Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Calima Energy (CE1 AU); target price of A$0.45 per share: Operating update in Canada – The 3-well Pisces drilling programme has now been completed.</li>
<li>3Q23 production levels continue to be affected by weather related energy cuts and unforeseen work-overs.</li>
<li>Valeura Energy (VLE CN)C; target price of C$6.40 per share: 3Q23 update – 3Q23 production was 19,961 boe/d.</li>
</ul>


Calima Energy (CE1 AU); target price of A$0.45 per share: Operating update in Canada – The 3-well Pisces drilling programme has now been completed.
3Q23 production levels continue to be affected by weather related energy cuts and unforeseen work-overs.
Valeura Energy (VLE CN)C; target price of C$6.40 per share: 3Q23 update – 3Q23 production was 19,961 boe/d.


<ul><li>________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C: target price of £0.55 per share: Tripling 2P reserves at Tapir – The 2P reserves at Carrizales Norte (net to Arrow) have been estimated at 3.92 mmbbl with an 3P upside case of 6.62 mmbbl 82 mmbbl of 1P reserves).</li><li>The 2P reserves at Carrizales Norte are ~2x larger than at Rio Crave Este with overall net 2P reserves at Tapir increased to ~6 mmbbl.</li><li>The Ubaque reservoir alone is estimated to hold ~3 mmbbl of 2P reserves (out of 3.92 mmbbl total 2P reserves at Carrizales Norte).</li></ul>

________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C: target price of £0.55 per share: Tripling 2P reserves at Tapir – The 2P reserves at Carrizales Norte (net to Arrow) have been estimated at 3.92 mmbbl with an 3P upside case of 6.62 mmbbl 82 mmbbl of 1P reserves).The 2P reserves at Carrizales Norte are ~2x larger than at Rio Crave Este with overall net 2P reserves at Tapir increased to ~6 mmbbl.The Ubaque reservoir alone is estimated to hold ~3 mmbbl of 2P reserves (out of 3.92 mmbbl total 2P reserves at Carrizales Norte).

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C; target price of C$0.95 per share: Transformational acquisition in Indonesia – Criterium is delivering on its plans by acquiring Mont D’Or Petroleum with long life and high netback production of 1,050 bbl/d and 4.7 mmbbl 2P reserves across 2 PSCs in Indonesia (Tungkal in South Sumatra and West Salawati in Southwest Papua).</li><li>With important spare capacity in existing infrastructure and very low drilling costs (US 5 mm per well) at Tungkal, Criterium plans to increase production by ~50% by the end of 1Q24 and to ~3 mbbl/d by YE25 within cashflow.</li><li>Tethys Oil (TETY SS)C; target price of SEK120 per share: Production update in Oman – Production from Blocks3 &amp; 4 was 8,995 bbl/d in May.</li></ul>

Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C; target price of C$0.95 per share: Transformational acquisition in Indonesia – Criterium is delivering on its plans by acquiring Mont D’Or Petroleum with long life and high netback production of 1,050 bbl/d and 4.7 mmbbl 2P reserves across 2 PSCs in Indonesia (Tungkal in South Sumatra and West Salawati in Southwest Papua).With important spare capacity in existing infrastructure and very low drilling costs (US 5 mm per well) at Tungkal, Criterium plans to increase production by ~50% by the end of 1Q24 and to ~3 mbbl/d by YE25 within cashflow.Tethys Oil (TETY SS)C; target price of SEK120 per share: Production update in Oman – Production from Blocks3 &amp; 4 was 8,995 bbl/d in May.

Woodside Energy Group Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>ADX Energy (ADX AU) C : Target price of A$0.100 per share: Competent person report confirms the materiality of the Welchau pospect – The Welchau prospect has been estimated to hold between 365 bcfe and 1,128 bcfe of prospective resources by Gaffney, Cline &amp; Associates (GCA) with a mid-case at 645 bcfe including 10.1 mmbbl of condensate.</li><li>While this is below the 807 bcfe mid-case estimated by ADX, the fact that the lower end of the GCA range (332 bcf of natural gas plus 5.5 mmbbl of condensate in the 1U case) is significantly larger than ADX’s estimate of 212 bcfe is the most important take away in our view.</li><li>The unrisked value of the asset (A$0.09 per share) is very high even in the low case. Welchau is now expected to be drilled in September. </li></ul>

ADX Energy (ADX AU) C : Target price of A$0.100 per share: Competent person report confirms the materiality of the Welchau pospect – The Welchau prospect has been estimated to hold between 365 bcfe and 1,128 bcfe of prospective resources by Gaffney, Cline &amp; Associates (GCA) with a mid-case at 645 bcfe including 10.1 mmbbl of condensate.While this is below the 807 bcfe mid-case estimated by ADX, the fact that the lower end of the GCA range (332 bcf of natural gas plus 5.5 mmbbl of condensate in the 1U case) is significantly larger than ADX’s estimate of 212 bcfe is the most important take away in our view.The unrisked value of the asset (A$0.09 per share) is very high even in the low case. Welchau is now expected to be drilled in September. 

<ul><li>Arrow Exploration (AXL LN) C; Target price of £0.45 per share: Adding reserves in Colombia – Arrow’s 1P, 2P and 3P reserves were estimated at respectively 3.4 mmboe, 7.7 mmboe and 11.7 mmboe at YE22.</li><li>This includes 2.1 mmboe 2P reserves and 4.3 mmboe 3P reserves at the company’s core assets in Colombia (Tapir and Oso Pardo).</li><li>Calima Energy (CE1 AU) C; Target price of A$0.50 per share: Replacing over 100% of produced reserves – YE22 net 2P reserves have been estimated at 20.5 mmboe (net of royalty), up 1% compared to YE21.</li></ul>

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN) C; Target price of £0.45 per share: Adding reserves in Colombia – Arrow’s 1P, 2P and 3P reserves were estimated at respectively 3.4 mmboe, 7.7 mmboe and 11.7 mmboe at YE22.This includes 2.1 mmboe 2P reserves and 4.3 mmboe 3P reserves at the company’s core assets in Colombia (Tapir and Oso Pardo).Calima Energy (CE1 AU) C; Target price of A$0.50 per share: Replacing over 100% of produced reserves – YE22 net 2P reserves have been estimated at 20.5 mmboe (net of royalty), up 1% compared to YE21.

United Kingdom

IGas Energy PLC is an oil and gas exploration and production company. The Company is an upstream oil and gas company operating onshore fields in Britain.

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IGas Energy Plc (IGAS LN)

Auctus on Friday - 06/10/2023

Calima Energy (CE1 AU); target price of A$0.45 per share: Operating update in Canada – The 3-well Pisces drilling programme has now been completed.

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 15/09/2023

________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C: target price of £0.55 per share: Tripling 2P reserves at Tapir – The 2P...

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 16/06/2023

Tethys Oil (TETY SS)C; target price of SEK120 per share: Production update in Oman – Production from Blocks3 & 4 was 8,995 bbl/d in May.

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 21/04/2023

The Welchau prospect has been estimated to hold between 365 bcfe and 1,128 bcfe of prospective resources by Gaffney, Cline & Associates (GCA) with...

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 31/03/2023

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN) C; Target price of £0.45 per share: Adding reserves in Colombia – Arrow’s 1P, 2P and 3P reserves were estimated at...

Auctus Advisors

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