-India to the Indian...

Helixtap

HSIE Results Daily: Indian Oil Corporation, DLF, DCB Bank

During Q1FY23, DLF booked robust presales of INR 20.4bn (+101/-25% YoY/QoQ) and maintained FY23 presales guidance of INR 80bn.

HDFC Securities

Indian Oil and Gas Sector - Subsidy Overhang to Reduce

Reliance Industries (RIL), ONGC and Oil India (OIL) stocks declined 7-15% on 1st Jul-22 as investors took a dim view of the new levies applied on...

HDFC Securities

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