Founder and Strategist, Entext Economics & Strategy

Sean Maher

Founder and Strategist

Entext Economics & Strategy

Entext provides institutional investors with distinctive, actionable asset allocation and thematic research, which typically challenges the market consensus. Our clients range from credit, equity and multi-asset hedge and pension funds to family offices and sovereign funds. 
 
We focus on identifying key inflection points in macro data and relative asset performance amid the 'groupthink'  and confirmation bias that characterizes most investment bank analysis.

Macro Driven Investment Insight

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The value vs. momentum factor divergence was 17 percentage points in EM last year - India as a highly-rated, defensive market was always likely to lag given that backdrop.</li>
<li>However, it has delivered a mediocre longer term return relative to the investor hype generated - the Sensex has seen only a 4.9% annualized return over the past five years and 2.7% over the past decade in USD.</li>
<li>That partly reflects the INR falling by a third since late 2011, underperforming even the commodity exposed IDR and MYR…</li>
</ul>


The value vs. momentum factor divergence was 17 percentage points in EM last year - India as a highly-rated, defensive market was always likely to lag given that backdrop.
However, it has delivered a mediocre longer term return relative to the investor hype generated - the Sensex has seen only a 4.9% annualized return over the past five years and 2.7% over the past decade in USD.
That partly reflects the INR falling by a third since late 2011, underperforming even the commodity exposed IDR and MYR…


Still Too Many Stale Bulls on India, as Structural Risks Deepen - 11th Jan 2017

Global Gaming and Casinos Industry Specialist, Casino Business Review LLC

Howard J Klein

Global Gaming and Casinos Industry Specialist

An estimated $10 billion underserved market  in India according to new research.Wth Japan gaming now approved, new light in on the potential of India arises. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/23740" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23740">Silver Heritage Group Ltd (SVH AU)</a> small scale integrated casino resort on the Nepal side of the Sikkim India border is set to open next month--the first ever directly targeted at the Indian market. Should you play Silver Heritage now or wait for first earnings reports?

An estimated $10 billion underserved market  in India according to new research.Wth Japan gaming now approved, new light in on the potential of India arises. Silver Heritage Group Ltd (SVH AU) small scale integrated casino resort on the Nepal side of the Sikkim India border is set to open next month--the first ever directly targeted at the Indian market. Should you play Silver Heritage now or wait for first earnings reports?

Could India Be Gaming's Next Big Expansion Move?

Asia focused research insights & advisory, Asia Advisors

Vinay Patel

Asia focused research insights & advisory

Asia Advisors

Asia Advisors is an independent financial advisory and research firm working closely with corporates and institutions to provide consulting solutions & research insights. We provide advisory services including capital solutions, business strategy and investment insights.
Firm is headed by Vinay Patel who has close to two decades of experience in research and business development at large, international investment banks such as HSBC and ICICI Securities. Led research efforts in areas of Macroeconomics, Asset Allocation & Investment Strategy for close to a decade in global & domestic research teams. As a business head in Singapore, advised top global investment management firms & Portfolio managers in Asia for India related investments.
Vinay was recently joined by Swapnil Manish, an investment banker and ex-ecommerce entrepreneur with more than 12 years of experience. Swapnil was the TMT banker at BNP Paribas and was part of several large M&A and ECM transactions (Bharti-Zain, Bharti Infratel IPO, Schneider-Zicom among several others). He's also had a stint as an ecommerce entrepreneur having launched & led Mumbai's first online grocery player.

"Jugaad" is the popular Indian word for "Hustle", as the self-proclaimed hustling CEO Travis Kalanick who has been pushing legal boundaries for Uber across cities, learnt during one of his early India visits. He was exhorting Indians to be hustlers during a guest lecture to aspiring tech entrepreneurs.  And India definitely seems to have lived up to its reputation of Jugaad/Hustlers once again after demonetization, as more than half of the outstanding High-Value notes (Rs8trn out of Rs15.3trn)…

"Jugaad" is the popular Indian word for "Hustle", as the self-proclaimed hustling CEO Travis Kalanick who has been pushing legal boundaries for Uber across cities, learnt during one of his early India visits. He was exhorting Indians to be hustlers during a guest lecture to aspiring tech entrepreneurs.  And India definitely seems to have lived up to its reputation of Jugaad/Hustlers once again after demonetization, as more than half of the outstanding High-Value notes (Rs8trn out of Rs15.3trn)…

'Indian Hustle' Undermines Govt Efforts to Curb Black Money: Demonetization May Be A Costly Mistake!

Managing Partner, Ampersand Investment Advisors

Rahul Singh

Managing Partner

Ampersand Investment Advisors

We have been incessantly cautioning for a corrective phase in our stock markets mainly due to excessive valuations based of unrealistic growth expectations. While we expected a correction, it came from completely unexpected quarters. The beneficiaries from the favorable macro tidings (monsoons, pay commission) in what was supposed to be a very strong 2HFY17 have suffered a setback post-demonetization. This prompts us to re-evaluate our sector and market cap preferences in this edition of the Ampersand newsletter.

We have been incessantly cautioning for a corrective phase in our stock markets mainly due to excessive valuations based of unrealistic growth expectations. While we expected a correction, it came from completely unexpected quarters. The beneficiaries from the favorable macro tidings (monsoons, pay commission) in what was supposed to be a very strong 2HFY17 have suffered a setback post-demonetization. This prompts us to re-evaluate our sector and market cap preferences in this edition of the Ampersand newsletter.

Specialist in Indian Banking and Economic Research

Hemindra Hazari

In a move unprecedented in its scale in independent India, the Reserve Bank of India demonetised the Rs500 and Rs1,000 rupee note on November 8, 2016. The withdrawing and replacing of 86% of the currency in circulation in a cash economy like India has led to an upheaval in markets leading to a severe shortage of cash. While supporters of the prime minister have hailed the move as a “surgical strike” against black money, there is nothing surgical or precision-guided about it and the entire…

In a move unprecedented in its scale in independent India, the Reserve Bank of India demonetised the Rs500 and Rs1,000 rupee note on November 8, 2016. The withdrawing and replacing of 86% of the currency in circulation in a cash economy like India has led to an upheaval in markets leading to a severe shortage of cash. While supporters of the prime minister have hailed the move as a “surgical strike” against black money, there is nothing surgical or precision-guided about it and the entire…

India

Jubilant Foodworks Ltd. owns and operates fast food chains. The Company offers donuts, baked goods, coffee, bagels, muffin, fruit milkshakes, smoothies, tea, sandwiches, pizza, and beverages. Jubilant Foodworks serves its products to customers throughout India.

EIH Limited owns and operates luxury hotels and resorts in India under the name "Oberoi."  The Company also manages a mid-price hotel chain in India, in addition to hotels in Egypt, Australia, Sri Lanka, Indonesia and Saudi Arabia.

Thomas Cook (India) Ltd. operates as an authorized dealer in foreign exchange and as a travel agent. The Company also offers packaged tours, cargo services and travel related insurance. Thomas Cook (India) has offices and foreign exchange counters at various international airports in major cities in India.

Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India Ltd. provides leisure hospitality. The Company offers family holidays with a range of services through vacation memberships. Mahindra Holidays gives its members the choice to stay at resorts with furnished accommodations, such as apartments and cottages, and resort amenities, such as restaurants, kids clubs, and other activities.

Westlife Development Limited is an operating-cum-investment company that puts up and operates quick service restaurants. The Company, through its subsidiary, operates fast food franchise restaurants across western and southern India.

Lemon Tree Hotels Limited owns and operates a chain of hotels and resorts. The Company offers room accommodations, resorts, transportation, swimming pools, on-site restaurants, meeting rooms, fitness gym, and spa facilities. Lemon Tree Hotels serves customers in India.

India Tourism Development Corp Ltd (known as ITDC) develops tourism infrastructure and promotes India  as a tourist destination. ITDC provides tourism services including accommodation, catering, travel-related services, event management, publicity, hotel consultancy, duty free shops, in-house travel agency, entertainment and shopping.

Wonderla Holidays Limited owns and operates two amusement parks in Kochi and Bangalore, India.

Delta Corp Limited a diversified business group having a presence in the entertainment and gaming, real estate business in India and Kenya. The Company's business includes offshore casinos, and real estate consulting & development.

Adlabs Entertainment, Ltd. operates a theme park. The Company manages a theme park with rides, shopping, dining, accommodation, and other entertainment services. Adlabs Entertainment serves customers near Mumbai, India.

Genting Singapore Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops resort properties as well as operates casinos. The Company has casinos and integrated resorts in different parts of the world, including Australia, the Americas, Malaysia, the Philippines and the United Kingdom.

MGM China Holdings Ltd. owns a luxury resort, hotel, and casino located in Macau. The Company is also exploring other casino gaming development opportunities in Macau.

Wynn Resorts, Limited owns and operates luxury hotels and destination casino resorts in Las Vegas, Nevada, Macau, and China. The Company offers amenities such as guest rooms and suites, restaurants, golf course, and an on-site luxury automotive dealership.

Hyatt Hotels Corp. is a global hospitality company. The Company manages, franchises, owns, and develops branded hotels, resorts and residential and vacation ownership properties around the world.

ZENSHO Holdings CO., LTD. operates a fast food chain specialized in GYUDON which serves bowls of rice topped with seasoned beef based in Kanto.      The Company operates also diversifying into other types of food chains such as "Coco's" and "Big Boy" in Japan.

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. operates a fleet of passenger cruise ships. The Company offers an array of cruise itineraries as well as theme cruises, while markets its services through various distribution channels including retail and travel agents, consumer direct, international sales, as well as incentive sales. Norwegian Cruise extends its services worldwide.

Wingstop Inc. owns and operates restaurants. The Company specializes in cooked-to-order, hand-sauced, and tossed chicken wings. Wingstop serves customers worldwide.

Planet Fitness, Inc. owns and operates a chain of fitness clubs. The Company offers offers personal fitness training programs for its members. Planet Fitness serves customers in the United States.

Scientific Games Corporation provides services, systems, and products to both the pari-mutuel gaming and instant ticket lottery industries.  The Company operates an instant ticket and online lottery products, systems, and services business.  Scientific also operates wagering and communications, venue management, and telecommunications products businesses.

Churchill Downs Incorporated is a horse racing company whose flagship operation, Churchill Downs, is the home of the Kentucky Derby.  The Company has additional racing and simulcast-wagering operations in Kentucky, Indiana, and Florida, as well as interests in various racing services companies.

Indian Hotels Company Limited operates The Taj Group of hotels.  The Company owns or maintains long term leases/licenses for hotels in India, in addition to International hotels.  The Group's hotels are divided into three groups: Luxury, Business, and, Leisure.

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Indian Hotels (IH IN)

Still Too Many Stale Bulls on India, as Structural Risks Deepen - 11th Jan 2017

The value vs. momentum factor divergence was 17 percentage points in EM last year - India as a highly-rated, defensive market was always likely to...

Sean Maher

Could India Be Gaming's Next Big Expansion Move?

An estimated $10 billion underserved market in India according to new research.Wth Japan gaming now approved, new light in on the potential of...

Howard J Klein

'Indian Hustle' Undermines Govt Efforts to Curb Black Money: Demonetization May Be A Costly Mistake!

"Jugaad" is the popular Indian word for "Hustle", as the self-proclaimed hustling CEO Travis Kalanick who has been pushing legal boundaries for...

Asia Advisors

Demonetisation: Self Inflicted

In a move unprecedented in its scale in independent India, the Reserve Bank of India demonetised the Rs500 and Rs1,000 rupee note on November 8,...

Hemindra Hazari

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Still Too Many Stale Bulls on India, as Structural Risks Deepen - 11th Jan 2017

The value vs. momentum factor divergence was 17 percentage points in EM last year - India as a highly-rated, defensive market was always likely to...

Sean Maher

Could India Be Gaming's Next Big Expansion Move?

An estimated $10 billion underserved market in India according to new research.Wth Japan gaming now approved, new light in on the potential of...

Howard J Klein

'Indian Hustle' Undermines Govt Efforts to Curb Black Money: Demonetization May Be A Costly Mistake!

"Jugaad" is the popular Indian word for "Hustle", as the self-proclaimed hustling CEO Travis Kalanick who has been pushing legal boundaries for...

Asia Advisors

Taking Fresh Guard - Nov 16 Newsletter

We have been incessantly cautioning for a corrective phase in our stock markets mainly due to excessive valuations based of unrealistic growth...

Ampersand Investment Advisors

Demonetisation: Self Inflicted

In a move unprecedented in its scale in independent India, the Reserve Bank of India demonetised the Rs500 and Rs1,000 rupee note on November 8,...

Hemindra Hazari