IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qingci-games" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35240:1" rel="noopener">Qingci Games (6633 HK)</a> is a mobile game developer and publisher in China. It aims to raise net proceeds of US$125.5 million at the mid-point of the IPO price range.</li>
<li>The past is perfect and characterised by exponential growth and rising margins. However, the future is tense with a material decline in profitability flagged for 2H21.  </li>
<li>It is uncertain if the declining trends in the key title can be offset by a new blockbuster title. We discuss valuation in our next note. </li>
</ul>



Qingci Games (6633 HK) is a mobile game developer and publisher in China. It aims to raise net proceeds of US$125.5 million at the mid-point of the IPO price range.
The past is perfect and characterised by exponential growth and rising margins. However, the future is tense with a material decline in profitability flagged for 2H21.  
It is uncertain if the declining trends in the key title can be offset by a new blockbuster title. We discuss valuation in our next note. 


Qingci Games IPO: Future, Imperfect and Tense

Quality-first, Business-perspective Strategy, Urbem (HK) Limited

Steven Chen

Quality-first, Business-perspective Strategy

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The Shenzhen-based game developer trades at an attractive valuation;</li>
<li>Meanwhile, the business has been growing at a nearly triple-digit rate while maintaining an above 30% return on equity and invested capital;</li>
<li>Should investors buy into this (seemingly quality) growth story?  We want to take a deep dive.</li>
</ul>


The Shenzhen-based game developer trades at an attractive valuation;
Meanwhile, the business has been growing at a nearly triple-digit rate while maintaining an above 30% return on equity and invested capital;
Should investors buy into this (seemingly quality) growth story?  We want to take a deep dive.


<ul>
<li>Another victim of the pandemic, Tang Palace, appears attractive with a single-digit P/E and a juicy FCF yield based on pre-COVID financials;</li>
<li>However, investors should, by no means, draw their deep-value conclusion without a full examination of the business economics;</li>
<li>We employ the same framework as we did with other names previously to assess the value-trap risks.</li>
</ul>


Another victim of the pandemic, Tang Palace, appears attractive with a single-digit P/E and a juicy FCF yield based on pre-COVID financials;
However, investors should, by no means, draw their deep-value conclusion without a full examination of the business economics;
We employ the same framework as we did with other names previously to assess the value-trap risks.


<ul>
<li>IGG looks like an unusual beaten-down stock, as the industry that the company operates is actually benefiting from the pandemic and booming;</li>
<li>Is Mr. Market misunderstanding any of the business fundamentals, or is he correct in terms of any possible value trap?</li>
</ul>


IGG looks like an unusual beaten-down stock, as the industry that the company operates is actually benefiting from the pandemic and booming;
Is Mr. Market misunderstanding any of the business fundamentals, or is he correct in terms of any possible value trap?


Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Founder-led businesses are supposed to receive more appreciation among investors;</li>
<li>It would be intriguing to explore how Chinese founders and business owners pay themselves, as executive compensation is a significant part of corporate governance, a common weakness among most Chinese public companies;</li>
<li>We examine a pool of selected value-generative, founder-led, Chinese businesses across industries, and market caps to demonstrate the similarity and any dissimilarity.</li>
</ul>


Founder-led businesses are supposed to receive more appreciation among investors;
It would be intriguing to explore how Chinese founders and business owners pay themselves, as executive compensation is a significant part of corporate governance, a common weakness among most Chinese public companies;
We examine a pool of selected value-generative, founder-led, Chinese businesses across industries, and market caps to demonstrate the similarity and any dissimilarity.


Singapore

IGG Inc. is an online games developer and operator. The Company offers multi-language browser games, client-based games and mobile games to players globally.

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IGG Inc (799 HK)

Qingci Games IPO: Future, Imperfect and Tense

Qingci aims to raise net proceeds of US$125.5 million at the mid-point of the IPO price range. Overall, we believe the negatives outweigh the...

Arun George

Fire Rock: A Value Play or Value Trap?

Another superior-return, fast-growing gaming business trading at an attractive level. Should investors buy into this (seemingly quality) growth...

Steven Chen

Tang Palace: Deep Value or Value Trap

Current share price points to juicy yields on a pre-COVID basis, but is there any value trap? We examine business economics in detail.

Steven Chen

IGG: Deep Value or Value Trap?

Is Mr. Market being too pessimistic about IGG, which operates in a booming industry benefiting from the pandemic, or is he correct in terms of any...

Steven Chen

How Chinese Founders Pay Themselves

Take a look at how Chinese founders and business owners pay themselves and gauge the soundness of corporate governance among founder-operated and...

Steven Chen

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